ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s6

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0912

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0215

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.299205	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.300417	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.334174	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.310928	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.309618	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.317338	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.304809	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.321186	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.290609	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.309617	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.317936	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.324721	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.323585	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.290469	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.303451	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.294326	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.318252	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.310717	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.321331	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.301475	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.319832	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.323221	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.324019	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.327789	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.315401	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.322349	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.318825	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.328788	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.329141	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.336284	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.331607	-2.55%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0435	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.317175	-1.94%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0121	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.271118	-2.09%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2230	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.275862	-2.05%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1406	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.280665	-1.92%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1020	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.247564	-2.23%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2015	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.244206	-1.96%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1659	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.237559	-1.86%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2228	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.266507	-0.78%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0617	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.257853	-0.71%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1095	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.259809	-0.30%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1571	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.255223	+0.13%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.1655	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.256226	+0.09%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1621	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.251501	+0.84%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1023	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.254599	+0.95%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1469	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.226174	+2.11%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2188	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.268197	+1.36%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1192	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.263722	+1.71%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1045	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.259195	+2.13%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1468	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.271141	+2.94%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.0823	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.266199	+2.17%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1115	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.258979	+2.93%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1472	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.267392	+3.48%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1504	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.256609	+3.93%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.1932	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.262184	+4.58%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1451	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.265512	+3.59%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1380	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.271367	+4.94%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1369	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.272946	+3.98%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1510	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.272326	+3.78%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1449	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.277475	+3.81%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1554	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.274384	+2.88%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1064	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.276444	+2.05%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0338	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.277005	+3.55%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0383	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.245696	+1.15%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0278	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.215365	-0.06%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1478	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198545	-1.42%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1006	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.199477	-1.54%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0791	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202457	-1.29%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0138	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.20018	-1.15%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1019	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204387	-1.26%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0617	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.205569	-1.64%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0578	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.211388	-2.09%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0100	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.215768	-2.63%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0062	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.229251	-3.76%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0931	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.225582	-4.33%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0588	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.228635	-4.26%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2079	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.226252	-3.97%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0326	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.225108	-3.84%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0504	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.217651	-3.39%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0328	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.215001	-3.15%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0088	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.210297	-2.73%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0410	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.208333	-2.69%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0101	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.19838	-1.79%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0678	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.201343	-1.59%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0183	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.20354	-1.81%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0400	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206145	-1.08%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0412	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.206105	-0.62%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0226	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.200836	+0.07%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.0757	✓	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.209463	+0.46%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0645	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.216165	+0.40%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0262	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.217454	+0.53%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0319	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.222068	+0.80%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0475	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.220346	+1.03%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0403	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.225153	+0.74%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0080	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.220674	+0.40%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0780	✗	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.22077	+0.08%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0918	✗	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.22063	-0.21%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0810	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219997	-0.50%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0557	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218364	-0.74%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0652	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.217461	-1.15%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0255	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.210103	-1.31%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0162	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208306	-0.95%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0190	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.217147	-1.97%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0232	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.215254	-2.25%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0994	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.213271	-2.57%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0907	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.212908	-2.43%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0909	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.216454	-2.32%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0473	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.214846	-3.00%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0725	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.215272	-3.51%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0371	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.208661	-3.35%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0558	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.205931	-3.27%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0436	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.205733	-3.32%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0270	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.20187	-2.90%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0164	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.198728	-2.30%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0094	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.187038	-1.77%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0235	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.196748	-2.84%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0118	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.196901	-2.86%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0022	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.197884	-3.38%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0325	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.197578	-3.67%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0118	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.204008	-3.95%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0036	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.209129	-4.98%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0035	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.208837	-5.72%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0252	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.208288	-5.75%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0211	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.204917	-5.87%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0485	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.205103	-5.74%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0574	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.201549	-5.95%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0759	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.2004	-6.14%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0756	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.207136	-5.76%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0716	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.213558	-5.34%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0512	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.22109	-5.23%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0132	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.214202	-5.39%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0022	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.209147	-5.83%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0314	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.20836	-6.19%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0587	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.206907	-6.21%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0597	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.195231	-7.17%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0824	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.200646	-7.19%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0661	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.198432	-6.58%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.1205	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.198909	-6.48%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.1073	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.193243	-7.80%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.1059	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.198051	-7.71%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0562	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.213441	-6.10%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0055	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.222796	-5.91%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0302	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.241088	-4.78%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0981	