FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s6

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

90.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2161

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0375

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004106	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004154	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003761	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003736	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003887	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004115	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004246	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004561	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004598	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004478	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004804	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004802	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004657	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004562	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.00497	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005364	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.00548	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005184	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005318	+0.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005282	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005242	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005184	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005257	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005166	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005666	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006005	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006436	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006376	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006314	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007212	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006807	-1.19%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4280	✓	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006326	-3.48%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4161	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006481	-3.17%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5291	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006647	-3.52%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5687	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.005992	-4.57%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4731	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005708	-4.02%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3626	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005798	-4.09%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.3791	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006135	-3.29%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3125	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006127	-4.81%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3636	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006317	-3.11%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.3924	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006231	-3.39%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3410	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.005977	-2.87%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.2973	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006253	-3.63%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3328	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.006786	-5.05%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4248	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.006827	-4.87%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.3693	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.006912	-3.91%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3144	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.006874	-3.80%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3029	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.006951	-3.10%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.3806	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.006996	-1.72%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3273	✓	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.006922	-1.80%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.3827	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.006941	-2.27%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.3879	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007223	-0.86%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.3838	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007147	-0.43%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.3727	✓	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007566	+0.70%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4305	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.00755	+1.18%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.3610	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009602	+2.61%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5099	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009373	+1.69%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4169	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009152	+2.03%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4220	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009368	+1.94%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.4526	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009426	+0.78%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.3508	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009312	-0.05%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4063	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009783	+0.79%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4321	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008641	-3.44%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3431	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008233	-2.30%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3004	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007735	-4.12%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3427	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.007875	-4.83%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.3951	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008126	-5.27%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4308	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008111	-5.58%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4030	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.00811	-4.58%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3767	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008266	-4.73%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.3834	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008313	-4.48%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4101	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.00852	-4.63%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4712	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008466	-4.89%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4259	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008503	-5.22%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3254	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.0084	-5.10%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3155	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008281	-5.12%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3119	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.007927	-5.04%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.2743	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007757	-5.11%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2467	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007766	-4.96%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2754	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008076	-5.00%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.2960	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.007975	-4.78%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2752	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.007919	-4.73%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2678	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.007933	-4.76%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.2745	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.007827	-4.52%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2076	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007785	-3.49%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2138	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.007986	-3.42%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0403	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.007954	-3.48%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0411	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008568	-2.43%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1097	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008488	-1.53%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.0948	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008428	-0.67%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0641	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008851	-0.60%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0939	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009177	-0.26%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0876	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009142	-0.73%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.1003	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008945	-0.57%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1071	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008861	-0.58%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0938	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008962	-0.14%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0762	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008946	-0.25%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0302	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009017	-0.56%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0404	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009372	-1.47%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0786	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009446	-1.92%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0678	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009261	-1.72%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0750	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009562	-1.14%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0656	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009601	-1.00%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0772	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009883	-1.22%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1053	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009192	-0.88%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0570	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009281	-0.78%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0901	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008957	-0.74%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0811	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009808	-1.29%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1886	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009394	-1.11%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1441	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.00946	-0.72%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1108	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009845	-0.65%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1729	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009248	-0.27%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1211	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008895	-0.18%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.0972	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009076	-0.59%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1708	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009195	-0.78%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1726	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008818	-0.76%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1115	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010196	-1.93%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2521	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011101	-2.50%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.2893	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012824	-3.54%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4470	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011464	-2.40%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3406	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011599	-3.07%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.2960	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012154	-3.86%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3060	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.01193	-4.00%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3013	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012304	-4.12%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3251	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.011967	-3.97%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3093	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012258	-4.49%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3353	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012134	-4.37%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.2955	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012447	-4.37%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.2943	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.01252	-4.37%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2552	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012302	-4.20%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2358	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012258	-3.67%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2351	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.011907	-2.66%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2104	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012072	-2.74%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2217	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010822	-1.48%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1082	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011287	-1.70%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2131	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011145	-2.05%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1658	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011378	-3.15%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2321	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011304	-2.99%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1648	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.010879	-2.89%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1647	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012032	-3.74%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2265	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013326	