HAJIMI

? · · gru_s6

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

51.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0701

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0029

actual +0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020436	+0.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020621	+0.08%	0.020435	-0.83%	0.0061	✗	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019878	+0.34%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0231	✓	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019278	+0.51%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0292	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.020095	+0.48%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0541	✗	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021598	+0.27%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0754	✗	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021521	+0.29%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021928	+0.31%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.02506	-0.14%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1205	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025839	-0.12%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0438	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027974	-0.34%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0591	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028645	-0.38%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0279	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028141	-0.31%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0180	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027976	-0.26%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0008	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027997	-0.29%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0184	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027727	-0.26%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0398	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025574	-0.16%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0859	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.029048	-0.21%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1170	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030397	-0.29%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0639	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030646	-0.29%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032941	-0.36%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030888	-0.28%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033705	-0.37%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0835	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034219	-0.38%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.034024	-0.31%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.03446	-0.32%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.034155	-0.28%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0082	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033747	-0.22%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0183	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035395	-0.24%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039695	-0.39%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.03391	-0.07%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1660	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034508	-0.25%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0816	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033202	-0.16%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0420	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034727	-0.21%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033441	-0.21%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030605	-0.08%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033349	-0.09%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0924	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013231	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012978	-0.17%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0971	✗	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012463	-0.14%	0.013	+4.17%	0.0989	✗	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012974	-0.20%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0074	✓	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012622	-0.14%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0023	✗	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013453	-0.20%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1269	✓	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012359	-0.01%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0413	✗	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012933	-0.06%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0440	✓	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012048	+0.23%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0426	✗	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012635	+0.20%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0368	✗	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014845	-0.16%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0911	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.01373	+0.07%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0921	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014437	+0.19%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1996	✗	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012336	+0.78%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1666	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013351	+0.38%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0880	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013748	+0.35%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0188	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013748	+0.13%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1693	✓	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015402	-0.51%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2503	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017736	-1.02%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0340	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016393	-0.95%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1036	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.01361	-0.44%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1662	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014261	-0.55%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0317	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.01409	-0.57%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0767	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014536	-0.64%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0874	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014601	-0.61%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1109	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015398	-0.66%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0679	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016492	-0.77%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0872	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015794	-0.67%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0449	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017894	-0.86%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0522	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017739	-0.85%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0117	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017823	-0.87%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0539	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019538	-1.32%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0688	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019147	-1.76%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0396	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014971	-0.59%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2728	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014654	-0.52%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017276	-1.84%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1342	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011427	-0.20%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4095	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012092	-0.23%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012295	-0.20%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.014033	-0.26%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1244	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.0124	-0.24%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013065	-0.27%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012746	-0.27%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013691	-0.21%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014107	-0.23%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014655	-0.31%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014311	-0.34%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015543	-0.49%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0776	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013422	-0.35%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1459	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013123	-0.43%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012407	-0.43%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0532	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.01242	-0.40%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0107	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013214	-0.34%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020835	-0.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019245	+0.18%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0166	✓	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016662	+0.55%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1605	✓	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016913	+0.49%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0169	✓	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017896	+0.43%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0350	✗	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019587	+0.35%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0909	✗	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016245	+0.90%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1632	✓	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016926	+0.81%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0245	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014672	+1.82%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0322	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019806	+0.69%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1590	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021174	+0.54%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0313	✗	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024454	+0.30%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0965	✗	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025624	+0.45%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0822	✗	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028471	+0.29%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0790	✗	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028802	+0.04%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0870	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.040005	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041302	-0.48%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0038	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.042055	-0.51%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0071	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.040068	-0.48%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0548	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042245	-0.53%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0272	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.040108	-0.55%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0333	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035997	-0.48%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0499	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037937	-0.51%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0527	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035554	-0.44%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0621	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035468	-0.43%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0090	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.036011	-0.44%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0029	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036419	-0.44%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0029	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040691	-0.54%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0714	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042261	-0.63%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0304	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041604	-0.75%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0131	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.036134	-0.57%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1356	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031525	-0.40%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1331	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027932	-0.31%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1083	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028824	-0.33%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0460	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026926	-0.31%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0845	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027865	-0.30%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0506	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028428	-0.32%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0054	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029979	-0.34%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0509	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030381	-0.32%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0178	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032356	-0.35%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0617	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032247	-0.35%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0137	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032168	-0.35%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0031	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.033066	-0.37%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0068	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036784	-0.50%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.1015	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035547	-0.51%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0344	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.03294	-0.45%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0778	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.031383	-0.40%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0116	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.032082	-0.52%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0061	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.028013	-0.38%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1683	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.028041	-0.39%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0218	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.02669	-0.37%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0842	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.029027	-0.49%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0457	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029662	-0.56%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0163	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.02925	-0.68%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0571	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024316	-0.42%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1836	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024368	-0.46%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0124	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023984	-0.44%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0126	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022356	-0.38%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0706	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021481	-0.32%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0252	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.02262	-0.35%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0472	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.02292	-0.39%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0357	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024856	-0.45%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025996	-0.51%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.023161	-0.30%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026644	-0.51%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.026168	-0.50%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0282	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028575	-0.82%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.02412	-0.46%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1822	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024834	-0.54%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022564	-0.34%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0659	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021647	-0.29%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0556	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022536	-0.28%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022649	-0.13%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026576	-0.76%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020907	-0.06%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2647	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019401	-0.20%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021337	-0.29%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023087	-0.27%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0847	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.031202	-0.98%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2761	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.035801	-2.56%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1133	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.027097	-1.21%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2935	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021836	-0.70%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2807	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.