INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s6

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0968

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.0067

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.124608	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.124189	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.124031	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.120979	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.123021	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.121363	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.122748	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.136483	-3.51%	0.12835	-9.26%	0.0758	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.124466	-1.80%	0.1274	+0.51%	0.0067	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.123165	-0.59%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0334	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.120462	-0.24%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0254	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.118146	+0.38%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.0770	✓	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.117796	-0.00%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.0646	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.110713	+0.92%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1341	✓	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.114902	+0.31%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2045	✓	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.117061	+0.05%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.0927	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.113214	+0.37%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1097	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.118493	-0.17%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0507	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.117379	-0.23%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0255	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.112507	-0.30%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.0606	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.109802	-0.32%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0148	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.104523	-0.50%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1173	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.102894	-0.78%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1308	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.101702	-1.21%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.0886	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.089368	-0.37%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.2646	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.08946	-0.27%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2568	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.09337	-0.88%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.1867	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.098577	-1.28%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1075	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.098158	-1.74%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0639	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.087778	-1.04%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.1739	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.089348	-0.94%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1642	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.082255	-0.48%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1174	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073849	+0.34%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1662	✓	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.076178	+0.50%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.1849	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.076686	+0.77%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2358	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.076381	+0.50%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.1900	✓	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.069108	+1.18%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.1702	✓	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.067793	+0.88%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.1859	✓	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.07	+0.43%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.0901	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.065221	+0.73%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.0822	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.07001	-0.06%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0455	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.070241	+0.06%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0487	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069783	-0.45%	0.076	+8.42%	0.0870	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.066344	+0.45%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0490	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.066223	+0.49%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0428	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067718	+0.47%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0377	✓	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.068077	+0.78%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0155	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.068128	+0.63%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0525	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.064102	+1.11%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1143	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062997	+1.85%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1535	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.06184	+0.96%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0553	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.060117	+1.29%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0802	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059746	+1.61%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1151	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055481	+2.18%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1664	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.058124	+1.88%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1346	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.054628	+1.92%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1285	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.055766	+2.04%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0926	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.055561	+1.57%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1172	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.054442	+1.38%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0995	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.055098	+1.19%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0702	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.057081	+0.50%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0491	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055696	+0.44%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057886	+0.23%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0707	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.05462	-0.42%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0967	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.0527	-1.22%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.1050	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.050334	-1.60%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1595	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.050531	-1.60%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1613	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050086	-1.60%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1255	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.050596	-1.76%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1456	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.050297	-1.76%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.1189	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.05063	-1.88%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0869	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.050305	-1.75%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0491	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.051364	-1.98%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0252	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.051508	-1.98%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0136	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.052205	-2.78%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0116	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.051369	-3.26%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0372	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.049799	-2.55%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0613	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.049572	-2.51%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0551	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.049422	-2.43%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0564	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.04827	-2.29%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.0907	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.048796	-2.02%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0665	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049248	-1.70%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0636	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.050651	-1.46%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0100	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.049137	-0.43%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.048402	+0.00%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0575	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.048183	+0.17%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0375	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.049431	+0.16%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0042	✗	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050899	-0.00%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0177	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054373	-0.05%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0508	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.055376	-0.04%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0480	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.055102	+0.00%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0885	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055771	-0.05%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.1362	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055601	+0.00%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.1086	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.055159	+0.02%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0671	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053911	-0.16%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0329	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052355	+0.01%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0280	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052608	-0.18%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0600	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052448	-0.19%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0461	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052831	-0.32%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0336	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054269	-0.42%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0019	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054633	-0.40%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0156	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053193	-0.39%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0364	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054907	-0.53%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0639	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055956	-0.52%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0773	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056583	-0.64%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0698	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055203	-0.54%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0512	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054515	-0.34%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0445	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054823	-0.32%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0288	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057076	-0.48%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0359	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057691	-0.53%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0466	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.058001	-0.68%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0416	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057862	-0.75%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0407	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056672	-0.75%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0472	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056787	-1.07%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0745	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.05215	-0.48%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0192	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053173	-0.70%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0185	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051831	-0.42%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0531	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052251	-0.47%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0661	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054719	-0.78%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0271	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051524	-0.44%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0772	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053034	-0.69%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0945	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058416	-1.32%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0539	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057751	-1.28%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0262	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055061	-1.15%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0080	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056233	-1.26%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0129	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.056951	-1.55%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0135	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058518	-1.90%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0800	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058669	-1.89%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0480	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059158	-1.89%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0403	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057684	-1.73%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0465	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058466	-2.07%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0140	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057536	-2.23%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0075	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058515	-2.88%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0106	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.056688	-2.26%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0605	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053547	-1.75%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0706	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.055745	-2.12%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0271	