FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s6

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +1d

assessed

270

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0350

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0012

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004217	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004269	-0.19%	0.004217	-1.40%	0.0084	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003855	+0.13%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0868	✓	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003829	+0.12%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0082	✓	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.004003	+0.01%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0555	✗	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004272	-0.07%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0633	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004334	+0.14%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0040	✗	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004689	-0.05%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0887	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004631	+0.11%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0376	✓	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004536	+0.19%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0020	✗	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004827	+0.10%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0341	✗	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004828	-0.03%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0131	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.00474	+0.07%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0132	✓	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004647	+0.08%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0060	✓	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004996	-0.12%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0490	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.00541	-0.01%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0454	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005491	-0.13%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0118	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005198	+0.07%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0672	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005281	-0.01%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0427	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005265	+0.02%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0004	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005286	+0.16%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0010	✓	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005277	+0.10%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0197	✗	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005349	+0.07%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0133	✗	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005257	-0.02%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0140	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005719	-0.08%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0694	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006032	+0.06%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0531	✗	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006516	-0.12%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0827	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006373	-0.30%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0280	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006296	-0.32%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0149	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007199	-1.16%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1071	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006861	-0.40%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0647	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.00652	-0.52%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0189	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006648	-0.68%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0132	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006859	-0.45%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0295	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006258	-0.34%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0335	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005939	-0.14%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0528	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.00604	-0.09%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0233	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006331	-0.20%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0110	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006424	-0.19%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0312	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006514	-0.08%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0056	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006434	-0.25%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0125	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006139	-0.23%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0402	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006475	-0.20%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0276	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007112	-0.50%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0893	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007141	-0.51%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0101	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.00716	-0.46%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0198	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007114	-0.44%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0039	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007145	-0.39%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0020	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007095	-0.34%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0327	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.00703	-0.28%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0484	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007093	-0.13%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0047	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007284	-0.03%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0085	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007183	+0.08%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0014	✓	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007523	+0.12%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0395	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007471	+0.12%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0004	✓	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.00934	-0.19%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1972	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009196	-0.22%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0036	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008963	-0.07%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0223	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.00918	-0.11%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0180	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.00931	-0.46%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0273	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009277	-0.43%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0002	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.00962	-0.89%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0175	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008866	-0.92%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0328	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008401	-0.30%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0217	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008039	-0.35%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0087	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.00825	-0.31%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0245	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008549	-0.34%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0514	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008556	-0.39%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0047	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008476	-0.28%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0128	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.00865	-0.31%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0122	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008679	-0.28%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0004	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008907	-0.31%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0216	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008861	-0.46%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0129	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008939	-0.35%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0074	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008819	-0.37%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0178	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008684	-0.51%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0189	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008307	-0.49%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0419	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008152	-0.28%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0280	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008154	-0.21%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0043	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008482	-0.23%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0447	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008355	-0.23%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0177	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008296	-0.19%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0001	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008309	-0.24%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0011	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008178	-0.23%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0445	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008057	-0.12%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0061	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008259	-0.12%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0243	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.00823	-0.13%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0027	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008775	-0.07%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0413	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008625	+0.06%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0043	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008499	+0.16%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0114	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008915	+0.11%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0365	✗	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.00921	+0.10%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0203	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009217	+0.08%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0037	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.009006	+0.10%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0069	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008923	+0.12%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0019	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008989	+0.16%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0073	✗	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008981	+0.14%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0106	✗	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009072	+0.04%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0128	✗	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.00951	-0.02%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0373	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009627	-0.04%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0090	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009423	-0.00%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0084	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009677	+0.05%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0102	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009707	+0.10%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0032	✗	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.010007	+0.02%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0273	✗	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009286	+0.13%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0640	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009364	+0.12%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0200	✗	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.009034	+0.12%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0471	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.00992	-0.17%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0874	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009508	+0.09%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0398	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009542	+0.15%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0096	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009924	+0.14%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0472	✗	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009288	+0.16%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0532	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008937	+0.30%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0199	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009157	+0.29%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0439	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009289	+0.23%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0019	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008909	+0.26%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0318	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010406	+0.09%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1529	✗	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011393	+0.05%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0908	✗	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013259	-0.27%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1556	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.01175	+0.03%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1404	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011959	-0.06%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0047	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012609	-0.26%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0350	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012404	-0.19%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0096	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012807	-0.19%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0179	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012446	-0.13%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0214	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012809	-0.20%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0348	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012661	-0.21%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0331	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012986	-0.23%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0091	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.013067	-0.19%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0043	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012824	-0.14%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0136	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.01272	-0.04%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0064	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012245	+0.10%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0274	