INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s6

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0367

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0017

actual -0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.125848	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.126394	-0.63%	0.12675	-0.35%	0.0046	✓	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.122947	-0.57%	0.1272	+2.87%	0.0258	✗	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.125269	-0.62%	0.12365	-1.90%	0.0117	✓	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.123439	-0.61%	0.12605	+1.49%	0.0163	✗	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.12483	-0.61%	0.1242	-1.11%	0.0042	✓	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.139961	-1.05%	0.1256	-11.21%	0.1039	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.125885	-0.68%	0.14145	+11.60%	0.1128	✗	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.123033	-0.70%	0.12675	+2.30%	0.0407	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.119798	-0.79%	0.1239	+2.61%	0.0240	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.116926	-0.66%	0.12075	+2.59%	0.0463	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.116871	-0.79%	0.1177	-0.08%	0.0013	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.109053	-0.59%	0.1178	+7.38%	0.0744	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.113734	-0.71%	0.1097	-4.23%	0.0428	✓	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.116151	-0.73%	0.11455	-2.09%	0.0017	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.112041	-0.67%	0.117	+3.72%	0.0614	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.117749	-0.80%	0.1128	-4.97%	0.0413	✓	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.116639	-0.86%	0.1187	+0.89%	0.0235	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.11176	-0.97%	0.11765	+4.25%	0.0375	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.10902	-1.03%	0.11285	+2.45%	0.0326	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.104234	-0.78%	0.11015	+4.85%	0.0580	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.102683	-0.98%	0.10505	+1.30%	0.0124	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.101415	-1.49%	0.1037	+0.73%	0.0229	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.088975	-0.81%	0.10295	+14.77%	0.1443	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.0891	-0.67%	0.0897	+0.00%	0.0153	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093555	-0.68%	0.0897	-4.78%	0.0425	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.09901	-0.84%	0.0942	-5.66%	0.0526	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.098886	-1.01%	0.09985	-0.05%	0.0122	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.088172	-0.60%	0.0999	+12.63%	0.1248	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.089526	-0.75%	0.0887	-1.66%	0.0067	✓	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.082058	-0.72%	0.0902	+9.13%	0.0984	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073442	-0.21%	0.08265	+12.30%	0.0723	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.075586	-0.28%	0.0736	-2.90%	0.0260	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.075871	-0.30%	0.0758	-0.39%	0.0041	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075504	-0.65%	0.0761	+0.13%	0.0373	✓	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068153	-0.22%	0.076	+11.27%	0.1069	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.067069	-0.20%	0.0683	+1.64%	0.0126	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069554	-0.21%	0.0672	-3.59%	0.0094	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064702	-0.07%	0.0697	+7.64%	0.0620	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069897	-0.22%	0.06475	-7.57%	0.0724	✓	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.070044	-0.22%	0.07005	-0.21%	0.0004	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069833	-0.38%	0.0702	+0.14%	0.0006	✓	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.06598	-0.11%	0.0701	+6.13%	0.0769	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065827	-0.11%	0.06605	+0.23%	0.0050	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067292	-0.16%	0.0659	-2.23%	0.0147	✓	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067447	-0.15%	0.0674	-0.22%	0.0113	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067529	-0.25%	0.06755	-0.22%	0.0045	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063379	-0.03%	0.0677	+6.78%	0.0645	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.06188	+0.05%	0.0634	+2.51%	0.0396	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061238	-0.02%	0.06185	+0.98%	0.0322	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059362	+0.02%	0.06125	+3.20%	0.0323	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.058755	-0.08%	0.05935	+0.94%	0.0222	✗	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054387	+0.16%	0.0588	+8.29%	0.0677	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057068	+0.03%	0.0543	-4.82%	0.0432	✗	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.05369	+0.17%	0.05705	+6.44%	0.0563	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.054763	+0.21%	