-4.78%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.2831	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.012746	-4.91%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2678	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.013558	-6.68%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3420	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.012914	-6.28%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2274	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.012973	-5.67%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2448	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013064	-4.66%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.2877	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013173	-4.34%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1433	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013503	-4.13%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0606	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014225	-3.55%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0462	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.01469	-3.00%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1249	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.014743	-2.93%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1248	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.014884	-3.35%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1080	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015483	-2.68%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1642	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016107	-2.63%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1708	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015537	-2.21%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1515	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020508	-6.33%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.3899	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016189	-3.65%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1720	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016167	-3.50%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1526	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016724	-3.53%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1823	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017538	-2.76%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2411	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019287	-2.58%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3380	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.0191	-3.82%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3619	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019677	-3.67%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3763	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020375	-3.15%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5155	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021478	-2.73%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5165	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.02103	-3.74%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5199	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.020704	-3.91%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4780	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.01919	-3.73%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.3842	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019502	-2.17%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.3901	✓	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019175	-2.82%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.2753	✓	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019106	-3.72%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1663	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018546	-2.99%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2091	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.017877	-2.94%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1386	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017106	-2.82%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1736	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.016961	-2.73%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1850	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.016976	-3.36%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.1909	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.017739	-3.73%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2235	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018042	-3.79%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2156	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.018605	-4.54%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2028	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.017295	-5.89%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1287	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.017444	-6.30%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1333	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.017382	-6.18%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1039	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.017877	-4.53%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.0872	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.018651	-5.54%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1330	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018018	-6.34%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1436	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.018656	-6.89%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.1246	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.018589	-6.34%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1156	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.018808	-5.46%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1194	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018176	-6.31%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.0828	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.01756	-5.68%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0236	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.017753	-5.68%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0273	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.016836	-5.63%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.1071	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.015795	-5.90%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.1406	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.01648	-5.24%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1430	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017097	-5.16%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1481	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.017859	-5.88%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0944	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.017954	-4.34%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0716	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.017732	-3.69%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0186	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017462	-4.79%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0252	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018066	-5.26%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0613	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.016643	-4.66%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0197	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016053	-4.18%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0296	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016183	-4.20%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0180	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016027	-3.64%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0329	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016139	-3.76%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0251	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016263	-3.66%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0395	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016104	-2.40%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0011	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016328	-1.99%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016583	-2.57%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0054	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017771	-2.83%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0764	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.018949	-3.24%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0918	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.017907	-2.95%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0579	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018598	-2.45%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0801	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.01874	-2.11%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0545	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018989	-2.02%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0740	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019262	-2.30%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0025	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020403	-2.35%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.1010	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.0206	-2.67%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1075	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.02196	-3.13%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1390	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.02293	-3.52%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2078	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.022846	-3.47%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2104	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.02297	-3.31%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.2932	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.02233	-3.11%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2830	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022674	-3.29%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.2979	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.022459	-3.31%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2554	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022156	-3.36%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1786	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023042	-3.67%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2406	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022364	-3.54%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2747	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022656	-3.77%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2331	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.02184	-3.76%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1479	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021309	-4.09%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1489	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.021716	-4.51%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.1796	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.022423	-4.42%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2605	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.023065	-4.86%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3158	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.024084	-4.86%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4036	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.02519	-5.26%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.3963	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.025662	-5.36%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4433	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.02823	-6.39%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.5077	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026085	-6.04%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.3994	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.026366	-6.59%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4528	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.025827	-5.99%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.3974	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.024183	-5.79%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3260	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.024175	-5.92%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.2927	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.025367	-6.54%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2788	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.022373	-5.03%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1795	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023732	-5.63%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2620	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023138	-5.55%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1481	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022599	-5.72%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1098	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021024	-5.03%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0170	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.021668	-5.64%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0021	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021053	-5.06%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020233	-3.87%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0874	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.01967	-3.75%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.1015	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.02006	-4.32%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1311	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.021451	-5.00%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0780	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.02227	-4.92%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.022918	-4.12%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0545	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.0254	-4.77%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023085	-2.65%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.025468	-5.53%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.026604	-6.65%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1150	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030157	-8.14%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2031	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.030594	-7.58%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1475	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.030982	-7.85%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1119	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.033816	-9.13%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0435	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.03208	-8.86%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.037305	-9.78%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.035306	-9.23%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.1203	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.032938	-8.80%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.032057	-8.74%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1736	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.034953	-9.07%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0801	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.