HAJIMI

? · · gru_s6

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

47.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1902

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0169

actual +0.0390

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020244	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020454	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019844	+0.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019328	+0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.020121	+0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.0215	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021445	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021858	-0.01%	0.020435	-6.52%	0.0810	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024715	-1.52%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1802	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025461	-1.58%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2520	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027488	-2.08%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3434	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028109	-2.25%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3251	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.027673	-1.97%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2402	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027542	-1.81%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2537	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027624	-1.62%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.2162	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027479	-1.16%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0615	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025427	-0.74%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0651	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028871	-0.82%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030097	-1.27%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030347	-1.26%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032576	-1.47%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030584	-1.26%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033287	-1.61%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.2026	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.033801	-1.60%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033748	-1.12%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1718	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034189	-1.10%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.1185	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.033934	-0.92%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.1039	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033618	-0.60%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035241	-0.67%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.1192	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039525	-0.82%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.1254	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.034057	+0.36%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034326	-0.78%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033143	-0.34%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0037	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034639	-0.46%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0503	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033203	-0.92%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030483	-0.48%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0491	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033209	-0.51%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0509	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.01311	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012855	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012349	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012827	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012492	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013296	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012273	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.01282	-0.92%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0688	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012042	+0.18%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0838	✗	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012605	-0.04%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2179	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.01466	-1.41%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2825	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013635	-0.62%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1975	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014404	-0.04%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2814	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012505	+2.17%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.1625	✗	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013358	+0.43%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0168	✗	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013735	+0.26%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0292	✓	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013628	-0.75%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2567	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.01499	-3.16%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6570	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017127	-4.43%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.5978	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.015857	-4.19%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9575	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013259	-3.01%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.9064	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.013854	-3.39%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7171	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013679	-3.47%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.8098	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014107	-3.58%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6963	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014207	-3.29%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5539	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.014962	-3.47%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4463	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.015984	-3.83%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2620	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015313	-3.69%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0554	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017339	-3.94%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1410	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017207	-3.82%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0637	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017273	-3.93%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.0886	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.018852	-4.79%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2741	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.018513	-5.01%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1720	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014716	-2.28%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1405	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014448	-1.91%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1426	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017001	-3.41%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.01133	-1.05%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.4799	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012001	-0.99%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4516	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012227	-0.75%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5423	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013977	-0.66%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.3926	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012307	-0.99%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2340	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.012961	-1.06%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1422	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012637	-1.12%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3179	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013634	-0.63%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1478	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014037	-0.73%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1416	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014546	-1.05%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1893	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014165	-1.36%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015374	-1.57%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2374	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013278	-1.43%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.012925	-1.93%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012199	-2.09%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012224	-1.97%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013052	-1.57%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020625	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019236	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.0168	+1.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.01702	+1.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017978	+0.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019689	+0.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016556	+2.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.01722	+2.56%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2266	✓	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.015384	+6.76%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.1459	✓	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.020052	+1.94%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.1005	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021325	+1.26%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.1243	✗	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024466	+0.35%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1604	✗	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025732	+0.87%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1483	✗	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.02847	+0.28%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3957	✗	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028627	-0.57%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2675	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039396	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.040693	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041431	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.039472	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.041632	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.039473	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035387	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037317	-2.13%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0313	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035018	-1.94%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.0973	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.034946	-1.89%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1141	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035476	-1.92%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0572	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.03588	-1.91%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0832	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040084	-2.02%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0173	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.041614	-2.15%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.1017	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.040944	-2.33%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0619	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035623	-1.97%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0057	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031143	-1.60%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1264	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027592	-1.53%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2397	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028465	-1.57%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.1976	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026582	-1.58%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3562	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.02752	-1.54%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3361	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028063	-1.60%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3480	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029598	-1.60%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1636	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.03001	-1.54%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0128	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.031961	-1.57%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1558	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.031855	-1.56%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.0949	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.031777	-1.56%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1775	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032647	-1.64%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1331	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036267	-1.90%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2285	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035043	-1.92%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1447	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032484	-1.83%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0515	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.030967	-1.72%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0203	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.03162	-1.95%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0013	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027623	-1.77%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1629	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027647	-1.79%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1462	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026295	-1.85%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3326	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028542	-2.15%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2565	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029146	-2.29%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1632	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.0287	-2.55%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2138	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.023898	-2.14%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3945	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.023924	-2.27%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2392	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023561	-2.20%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2492	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.021972	-2.09%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2351	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021126	-1.97%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.3065	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.02223	-2.07%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2787	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022491	-2.25%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2623	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024361	-2.44%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025466	-2.54%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022761	-2.02%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026081	-2.61%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1507	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025607	-2.64%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1551	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.027868	-3.27%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.1878	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.023611	-2.55%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.02428	-2.76%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022134	-2.24%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1214	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021233	-2.20%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1126	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022112	-2.16%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1513	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022295	-1.70%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.0952	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.025992	-2.94%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020615	-1.46%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019027	-2.12%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2827	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.02089	-2.38%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1425	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.022606	-2.35%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.030257	-3.98%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2102	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.034478	-6.16%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.2982	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.026463	-3.53%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021381	-2.77%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1189	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.