0.0536	-1.92%	0.0061	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.054787	+0.16%	0.05465	-0.09%	0.0166	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053798	+0.18%	0.0547	+1.86%	0.0109	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.054546	+0.18%	0.0537	-1.38%	0.0100	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056804	+0.01%	0.05445	-4.14%	0.0584	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055513	+0.11%	0.0568	+2.43%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.05774	-0.02%	0.05545	-3.98%	0.0242	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054817	-0.06%	0.05775	+5.29%	0.0200	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053251	-0.19%	0.05485	+2.81%	0.0269	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.051031	-0.23%	0.05335	+4.30%	0.0353	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.051225	-0.24%	0.05115	-0.39%	0.0051	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050755	-0.29%	0.05135	+0.88%	0.0188	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.051351	-0.29%	0.0509	-1.17%	0.0054	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.051042	-0.31%	0.0515	+0.59%	0.0081	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.051436	-0.32%	0.0512	-0.78%	0.0039	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.051059	-0.27%	0.0516	+0.78%	0.0103	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.052234	-0.32%	0.0512	-2.29%	0.0178	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.052396	-0.29%	0.0524	-0.29%	0.0072	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.053472	-0.42%	0.05255	-2.14%	0.0004	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.052801	-0.56%	0.0537	+1.13%	0.0180	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.050921	-0.35%	0.0531	+3.91%	0.0416	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.050653	-0.39%	0.0511	+0.49%	0.0022	✓	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.050419	-0.46%	0.05085	+0.39%	0.0144	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.049137	-0.53%	0.05065	+2.53%	0.0212	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.04957	-0.46%	0.0494	-0.80%	0.0135	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049873	-0.45%	0.0498	-0.60%	0.0009	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.051155	-0.48%	0.0501	-2.53%	0.0337	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.049145	-0.41%	0.0514	+4.15%	0.0459	✗	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.04826	-0.29%	0.04935	+1.96%	0.0566	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.048011	-0.18%	0.0484	+0.62%	0.0064	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.049267	-0.17%	0.0481	-2.53%	0.0248	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050788	-0.22%	0.04935	-3.05%	0.0315	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054274	-0.23%	0.0509	-6.43%	0.0364	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.055292	-0.19%	0.0544	-1.81%	0.0340	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.055006	-0.17%	0.0554	+0.54%	0.0035	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055702	-0.17%	0.0551	-1.25%	0.0056	✗	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055531	-0.12%	0.0558	+0.36%	0.0219	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.055102	-0.09%	0.0556	+0.82%	0.0160	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053918	-0.15%	0.05515	+2.13%	0.0020	✗	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052332	-0.03%	0.054	+3.15%	0.0230	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052682	-0.03%	0.05235	-0.66%	0.0045	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052541	-0.02%	0.0527	+0.29%	0.0122	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052984	-0.03%	0.05255	-0.85%	0.0103	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054498	-0.00%	0.053	-2.75%	0.0121	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054871	+0.04%	0.0545	-0.64%	0.0023	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053405	+0.01%	0.05485	+2.72%	0.0209	✗	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055215	+0.03%	0.0534	-3.26%	0.0075	✗	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.056305	+0.10%	0.0552	-1.87%	0.0193	✗	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.057012	+0.11%	0.05625	-1.23%	0.0072	✗	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055567	+0.12%	0.05695	+2.61%	0.0079	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054787	+0.16%	0.0555	+1.46%	0.0040	✗	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.055098	+0.18%	0.0547	-0.55%	0.0123	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057451	+0.18%	0.055	-4.10%	0.0317	✗	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.058102	+0.18%	0.05735	-1.12%	0.0197	✗	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.058485	+0.15%	0.058	-0.68%	0.0163	✗	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.058382	+0.14%	0.0584	+0.17%	0.0085	✗	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.057176	+0.13%	0.0583	+2.10%	0.0032	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.05743	+0.05%	0.0571	-0.52%	0.0307	✗	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052452	