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.056966	-1.95%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0119	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053786	-0.76%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0722	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053006	-0.36%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0561	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055018	-0.69%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0563	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.057872	-1.24%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0054	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.063573	-2.19%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1241	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.062934	-1.51%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0422	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.070811	-1.65%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1442	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.073121	-1.19%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2371	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.069013	+0.46%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1683	✗	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.064673	+2.98%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0646	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.065321	+3.36%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0405	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.068783	+2.43%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0118	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.077902	+0.20%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1490	✗	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081584	-0.14%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0989	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.0812	-0.12%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0776	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.082626	-0.45%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1703	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.080613	-0.35%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2393	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.085566	-0.50%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2848	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.084702	-0.35%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.2181	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.082807	-0.29%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0589	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.083994	-0.36%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0292	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.083949	-0.36%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0297	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.084828	-0.49%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0138	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.087694	-0.85%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0689	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.094165	-0.83%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0812	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.09654	-1.19%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1227	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.102975	-1.18%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.2070	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101552	-0.44%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1783	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.104872	-0.31%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.2111	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.109774	-0.93%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2478	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.101929	-0.46%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1399	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.108065	-1.71%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1311	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.099323	-0.53%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0063	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090788	+0.21%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1409	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089934	-0.07%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1116	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088693	-0.34%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1424	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.08871	-0.44%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2071	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090144	-0.39%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1119	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090284	-0.68%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1610	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.089963	-1.03%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0498	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.093344	-1.38%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0757	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.089819	-0.59%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0231	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090503	-0.22%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0156	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.089004	-0.28%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.092103	-0.80%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0253	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.085358	+0.30%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.0831	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.088406	-0.11%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0531	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.089168	-0.81%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0600	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.093274	-1.45%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0477	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.087192	-1.37%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0123	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.092722	-1.46%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0584	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089469	-1.03%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0332	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.085524	-1.58%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0380	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.082286	-1.39%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0371	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.079152	-1.18%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1043	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.078867	-1.05%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1673	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.075803	-0.91%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1183	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.081337	-1.53%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1168	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.082377	-1.58%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0486	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.079184	-1.27%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0561	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.080915	-1.38%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0108	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.080717	-1.44%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0329	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.08364	-1.66%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.1151	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.078991	-0.89%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0535	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.08109	-0.99%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0527	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.081734	-0.93%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0508	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.079694	-0.82%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0549	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.078073	-0.61%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0122	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075208	-0.25%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0389	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076657	-0.45%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0760	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.077633	-0.60%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0142	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.078931	-0.72%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0239	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.07651	-0.51%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0673	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.082594	-0.97%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0038	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.081585	-0.51%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0026	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.083979	-0.97%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0781	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.080281	-0.52%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0118	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076153	-0.71%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0502	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.076464	-0.70%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0729	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.079123	-0.60%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0248	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.081161	-0.42%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0419	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085219	-0.33%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0392	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.092115	-0.74%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0410	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.089291	-0.68%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0515	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.091309	-0.75%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.1088	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.090658	-0.92%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1325	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084065	-0.51%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0487	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.088775	-0.92%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0773	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.088601	-1.00%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0495	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.083624	-0.92%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0522	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.080579	-0.89%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0250	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.080238	-1.06%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0417	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.083475	-1.33%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0368	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.085472	-1.87%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0496	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.080088	-1.13%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1172	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.07803	-1.10%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1718	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.082642	-1.26%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0049	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.079293	-1.25%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0313	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.074643	-1.00%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0798	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.078691	-1.20%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0677	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079854	-1.41%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0500	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.080496	-1.47%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0479	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.080399	-1.65%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0924	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080283	-1.97%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0342	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083683	-2.13%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1148	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.087773	-2.20%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1196	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.09181	-2.59%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1251	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.097246	-3.29%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1460	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.097509	-3.50%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1859	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.097775	-3.95%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2070	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.107671	-5.05%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2175	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.116689	-8.34%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2437	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.100071	-8.36%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.0908	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.06918	-2.22%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3388	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.067749	-2.17%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.4083	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069282	-2.56%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3641	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.0689	-2.55%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.4007	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.064865	-1.35%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5815	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.06552	-1.55%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6850	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.066724	-1.66%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5178	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.069483	-1.86%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0088	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.068272	-1.77%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0435	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.062786	+2.68%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0605	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.070852	-1.73%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.1115	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.076434	-2.13%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0270	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.079806	-1.78%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0308	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.080468	-1.99%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0516	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.085467	-2.21%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0149	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.103261	-3.67%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1884	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.087416	-1.22%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0041	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.095079	-2.48%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0499	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.090273	