ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s6

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0630

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.30355	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.305012	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.340667	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.316493	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.313584	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.321613	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.308967	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.322714	-0.43%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0806	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.295372	-0.08%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0045	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.310343	-0.21%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1157	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.320285	-0.38%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0016	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.323787	-0.76%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0009	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.323094	-0.95%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0270	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.292911	-0.44%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0725	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.305836	-0.57%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0512	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.295964	-0.62%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0263	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.318457	-0.84%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0134	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.311518	-0.73%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.0925	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.32216	-0.71%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0546	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.303833	-0.77%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.0984	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.322556	-0.90%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0627	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.32641	-0.92%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0121	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.327704	-1.12%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0915	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.331925	-1.18%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0611	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.319954	-1.13%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0538	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.327389	-1.12%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0399	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.3241	-1.13%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0618	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.334567	-1.23%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0338	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.33537	-1.25%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0249	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.342709	-1.46%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0210	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.336026	-1.26%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0395	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.319473	-1.23%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0612	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.273948	-1.07%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1430	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.278576	-1.09%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1180	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.282718	-1.20%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1357	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.253517	+0.13%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.1861	✓	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.250251	+0.46%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2203	✓	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.244575	+1.04%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.1913	✓	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.269332	+0.27%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0821	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.261539	+0.71%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0025	✓	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.262646	+0.79%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0201	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.258002	+1.22%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0574	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.258754	+1.08%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0193	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.25296	+1.43%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0131	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.255573	+1.34%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0156	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.227165	+2.56%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1803	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.268373	+1.43%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0109	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.263588	+1.65%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0203	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.258621	+1.90%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0152	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.26888	+2.08%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.264597	+1.55%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0718	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.256229	+1.84%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0295	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.263011	+1.78%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1788	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.251617	+1.91%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0155	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.255326	+1.85%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0050	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.259777	+1.36%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0469	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.262089	+1.35%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0077	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264914	+0.92%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0064	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.264045	+0.63%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0330	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.268138	+0.31%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0313	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266669	-0.01%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0762	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270031	-0.32%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0903	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266351	-0.43%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0318	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.241013	-0.78%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0262	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213325	-1.01%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0914	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198941	-1.22%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1102	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200138	-1.21%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1148	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.203789	-0.64%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0792	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.201417	-0.54%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1172	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.205825	-0.57%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0667	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.207339	-0.79%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0303	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213775	-0.98%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0719	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218858	-1.24%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0990	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.233695	-1.89%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1505	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.230246	-2.36%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0874	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.233028	-2.42%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1141	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.230057	-2.35%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0791	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.228493	-2.40%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0775	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.220114	-2.30%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0028	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.217005	-2.25%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0282	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.211873	-2.00%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1110	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.209672	-2.07%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0985	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199249	-1.36%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1517	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202002	-1.27%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1255	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.204854	-1.18%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1397	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206829	-0.75%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0757	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.206492	-0.44%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0696	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.200688	-0.01%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0776	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.209464	+0.46%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0469	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.216138	+0.39%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0458	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.217284	+0.45%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0425	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.221691	+0.63%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0626	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.219815	+0.79%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0229	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.22508	+0.71%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0449	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.221061	+0.57%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0756	✗	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.221607	+0.46%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0700	✗	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.221924	+0.37%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0236	✗	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.221603	+0.23%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0268	✗	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.220314	+0.14%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0172	✗	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.220095	+0.04%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0274	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.212978	+0.04%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0278	✓	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.210451	+0.07%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0010	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.220994	-0.23%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0149	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.219477	-0.33%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0063	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217952	-0.43%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0175	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.217301	-0.41%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0041	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220611	-0.45%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0378	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.220014	-0.67%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0563	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221077	-0.91%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0253	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214087	-0.84%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0320	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211164	-0.82%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0328	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210969	-0.86%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0159	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206451	-0.70%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0329	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.202375	-0.50%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0600	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.190107	-0.15%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0907	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201455	-0.52%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0551	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201668	-0.51%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0172	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.203476	-0.65%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0060	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203681	-0.69%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0122	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210641	-0.83%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0359	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.217452	-1.20%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0541	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.218202	-1.49%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0854	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.217609	-1.53%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0256	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.214498	-1.47%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0102	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214481	-1.43%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0071	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.211361	-1.37%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0130	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.210715	-1.30%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0472	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217076	-1.24%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0548	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.223078	-1.12%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0278	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.230573	-1.17%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0152	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223925	-1.09%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0008	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.21965	-1.10%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0069	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.219522	-1.16%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0233	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.218086	-1.14%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0129	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.208026	-1.08%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0193	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21358	