+0.10%	0.0574	+9.54%	0.0678	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053595	+0.08%	0.0524	-2.15%	0.0030	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.052131	+0.15%	0.05355	+2.88%	0.0166	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052587	+0.17%	0.05205	-0.86%	0.0035	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.055233	+0.15%	0.0525	-4.81%	0.0498	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051859	+0.21%	0.05515	+6.57%	0.0572	✓	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053499	+0.19%	0.05175	-3.09%	0.0139	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.05925	+0.09%	0.0534	-9.80%	0.0823	✗	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058551	+0.09%	0.0592	+1.20%	0.0277	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055779	+0.14%	0.0585	+5.03%	0.0388	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.057011	+0.11%	0.0557	-2.19%	0.0108	✗	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057901	+0.09%	0.05695	-1.56%	0.0261	✗	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059686	+0.06%	0.05785	-3.02%	0.0391	✗	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059816	+0.03%	0.05965	-0.25%	0.0178	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.060307	+0.01%	0.0598	-0.83%	0.0069	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.05871	+0.02%	0.0603	+2.73%	0.0358	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.05968	-0.03%	0.0587	-1.68%	0.0243	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058857	+0.01%	0.0597	+1.44%	0.0027	✗	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.060144	-0.18%	0.05885	-2.32%	0.0339	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.058013	+0.02%	0.06025	+3.88%	0.0382	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054613	+0.21%	0.058	+6.42%	0.0319	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056963	+0.02%	0.0545	-4.30%	0.0410	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.058119	+0.03%	0.05695	-1.98%	0.0017	✗	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054376	+0.33%	0.0581	+7.20%	0.0695	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.05351	+0.58%	0.0542	+1.88%	0.0207	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055725	+0.59%	0.0532	-3.97%	0.0438	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058855	+0.44%	0.0554	-5.46%	0.0230	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.065171	+0.26%	0.0586	-9.85%	0.1036	✗	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.064056	+0.24%	0.065	+1.72%	0.0444	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.071553	-0.62%	0.0639	-11.25%	0.0837	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.07327	-0.99%	0.072	-2.70%	0.0045	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.068357	-0.50%	0.074	+7.71%	0.0806	✗	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.063045	+0.39%	0.0687	+9.39%	0.0832	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063495	+0.47%	0.0628	-0.63%	0.0101	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.067308	+0.24%	0.0632	-5.88%	0.0580	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.077592	-0.20%	0.06715	-13.63%	0.1369	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081454	-0.30%	0.07775	-4.83%	0.0405	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081064	-0.29%	0.0817	+0.49%	0.0066	✗	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.082704	-0.36%	0.0813	-2.05%	0.0187	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.080646	-0.31%	0.083	+2.60%	0.0229	✗	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.08563	-0.43%	0.0809	-5.93%	0.0474	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.084638	-0.43%	0.086	+1.18%	0.0157	✗	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.082795	-0.31%	0.085	+2.35%	0.0232	✗	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.084098	-0.24%	0.08305	-1.48%	0.0117	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.084057	-0.23%	0.0843	+0.06%	0.0055	✗	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.085085	-0.19%	0.08425	-1.17%	0.0060	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.088287	-0.18%	0.08525	-3.62%	0.0320	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.094763	-0.20%	0.08845	-6.85%	0.0636	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.097472	-0.23%	0.09495	-2.81%	0.0306	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.103857	-0.33%	0.0977	-6.24%	0.0586	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101757	-0.24%	0.1042	+2.16%	0.0257	✗	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.104923	-0.26%	0.102	-3.04%	0.0275	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.110276	-0.47%	0.1052	-5.05%	0.0501	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.102083	-0.31%	0.1108	+8.20%	0.0812	✗	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.109019	-0.85%	0.1024	-6.87%	0.0629	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.099523	-0.33%	0.10995	+10.12%	0.1064	✗	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.09044	-0.18%	0.09985	+10.21%	0.0951	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089778	-0.25%	0.0906	+0.67%	0.0010	