GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0368
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0058
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.265023 | -0.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.256667 | -1.15% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0395 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.231268 | -0.72% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1144 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.214867 | -0.50% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214352 | -0.56% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216703 | -0.55% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228462 | -0.54% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.213224 | -0.46% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0738 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.20582 | -0.40% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0420 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.210952 | -0.45% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230258 | -0.49% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.232738 | -0.54% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.223857 | -0.57% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.226673 | -0.71% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.221686 | -0.59% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0308 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225274 | -0.54% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.22232 | -0.55% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220543 | -0.54% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214435 | -0.68% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0324 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214254 | -0.72% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206366 | -0.67% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.206067 | -0.64% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.202183 | -0.60% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.20417 | -0.74% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200333 | -0.68% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202374 | -0.72% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.207772 | -0.75% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.203236 | -0.72% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0299 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.193039 | -0.70% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0586 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.1946 | -0.59% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.191152 | -0.57% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.189512 | -0.93% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.191941 | -0.96% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.187433 | -1.04% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0330 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.176609 | -1.17% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0727 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.165864 | -0.98% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0747 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.166626 | -0.91% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0056 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.168903 | -0.94% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0065 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.168774 | -0.87% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0114 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170254 | -0.84% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173408 | -0.88% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0098 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167358 | -0.77% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0451 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159335 | -0.57% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0568 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.166067 | -0.68% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0357 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.167456 | -0.74% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162568 | -0.57% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161917 | -0.48% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161374 | -0.32% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161814 | -0.24% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.158432 | -0.17% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0252 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150242 | -0.11% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0548 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.163074 | -0.14% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0824 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174074 | -0.19% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0630 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170073 | -0.19% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0247 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.16448 | -0.25% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171371 | -0.19% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182373 | -0.18% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.196477 | -0.16% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.203661 | -0.12% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.231325 | -0.08% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.246033 | -0.07% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.285433 | -0.06% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277882 | -0.22% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.302682 | -0.50% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.291216 | -0.68% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.279515 | -0.63% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.281012 | -0.63% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290581 | -0.62% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.301065 | -0.61% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320667 | -0.69% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315366 | -0.64% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.31465 | -0.71% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.324056 | -1.11% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.308878 | -0.71% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0737 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294214 | -0.64% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0567 | ✗ | 1.00 |