-1.21%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0086	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.210312	-0.98%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0656	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.210668	-0.96%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0437	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.207464	-1.02%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0254	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.212315	-1.06%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0155	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.225036	-1.00%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0172	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.234377	-1.02%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0814	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.251129	-0.82%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1018	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.268705	-0.96%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1772	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.273587	-0.77%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1802	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.27029	-0.67%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1724	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.2621	-0.49%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1207	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.258743	-0.25%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0672	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.269609	-0.18%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0648	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.283556	-0.12%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0596	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.278861	+0.20%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0193	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.285499	+0.14%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0093	✗	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.285518	+0.15%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0280	✗	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.284133	+0.26%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0609	✗	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.282372	+0.20%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0557	✗	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.28914	+0.08%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0457	✗	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.288119	+0.18%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0082	✗	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.285597	+0.21%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0280	✗	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.283769	+0.09%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0077	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.288277	-0.35%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0011	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.301269	-1.03%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0350	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.305153	-0.70%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0544	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304357	-0.93%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0388	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307695	-0.65%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0405	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.320431	-0.49%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0820	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.311658	-0.11%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0593	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308086	-0.26%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0440	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308803	-0.19%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0061	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.308206	+0.03%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0107	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.316596	+0.22%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0108	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.318775	+0.12%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0260	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.301658	+0.29%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0528	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.298699	+0.03%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0203	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.301434	+0.08%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0116	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.302639	+0.05%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0090	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.296743	+0.01%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0113	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.297097	+0.03%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0211	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.305099	+0.20%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0101	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.306343	+0.51%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0360	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.313926	+0.68%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0492	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.318741	+0.55%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0640	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.315087	+0.70%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0463	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.317255	+0.78%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0528	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.321286	+0.53%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0608	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.315745	+0.05%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0360	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.31573	-0.18%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0462	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.316722	-0.84%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0524	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.323385	-0.53%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0344	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.32955	-0.35%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0546	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319927	-0.86%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0396	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312858	-1.06%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0040	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307261	-1.30%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0102	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303721	-1.10%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0293	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296485	-1.47%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0489	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.310279	-1.44%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0255	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301232	-1.40%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0610	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.295186	-1.57%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0621	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.295669	-1.71%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0368	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.293906	-1.77%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0391	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.294826	-1.49%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0071	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.292225	-1.38%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0139	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.295214	-0.43%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0132	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.285824	+0.01%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0135	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.287935	-0.06%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0027	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.292544	-0.53%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0015	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.278792	-0.22%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0380	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.274893	-0.00%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0656	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.271337	+0.16%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0596	✓	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.279687	-0.18%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0492	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.284852	-0.37%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0024	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288881	-0.35%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0149	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.294896	+0.10%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0266	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.293218	+0.01%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0269	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.296542	+0.05%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0372	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.284601	-0.31%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0313	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.28797	-0.11%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0029	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.290233	+0.25%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0237	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.300067	+0.19%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0238	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.315857	+0.34%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0702	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.330901	+0.52%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0902	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.336699	+0.48%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0919	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.327357	+0.39%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0912	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.317081	+0.31%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0738	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.323893	+0.21%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1082	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.317206	+0.22%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0518	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.319226	+0.17%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0234	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.322159	+0.08%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0138	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.320839	-0.11%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0145	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.319706	-0.47%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0443	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.317947	-0.30%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0432	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319115	-0.25%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0140	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.314633	-0.05%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0093	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.323285	-0.13%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0090	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.329686	-0.31%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0409	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.33636	-0.37%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0420	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.343302	-0.69%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0689	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352728	-0.78%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1042	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.344203	-0.89%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0996	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.352002	-0.98%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1501	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.355264	-1.29%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1452	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.312466	-1.27%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0113	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.29411	-1.01%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0942	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292134	-0.70%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1882	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.301751	-0.77%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1743	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.302711	-0.78%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1615	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.308018	-0.90%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1375	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.317473	-1.04%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1076	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.325759	-1.08%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0105	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.326152	-1.02%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0441	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.328926	-0.99%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0982	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.370093	-1.26%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1761	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.365859	-1.33%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1724	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356723	-1.49%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1466	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.355538	-1.40%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0956	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.37414	-1.49%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1121	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.378739	-1.47%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1250	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.389153	-1.60%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1413	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.393736	-1.81%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0554	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.398629	-2.13%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0531	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.358604	+0.67%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0272	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.359839	-1.33%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0880	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.361622	-0.90%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1483	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.356695	-0.17%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2088	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344956	-0.24%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2336	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.362726	+0.06%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2402	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.39218	+0.53%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2308	✓	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.409895	+0.34%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1847	✓	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.419938	-0.96%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0827	