GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +7d
assessed
69
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
30.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1496
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0187
actual -0.0505
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.24835 | 0.243102 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.24485 | 0.239882 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.252432 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.227902 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.212214 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.211559 | -1.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.214148 | -1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.225613 | -1.78% | 0.24835 | +8.12% | 0.0936 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.211721 | -1.16% | 0.24485 | +14.31% | 0.1428 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205117 | -0.74% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2360 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.209893 | -0.95% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1041 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.228399 | -1.30% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0550 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.230125 | -1.66% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.220879 | -1.90% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.221936 | -2.79% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.217304 | -2.55% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.221307 | -2.29% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0667 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.21767 | -2.63% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.216344 | -2.44% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0696 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.208686 | -3.34% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1157 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.208754 | -3.27% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0769 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.201397 | -3.06% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1279 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.201431 | -2.88% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.1019 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.198027 | -2.64% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1328 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.199452 | -3.04% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1122 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.196066 | -2.79% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1211 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.19855 | -2.60% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0835 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.204075 | -2.52% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.200415 | -2.09% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.190737 | -1.88% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0847 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.193185 | -1.31% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0544 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.189925 | -1.21% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0837 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.185906 | -2.82% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.188105 | -2.94% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0767 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.183304 | -3.22% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1291 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.17237 | -3.54% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.1767 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.162738 | -2.84% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.1825 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.163635 | -2.68% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.1853 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.165351 | -3.02% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1570 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.165368 | -2.87% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1494 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.166531 | -3.01% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1551 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.169497 | -3.12% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1143 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.164006 | -2.75% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.0856 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.156144 | -2.56% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.0702 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.162221 | -2.98% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0355 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.163524 | -3.07% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0416 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.158949 | -2.78% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.15819 | -2.77% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.157673 | -2.61% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.1051 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.158746 | -2.13% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.154487 | -2.65% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0371 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.147892 | -1.67% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1228 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.160562 | -1.68% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0501 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.170782 | -2.07% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0409 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.168081 | -1.36% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0315 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.163521 | -0.84% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171859 | +0.09% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0701 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182929 | +0.13% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.197196 | +0.20% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.20512 | +0.60% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.2227 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.233024 | +0.66% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.247928 | +0.70% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.287323 | +0.60% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.27847 | -0.01% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.299988 | -1.38% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.288722 | -1.53% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.277729 | -1.27% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.5119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.28021 | -0.92% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.4037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290118 | -0.78% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3652 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.300856 | -0.67% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.32003 | -0.89% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.31498 | -0.76% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314358 | -0.80% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.323004 | -1.43% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.305829 | -1.69% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.291235 | -1.64% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 1.00 |