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088763	-0.27%	0.09	+1.12%	0.0037	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088885	-0.24%	0.089	-0.11%	0.0023	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090315	-0.20%	0.0891	-1.55%	0.0171	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090665	-0.26%	0.0905	-0.44%	0.0208	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090674	-0.25%	0.0909	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.094343	-0.32%	0.0909	-3.96%	0.0313	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.090169	-0.20%	0.09465	+4.76%	0.0593	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090551	-0.16%	0.09035	-0.39%	0.0112	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.089087	-0.18%	0.0907	+1.62%	0.0076	✗	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.092597	-0.27%	0.08925	-3.88%	0.0387	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.085031	-0.08%	0.09285	+9.11%	0.0963	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.088372	-0.14%	0.0851	-3.84%	0.0385	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.089706	-0.22%	0.0885	-1.56%	0.0328	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.094334	-0.33%	0.0899	-5.02%	0.0533	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.088119	-0.32%	0.09465	+7.07%	0.0493	✗	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.093589	-0.54%	0.0884	-6.06%	0.0363	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.090104	-0.33%	0.0941	+4.09%	0.0579	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.08662	-0.32%	0.0904	+4.03%	0.0221	✗	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.083202	-0.30%	0.0869	+4.13%	0.0400	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.079884	-0.27%	0.08345	+4.18%	0.0366	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.07947	-0.29%	0.0801	+0.50%	0.0108	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.076298	-0.26%	0.0797	+4.18%	0.0012	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082277	-0.39%	0.0765	-7.38%	0.0464	✓	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.08336	-0.41%	0.0826	-1.31%	0.0101	✓	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.079934	-0.33%	0.0837	+4.36%	0.0327	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.081767	-0.34%	0.0802	-2.25%	0.0274	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.081612	-0.35%	0.08205	+0.18%	0.0147	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.084648	-0.47%	0.0819	-3.70%	0.0702	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.079465	-0.29%	0.08505	+6.71%	0.0698	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.081653	-0.30%	0.0797	-2.69%	0.0459	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.082265	-0.29%	0.0819	-0.73%	0.0087	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.080124	-0.28%	0.0825	+2.68%	0.0284	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.078372	-0.23%	0.08035	+2.29%	0.0408	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075323	-0.10%	0.07855	+4.18%	0.0434	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076935	-0.08%	0.0754	-2.08%	0.0398	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.078027	-0.09%	0.077	-1.41%	0.0238	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.079419	-0.10%	0.0781	-1.76%	0.0118	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.076864	-0.05%	0.0795	+3.38%	0.0342	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.083244	-0.19%	0.0769	-7.79%	0.0485	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.081882	-0.14%	0.0834	+1.71%	0.0504	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.084485	-0.37%	0.082	-3.30%	0.0395	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.080573	-0.16%	0.0848	+5.08%	0.0554	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076584	-0.15%	0.0807	+5.22%	0.0137	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.076848	-0.20%	0.0767	-0.39%	0.0119	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.079418	-0.23%	0.077	-3.27%	0.0109	✓	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.081389	-0.14%	0.0796	-2.33%	0.0295	✓	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085439	-0.07%	0.0815	-4.68%	0.0302	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.092646	-0.17%	0.0855	-7.87%	0.0474	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.08986	-0.04%	0.0928	+3.23%	0.0437	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.091971	-0.03%	0.0899	-2.28%	0.0485	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.091443	-0.06%	0.092	+0.55%	0.0146	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084523	+0.03%	0.0915	+8.28%	0.0755	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.089496	-0.12%	0.0845	-5.69%	0.0629	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.089412	-0.10%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.084318	-0.10%	0.0895	+6.04%	0.0563	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.081229	-0.09%	0.0844	+3.81%	0.0176	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.081038	-0.08%	0.0813	+0.25%	0.0320	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.084415	-0.22%	0.0811	-4.14%	0.0215	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.086618	