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.426657	-1.17%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0238	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.422548	-0.81%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0442	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.426532	-0.46%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0778	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.426398	-1.68%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0213	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.424127	-2.07%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0107	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.427572	-2.31%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0214	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.436183	-2.85%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0257	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.423124	-2.19%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0091	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.442484	-2.58%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0204	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.455514	-1.60%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0360	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.467181	-1.44%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0056	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.471819	-1.60%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0044	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.481264	-1.92%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0122	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.499351	-2.22%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0052	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.45015	-1.82%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0532	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.441373	-1.37%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0100	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.447542	-1.12%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0038	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.45016	-0.85%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0125	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.457576	-0.66%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0258	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.451067	-0.34%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0197	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.457795	-0.20%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0245	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.484812	+0.09%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0805	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.499819	+0.06%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0700	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.490946	-0.11%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0717	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.485648	-0.20%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0639	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.490963	-0.27%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0726	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.481797	-0.29%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0987	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.465221	-0.25%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0733	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.493427	-0.50%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0999	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.473512	-0.52%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0502	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.475475	-0.57%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0228	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.431	-0.12%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0790	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.427729	-0.13%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1001	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.430164	-0.26%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0922	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.440524	-0.49%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0588	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.443302	-0.56%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0973	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.461314	-0.90%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0536	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.470844	-1.08%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0272	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.489924	-1.22%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1190	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.480975	-1.26%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1036	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.449608	-0.71%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0682	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.458278	-1.00%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0561	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.449773	-1.19%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0023	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.446215	-0.95%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0089	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.469235	-1.36%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0072	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.469895	-1.45%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0834	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.474838	-1.40%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0588	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.488547	-1.34%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0325	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.507372	-1.44%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0021	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.513537	-1.41%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0472	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.517036	-1.39%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0718	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.526956	-1.39%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0678	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.517798	-1.45%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0977	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.497544	-1.32%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0469	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.504458	-1.09%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0253	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.514708	-0.88%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0217	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.532229	-1.16%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0433	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.494811	-1.16%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0141	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.535733	-1.05%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0030	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.542813	-0.96%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0076	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.578358	-1.03%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1123	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.596346	-1.09%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1686	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.609837	-1.30%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2071	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.612986	-1.91%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1957	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.592804	-1.87%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1351	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.603238	-2.70%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1691	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.517395	-2.53%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0441	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.445115	-1.48%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1764	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.445208	-1.37%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2247	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.468474	-0.81%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2936	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.506432	-0.78%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3049	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.496873	-0.82%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2602	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.511061	-0.57%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3198	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.518114	-0.42%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2118	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.519073	-0.47%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0253	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.565878	-0.36%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0063	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.594662	-0.39%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0665	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.61874	-0.43%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0329	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.621183	-0.26%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0074	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.638802	-0.45%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0477	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.636549	-0.63%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0906	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.639427	-0.69%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0589	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.611174	-0.67%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0464	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.638259	-0.88%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0318	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.568913	-0.47%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0651	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.561136	-0.10%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1135	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.605838	-0.65%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1492	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.624163	-0.72%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1505	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.620453	-0.68%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1375	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.626298	-0.63%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.0970	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.604704	-0.71%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1639	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.597492	-0.91%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1446	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.682958	-1.02%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0774	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.731474	-1.41%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1206	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.673683	-0.75%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0446	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.677514	-0.79%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0587	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.660547	-0.45%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0193	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.616323	+0.18%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0483	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.634214	+0.27%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1168	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.664991	-0.17%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0144	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.67163	-0.22%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0135	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.623756	+0.17%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0194	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.613968	+0.22%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0394	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.626237	+0.17%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0297	✓	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.652448	-0.34%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0124	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.667327	-1.30%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0138	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.680915	-2.60%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0450	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.684938	-3.04%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0754	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.611729	-0.79%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0673	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.580491	-1.04%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1497	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.661069	-3.03%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1219	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.688825	-3.32%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.1074	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.681243	-3.33%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0957	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.721352	-1.99%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0826	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.695361	-2.62%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1175	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.698601	-3.17%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0183	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.709494	-3.18%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0760	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.718378	-3.68%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0656	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.697765	-4.15%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0357	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.663981	-3.32%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0307	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.668695	-3.51%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0373	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.690595	-2.66%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1243	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.684701	-1.47%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1300	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.674026	-1.26%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0965	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.687674	-1.07%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0882	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.723681	-1.86%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0718	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.705517	-1.42%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0578	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.736977	-1.35%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0869	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.77329	-1.42%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0373	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.794263	-1.26%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0415	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.792203	-1.20%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0566	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.802202	-1.33%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0195	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.