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.259139	-4.48%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1605	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.265551	-3.68%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2238	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.262243	-3.62%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1718	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.253304	-3.83%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1325	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.249577	-3.79%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1078	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.261399	-3.22%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1492	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.278334	-1.96%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1709	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.277121	-0.42%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0921	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.284363	-0.26%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1330	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.284085	-0.36%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1558	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.28078	-0.92%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1607	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.283393	+0.57%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1612	✗	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.290996	+0.73%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1987	✗	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.288977	+0.48%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1965	✗	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.28702	+0.71%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1712	✗	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.286174	+0.94%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1494	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.291172	+0.65%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1343	✗	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.303454	-0.31%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1894	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.307837	+0.17%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1963	✗	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.30682	-0.12%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1958	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.310906	+0.39%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.2082	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.32431	+0.72%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2669	✗	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.31675	+1.52%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.2129	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.312933	+1.31%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2424	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.314145	+1.53%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2518	✗	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.314518	+2.08%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2458	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.32361	+2.44%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.2026	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.325698	+2.29%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.2283	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.308144	+2.44%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1451	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.303841	+1.76%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0978	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.306701	+1.83%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0715	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.307861	+1.77%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0778	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.302281	+1.88%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0864	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.302689	+1.92%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.1212	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.311579	+2.32%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1624	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.312988	+2.69%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.1249	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.320485	+2.79%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.1006	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.326281	+2.93%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1562	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.323158	+3.28%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.1218	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.324689	+3.14%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.1183	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.327007	+2.32%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.1231	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.319821	+1.34%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1352	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.318767	+0.78%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.1102	✗	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.317514	-0.59%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1215	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.324477	-0.19%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1389	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.330914	+0.06%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1570	✗	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319938	-0.86%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1228	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.311627	-1.45%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0550	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.305724	-1.79%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0461	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303932	-1.03%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0270	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.293317	-2.52%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0232	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.30924	-1.77%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0259	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.300678	-1.58%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0333	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.293564	-2.11%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0176	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.293435	-2.45%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0180	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.292417	-2.27%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0108	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.291474	-2.61%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0224	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.290002	-2.13%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0040	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.294496	-0.68%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0845	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.286849	+0.37%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0581	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.290041	+0.67%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0619	✗	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.295646	+0.53%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0624	✗	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.282418	+1.08%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0202	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.278182	+1.19%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0135	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.274043	+1.16%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0137	✓	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.282402	+0.79%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0203	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.287346	+0.51%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0261	✗	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.290211	+0.11%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0108	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.296054	+0.49%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0022	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.294048	+0.29%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0013	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.2971	+0.24%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0098	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.285323	-0.06%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0255	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.287871	-0.15%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0328	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.289841	+0.12%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0677	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.298965	-0.18%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0323	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.314466	-0.11%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0018	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.330058	+0.26%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0333	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.3356	+0.15%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0591	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.326428	+0.10%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0592	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.315772	-0.10%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0563	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.32223	-0.30%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0668	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.315467	-0.33%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0249	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.317056	-0.52%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0622	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319388	-0.78%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0796	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.317371	-1.19%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0781	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.31538	-1.81%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1085	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.313772	-1.61%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0625	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.314828	-1.59%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0692	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.310073	-1.50%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0095	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.317458	-1.93%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0500	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.323583	-2.15%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1007	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.329601	-2.37%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1065	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.335395	-2.98%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2108	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.34472	-3.03%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2236	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.335551	-3.38%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2152	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.343058	-3.50%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1887	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.346079	-3.84%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1719	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.302406	-4.45%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.0921	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.283889	-4.45%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0311	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.28219	-4.08%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0081	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.290754	-4.39%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0104	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.290716	-4.71%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0165	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.294642	-5.20%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0435	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.302668	-5.65%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.0899	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.309852	-5.91%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0612	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.309255	-6.14%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0087	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.310873	-6.42%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0012	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.350401	-6.51%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.0986	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.345308	-6.87%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1006	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.334622	-7.59%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1129	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.332585	-7.77%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.0738	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.350577	-7.69%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1219	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.354908	-7.67%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1088	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.364892	-7.74%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1218	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.368484	-8.11%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1280	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.375363	-7.84%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1035	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.335063	-5.93%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.0973	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.338792	-7.10%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0124	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.344665	-5.55%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0226	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.344061	-3.71%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0310	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.329766	-4.64%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1299	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.35054	-3.30%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1088	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.387285	-0.72%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1559	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.405613	-0.71%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1227	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.417882	-1.44%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1539	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.424937	-1.57%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1275	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.421081	-1.15%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1233	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.424659	-0.90%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0414	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.424959	