-1.88%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0461	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.087981	-1.81%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0533	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.08809	-2.45%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0685	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.086899	-2.91%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1562	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.079824	-1.94%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3696	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.078869	-2.03%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1838	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.079024	-2.20%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2128	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.07778	-1.67%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1568	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.083524	-1.97%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1280	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.091219	-2.75%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0853	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.090101	-2.59%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0733	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.093532	-2.47%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0589	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.092628	-2.60%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0589	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.090847	-1.89%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0156	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.088215	-2.20%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0133	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.080854	-1.28%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0345	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.085707	-1.14%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0536	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.088361	-0.72%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0176	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.090808	-0.54%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0158	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.091538	-0.50%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0278	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.092269	-0.46%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.1139	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.096188	-0.22%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0988	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097507	-0.30%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.1175	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097561	-0.65%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.1043	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.095921	-0.70%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0699	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.093684	-0.65%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0382	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.089521	-0.64%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0235	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.086509	-0.79%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0145	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.088216	-1.10%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0277	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.087927	-1.54%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0409	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.086901	-1.36%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0425	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.091528	-1.90%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0072	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.099893	-3.58%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1169	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.088831	-2.28%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0208	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.082671	-1.23%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0558	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.082358	-1.25%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0581	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.083067	-1.46%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1049	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082511	-1.42%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0826	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085566	-1.76%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.0983	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.083102	-1.77%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2387	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.076534	-0.48%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1330	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.080655	-1.16%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0053	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084745	-1.69%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0064	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.082109	-1.19%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0219	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083779	-1.32%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0115	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087492	-1.80%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0387	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085223	-1.48%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0415	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.08957	-1.14%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0069	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092515	-1.26%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0060	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097116	-1.30%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0115	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092709	-1.27%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0140	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.08952	-1.08%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0033	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.097496	-1.72%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1125	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.098806	-1.59%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1543	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101327	-1.43%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1220	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.101159	-1.21%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0446	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102747	-1.21%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0752	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100374	-1.40%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1789	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.114722	-1.23%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2380	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.113393	-1.14%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0950	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115309	-1.45%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.0998	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.119814	-1.75%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1721	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.109132	-1.42%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1341	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106185	-1.36%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1198	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106133	-1.46%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0089	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.105015	-1.67%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0102	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.102838	-1.68%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0539	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.108504	-2.12%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0785	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.124567	-3.25%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1435	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.117544	-1.55%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0316	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117124	-1.37%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0783	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.117335	-1.23%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0263	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.119052	-1.04%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1071	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.123575	-1.34%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1533	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.119171	-1.14%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2060	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.123054	-0.80%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4427	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.125804	-0.55%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2488	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123265	-0.07%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2596	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.132438	-0.05%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.2966	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.131267	-0.40%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2210	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.130406	-0.49%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1612	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.132367	-0.51%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1650	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.11707	+0.45%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1056	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.120431	+1.03%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1118	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.117219	+1.14%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0075	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.124249	+1.55%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.0808	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.139709	+1.46%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1071	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.139224	+1.92%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1635	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.137258	+1.94%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1510	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.139751	+1.97%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0265	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.157461	+1.62%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.1002	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.162042	+1.95%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0031	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.165462	+1.76%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0892	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.176191	+1.23%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1356	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.172768	+1.45%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1888	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.17479	+1.47%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.2181	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.169327	+1.79%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1591	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.16283	+1.96%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.1209	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.170477	+1.75%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.2006	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.18291	+1.19%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.2168	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.183343	+1.38%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.2161	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.178168	+1.69%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1722	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.177007	+2.23%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1577	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.181009	+2.06%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1392	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.187863	+1.80%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0693	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.197925	+0.91%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0323	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.209174	-0.56%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0149	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.194384	+0.43%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1063	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.178678	+2.57%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.0821	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.196318	+1.04%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0586	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.300785	-2.33%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2564	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.314442	-2.38%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2883	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.304592	-2.50%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2483	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.330272	-2.57%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2394	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.313103	-2.28%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2924	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.318305	-2.18%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3316	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.329233	-2.17%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3125	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.330914	-3.27%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0966	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.313727	-3.14%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0800	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.302399	-2.75%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1445	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.30384	-2.65%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1485	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.311307	-2.73%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2660	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.301514	-2.09%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2640	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.306925	-1.83%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2440	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.295219	-1.25%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1636	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.317849	-2.08%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1261	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.311827	-1.82%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0605	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.319968	-1.78%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0694	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.354205	-2.10%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0178	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.361581	-1.93%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0039	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.364802	-1.90%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0084	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.386744	-2.45%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0395	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.