-0.55%	0.0846	-2.87%	0.0118	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.080934	-0.08%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.1129	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.078879	-0.03%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0515	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.083619	-0.10%	0.0789	-5.73%	0.1261	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.080223	-0.10%	0.0837	+4.23%	0.0503	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.075386	-0.02%	0.0803	+6.50%	0.0154	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.079584	-0.08%	0.0754	-5.34%	0.0343	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.080915	-0.10%	0.07965	-1.67%	0.0341	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.081594	-0.13%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0196	✗	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.0816	-0.18%	0.0817	-0.06%	0.0094	✗	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.081788	-0.14%	0.08175	-0.18%	0.0704	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.085364	-0.16%	0.0819	-4.21%	0.0313	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.089551	-0.22%	0.0855	-4.74%	0.0065	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.093967	-0.30%	0.08975	-4.77%	0.0401	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.100025	-0.52%	0.09425	-6.27%	0.0590	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.100514	-0.53%	0.10055	-0.49%	0.0172	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.101005	-0.78%	0.10105	-0.74%	0.0095	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.111711	-1.49%	0.1018	-10.23%	0.0759	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.12187	-4.27%	0.1134	-10.92%	0.0504	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.105131	-3.73%	0.1273	+16.58%	0.1903	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.07078	+0.04%	0.1092	+54.35%	0.4496	✓	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.069315	+0.09%	0.07075	+2.17%	0.0048	✓	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.071135	+0.05%	0.06925	-2.60%	0.0715	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.070687	-0.02%	0.0711	+0.57%	0.0198	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.066031	+0.43%	0.0707	+7.53%	0.0989	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066816	+0.40%	0.06575	-1.20%	0.0057	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.068151	+0.44%	0.06655	-1.92%	0.0208	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.071107	+0.43%	0.06785	-4.17%	0.0645	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069826	+0.47%	0.0708	+1.87%	0.0357	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.062054	+1.48%	0.0695	+13.65%	0.0267	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.072373	+0.38%	0.06115	-15.19%	0.0319	✓	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.078185	+0.11%	0.0721	-7.68%	0.0344	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.081213	-0.05%	0.0781	-3.88%	0.0119	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.08211	+0.01%	0.08125	-1.04%	0.0406	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.087255	-0.17%	0.0821	-6.06%	0.0302	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.105846	-1.26%	0.0874	-18.47%	0.1124	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.088324	-0.20%	0.1072	+21.13%	0.1994	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.096913	-0.60%	0.0885	-9.23%	0.0301	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.091682	-0.35%	0.0975	+5.98%	0.0609	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.089287	-0.35%	0.092	+2.68%	0.0186	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.089627	-0.75%	0.0896	-0.78%	0.0230	✓	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.088986	-0.57%	0.0903	+0.89%	0.0493	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.081168	-0.28%	0.0895	+9.95%	0.1030	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.080257	-0.30%	0.0814	+1.12%	0.0140	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.080519	-0.35%	0.0805	-0.37%	0.0016	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.07886	-0.30%	0.0808	+2.15%	0.0098	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.084864	-0.39%	0.0791	-7.16%	0.0134	✓	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.093206	-0.63%	0.0852	-9.17%	0.0758	✓	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.092017	-0.52%	0.0938	+1.41%	0.0383	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.095424	-0.50%	0.0925	-3.55%	0.0260	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.094387	-0.75%	0.0959	+0.84%	0.0170	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.092092	-0.55%	0.0951	+2.70%	0.0498	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.089722	-0.53%	0.0926	+2.66%	0.0113	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.081569	-0.40%	0.0902	+10.13%	0.0468	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.086114	-0.68%	0.0819	-5.54%	0.0544	✓	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.088753	-0.28%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0302	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.091093	