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012419	+0.06%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0148	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.011037	+0.47%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.0938	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011528	+0.39%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0455	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011436	+0.51%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0199	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011803	+0.47%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0341	✗	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011744	+0.79%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0277	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011321	+1.05%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0310	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012572	+0.59%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0884	✗	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.01402	+0.18%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1128	✗	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013436	+0.24%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0657	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014465	-0.44%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0459	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013755	-0.18%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0710	✗	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013748	-0.04%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0035	✗	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013723	+0.15%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0004	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013798	+0.20%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0061	✗	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014108	+0.16%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0186	✗	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014761	+0.09%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0373	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015153	+0.06%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0193	✗	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015194	+0.03%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0047	✗	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015411	+0.07%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0158	✗	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.01593	+0.12%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0388	✗	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016545	+0.01%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0308	✗	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015893	+0.03%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0397	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021443	-2.06%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3034	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016796	-0.04%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2660	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016747	-0.04%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0057	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.01732	-0.09%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0298	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.018028	-0.04%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0345	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.01977	-0.14%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0833	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019812	-0.23%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0092	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020377	-0.24%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0204	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020987	-0.24%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0215	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.022015	-0.30%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0432	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021769	-0.36%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0069	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021467	-0.37%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0154	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019877	-0.28%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0797	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019894	-0.20%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0121	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019675	-0.28%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0089	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019758	-0.44%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0100	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.019006	-0.58%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0317	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018393	-0.14%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0397	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017585	-0.10%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0424	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017425	-0.07%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0081	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017546	-0.12%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0116	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018393	-0.18%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0401	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018713	-0.21%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0047	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019417	-0.37%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0213	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018304	-0.40%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0523	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018533	-0.45%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0104	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018445	-0.44%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0179	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018671	-0.29%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0085	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019661	-0.42%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0689	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019147	-0.47%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0253	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019929	-0.53%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0600	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019745	-0.51%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0381	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019808	-0.44%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0184	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019307	-0.48%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0065	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018546	-0.38%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0410	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018741	-0.43%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0148	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017777	-0.36%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0605	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016738	-0.28%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0177	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017337	-0.30%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0030	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.01797	-0.32%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0339	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018897	-0.41%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0624	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018726	-0.23%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0040	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018383	-0.15%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0314	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018298	-0.23%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0346	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.019004	-0.34%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0335	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017433	-0.14%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0668	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016758	+0.03%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0364	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016898	+0.03%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0095	✗	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016644	+0.07%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0314	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016778	+0.05%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0073	✗	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.0169	+0.11%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0280	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016542	+0.25%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0096	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016702	+0.26%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0071	✗	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.017057	+0.21%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0231	✗	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.018298	+0.05%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0400	✗	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019565	-0.09%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0351	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018447	-0.02%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0502	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.019069	+0.02%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0287	✗	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019161	+0.09%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0445	✗	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019396	+0.07%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0010	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019721	+0.03%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0033	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020894	+0.00%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0657	✗	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021159	-0.03%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0047	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022645	-0.11%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0339	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023731	-0.15%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0342	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023635	-0.14%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0198	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023728	-0.12%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0229	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.023025	-0.09%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0276	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023418	-0.11%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0214	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023202	-0.11%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0062	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022903	-0.11%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0108	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023882	-0.15%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0614	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023159	-0.11%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0018	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023502	-0.18%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0044	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022656	-0.17%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0502	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022171	-0.21%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0622	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022684	-0.25%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0036	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023405	-0.23%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0943	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024171	-0.30%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0222	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.02525	-0.25%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0925	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026507	-0.30%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0255	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.027033	-0.31%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0358	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.02996	-0.65%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0721	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027608	-0.56%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.0966	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027905	-1.14%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0782	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027339	-0.49%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0426	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025576	-0.36%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1310	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025605	-0.36%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0091	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026988	-0.57%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0485	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023526	-0.14%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1241	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.02507	-0.30%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0729	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.024447	-0.21%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0484	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023921	-0.20%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0504	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.02215	+0.06%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0777	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.02296	-0.02%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0181	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022211	+0.16%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.02117	+0.59%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020594	+0.76%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.02112	+0.73%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.0227	+0.53%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023562	+0.59%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.024112	+0.87%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026832	+0.60%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0972	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.024113	+1.68%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.027132	+0.64%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028572	+0.25%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032723	-0.32%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.0992	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.03307	-0.10%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033575	-0.13%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0084	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036984	-0.62%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0282	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.035019	-0.51%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0655	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.040875	-1.15%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.038561	-0.86%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0693	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.03586	-0.71%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0715	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.034923	-0.58%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.038098	-0.89%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0525	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.