-2.02%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0055	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.422239	-2.51%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0309	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.424876	-2.93%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0105	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.432507	-3.67%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0245	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.419936	-2.93%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0339	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.43769	-3.63%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0959	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.454249	-1.87%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0838	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.466448	-1.59%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0467	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.470068	-1.97%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0617	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.477106	-2.77%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1514	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.493012	-3.46%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1404	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.446625	-2.59%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2308	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.439362	-1.82%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1866	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.445579	-1.55%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1891	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.448493	-1.21%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1645	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.455608	-1.08%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2009	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.449201	-0.75%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2473	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.455289	-0.74%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2517	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480899	-0.72%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2622	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.495533	-0.79%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0455	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.487364	-0.84%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0202	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.482432	-0.86%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0993	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.487952	-0.88%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1212	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.479855	-0.69%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.1089	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.463974	-0.52%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1182	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.490392	-1.11%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1202	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.471556	-0.93%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1386	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.473595	-0.96%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.1121	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.430528	-0.23%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0174	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.426409	-0.44%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0163	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.427191	-0.95%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0142	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.435417	-1.65%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0337	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.437101	-1.95%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0297	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.452064	-2.89%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0190	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.460251	-3.31%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0569	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.478919	-3.44%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1170	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.470732	-3.36%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1001	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.44324	-2.11%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0764	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.449693	-2.85%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0729	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.438974	-3.56%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0035	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.436099	-3.20%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0007	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.455505	-4.25%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.0993	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.455105	-4.55%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0308	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.459239	-4.64%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0235	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.472572	-4.57%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0078	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.48972	-4.87%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0385	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.495577	-4.86%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0659	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.498373	-4.95%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.0924	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.508039	-4.93%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.0974	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.49836	-5.15%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0671	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.4782	-5.16%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0054	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.486349	-4.64%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0235	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.497463	-4.21%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0432	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.512265	-4.87%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0171	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.472105	-5.69%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0325	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.513821	-5.09%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0036	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.520661	-5.01%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0295	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.554972	-5.04%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1000	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.572746	-5.00%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2267	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.584818	-5.35%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2604	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.583882	-6.56%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3003	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.565671	-6.36%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2340	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.576121	-7.08%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2673	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.489707	-7.74%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1157	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.416299	-7.86%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0746	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.417706	-7.46%	0.496	+9.88%	0.1419	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.447784	-5.19%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1419	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.487758	-4.44%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0533	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.476701	-4.85%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0714	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.493771	-3.94%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0267	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.502384	-3.44%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0471	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.501954	-3.75%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0545	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.553471	-2.54%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0049	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.583366	-2.28%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0076	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.608329	-2.10%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0400	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.612967	-1.58%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0490	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.62989	-1.84%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0053	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.62655	-2.19%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0185	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.630623	-2.06%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0519	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.601454	-2.25%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0696	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.630238	-2.12%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0201	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.559076	-2.19%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0569	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.551909	-1.74%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1615	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.594725	-2.47%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2234	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.612544	-2.57%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2121	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.608393	-2.61%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2113	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.613874	-2.61%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1881	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.591537	-2.87%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3229	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.585507	-2.90%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4047	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.673064	-2.45%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3155	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.723432	-2.49%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3206	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.664196	-2.15%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3009	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.66803	-2.18%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3362	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.652894	-1.60%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2299	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.608807	-1.04%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0817	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.629618	-0.46%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0306	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.664491	-0.24%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0308	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.671853	-0.19%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0186	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.621518	-0.19%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0274	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.611323	-0.21%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0217	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.62698	+0.28%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0124	✓	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.658241	+0.54%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0175	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.674518	-0.23%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0287	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.685734	-1.91%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0638	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.689166	-2.44%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0762	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.612889	-0.60%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.0830	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.579795	-1.16%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2243	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.649326	-4.75%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2490	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.672119	-5.67%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.2191	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.664781	-5.66%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1858	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.70436	-4.30%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1749	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.677239	-5.16%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.1127	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.678728	-5.93%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0092	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.690074	-5.83%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0221	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.698557	-6.33%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0286	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.680081	-6.58%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0319	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.653834	-4.80%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0384	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.657994	-5.05%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0180	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.682462	-3.81%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1341	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.676155	-2.70%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0449	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.665192	-2.55%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0376	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.679169	-2.29%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0405	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.715654	-2.95%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0119	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.697829	-2.50%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0213	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.728393	-2.50%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0860	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.762438	-2.80%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0754	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.783008	-2.66%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0834	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.781237	-2.56%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0405	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.789691	-2.87%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0845	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.