-0.23%	0.089	-2.52%	0.0212	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.091754	-0.27%	0.0913	-0.76%	0.0026	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.0925	-0.22%	0.092	-0.76%	0.0000	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.09614	-0.27%	0.0927	-3.84%	0.0153	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097526	-0.28%	0.0964	-1.43%	0.0085	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097842	-0.36%	0.0978	-0.41%	0.0519	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.096301	-0.31%	0.0982	+1.66%	0.0004	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.094065	-0.25%	0.0966	+2.44%	0.0123	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.089949	-0.17%	0.0943	+4.66%	0.0200	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.087081	-0.14%	0.0901	+3.33%	0.0063	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.089076	-0.14%	0.0872	-2.24%	0.0009	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.089112	-0.21%	0.0892	-0.11%	0.0279	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.088014	-0.10%	0.0893	+1.36%	0.0318	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.093112	-0.20%	0.0881	-5.57%	0.0569	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.102582	-0.98%	0.0933	-9.94%	0.1064	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090621	-0.31%	0.1036	+13.97%	0.1311	✗	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.083742	+0.05%	0.0909	+8.60%	0.0919	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.083434	+0.04%	0.0837	+0.36%	0.0009	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.084329	+0.03%	0.0834	-1.07%	0.0143	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.083733	+0.04%	0.0843	+0.72%	0.0086	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.087104	+0.00%	0.0837	-3.90%	0.0470	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.084541	-0.07%	0.0871	+2.96%	0.0246	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.077062	+0.21%	0.0846	+10.01%	0.0336	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.081714	+0.14%	0.0769	-5.76%	0.0435	✗	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.086301	+0.12%	0.0816	-5.34%	0.0186	✗	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.083263	+0.20%	0.0862	+3.73%	0.0021	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.08507	+0.20%	0.0831	-2.12%	0.0167	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.089205	+0.12%	0.0849	-4.71%	0.0029	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086632	+0.15%	0.0891	+3.01%	0.0286	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090756	+0.17%	0.0865	-4.53%	0.0015	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093863	+0.17%	0.0906	-3.31%	0.0464	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.098546	+0.15%	0.0937	-4.78%	0.0362	✗	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.094079	+0.19%	0.0984	+4.79%	0.0006	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.090677	+0.20%	0.0939	+3.76%	0.0294	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.099305	+0.11%	0.0905	-8.77%	0.1186	✗	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.100519	+0.12%	0.0992	-1.20%	0.0114	✗	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102817	+0.02%	0.1004	-2.33%	0.0392	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102444	+0.04%	0.1028	+0.39%	0.0342	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.104048	+0.05%	0.1024	-1.54%	0.0655	✗	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101949	+0.15%	0.104	+2.16%	0.1086	✗	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.11618	+0.03%	0.1018	-12.35%	0.0281	✗	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.114731	+0.03%	0.11615	+1.26%	0.0236	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116982	-0.02%	0.1147	-1.97%	0.0179	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.121828	-0.10%	0.117	-4.06%	0.0303	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.110743	+0.04%	0.12195	+10.16%	0.0761	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107779	+0.12%	0.1107	+2.83%	0.0518	✗	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107841	+0.13%	0.10765	-0.05%	0.0221	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106998	+0.19%	0.1077	+0.84%	0.0310	✗	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104907	+0.29%	0.1068	+2.10%	0.0398	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.111093	+0.22%	0.1046	-5.64%	0.0497	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.128399	-0.27%	0.11085	-13.90%	0.1080	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119554	+0.13%	0.12875	+7.83%	0.2182	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.118949	+0.17%	0.1194	+0.55%	0.0451	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.119124	+0.27%	0.11875	-0.04%	0.0263	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.12063	+0.27%	0.1188	-1.25%	0.0439	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.125526	+0.22%	0.1203	-3.95%	0.0045	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.120896	+0.29%	0.12525	+3.90%	0.0064	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.124306	+0.21%	0.12055	-2.82%	0.1180	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.126694	+0.15%	0.12405	-1.94%	0.0363	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123583	+0.19%	0.1265	+2.55%	0.0619	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.132584	+0.06%	0.12335	-6.91%	0.0099	✓	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.131771	-0.02%	0.1325	+0.53%	0.0300	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.131294	+0.19%	0.1318	+0.57%	0.0650	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.133283	+0.18%	0.13105	-1.50%	0.0114	✓	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.117182	+0.54%	0.13305	+14.16%	0.0713	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.119761	+0.47%	0.11655	-2.22%	0.0454	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116677	+0.67%	0.1192	+2.85%	0.0461	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122827	+0.39%	0.1159	-5.27%	0.0905	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137918	+0.16%	0.12235	-11.15%	0.0082	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.136947	+0.25%	0.1377	+0.81%	0.0079	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.135015	+0.27%	0.1366	+1.45%	0.0023	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.13748	+0.31%	0.13465	-1.75%	0.0564	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.155241	+0.19%	0.13705	-11.55%	0.0758	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.159318	+0.23%	0.15495	-2.52%	0.0524	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162892	+0.18%	0.15895	-2.24%	0.0079	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.174252	+0.12%	0.1626	-6.58%	0.0567	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.170544	+0.14%	0.17405	+2.20%	0.0603	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172592	+0.20%	0.1703	-1.13%	0.0311	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166828	+0.29%	0.17225	+3.55%	0.0055	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.160423	+0.45%	0.16635	+4.16%	0.0374	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.168206	+0.39%	0.1597	-4.69%	0.0290	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.18131	+0.31%	0.16755	-7.30%	0.0152	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.181568	+0.40%	0.18075	-0.06%	0.0583	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.1762	+0.57%	0.18085	+3.22%	0.0164	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.174334	+0.68%	0.1752	+1.18%	0.0167	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.178373	+0.58%	0.17315	-2.37%	0.0207	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.185316	+0.42%	0.17735	-3.90%	0.0313	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.196796	+0.33%	0.18455	-5.91%	0.0003	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.210753	+0.19%	0.19615	-6.75%	0.0110	✗	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.194087	+0.28%	0.21035	+8.68%	0.0749	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.175203	+0.58%	0.19355	+11.11%	0.0191	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.194822	+0.27%	0.1742	-10.34%	0.0505	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.30723	-0.23%	0.1943	-36.91%	0.2863	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.321154	-0.29%	0.30795	-4.39%	0.0117	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.311402	-0.32%	0.3221	+3.10%	0.0092	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.337455	-0.46%	0.3124	-7.85%	0.0045	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.318943	-0.45%	0.339	+5.81%	0.0353	✗	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.324436	-0.30%	0.3204	-1.54%	0.0359	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.335367	-0.35%	0.3254	-3.31%	0.0333	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.338788	-0.97%	0.33655	-1.62%	0.0448	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.32239	-0.47%	0.3421	+5.62%	0.0143	✗	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.310117	-0.27%	0.3239	+4.16%	0.0687	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.311264	-0.27%	0.31095	-0.37%	0.0067	✗	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.318979	-0.33%	0.3121	-2.48%	0.0805	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.307153	-0.26%	0.32005	+3.93%	0.0289	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.31207	-0.19%	0.30795	-1.50%	0.0128	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.298571	-0.13%	0.31265	+4.58%	0.0274	✗	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.323704	-0.28%	0.29895	-7.90%	0.0432	✗	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.316843	-0.24%	0.3246	+2.20%	0.0134	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.324947	-0.25%	0.3176	-2.50%	0.0030	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.360626	-0.32%	0.32575	-9.96%	0.0329	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.36766	-0.28%	0.3618	-1.87%	0.0036	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.370703	-0.31%	0.3687	-0.85%	0.0071	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.394464	-0.50%	0.37185	-6.21%	0.0217	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.370789	-0.30%	0.39645	+6.60%	0.0503	✗	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.