EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s6
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +7d
assessed
25
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
76.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4441
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0248
actual -0.4493
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002469 | +0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002443 | +0.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.00286 | +0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003006 | +0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.00305 | +0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002933 | +1.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003338 | +0.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002674 | +1.06% | 0.002465 | -6.86% | 0.1027 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003544 | +1.00% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.3775 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004171 | +0.50% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.3805 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005095 | -2.57% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.5077 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.004999 | -1.52% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.4816 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005082 | -1.27% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005489 | -1.76% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.5101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006003 | -3.70% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.7983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005698 | -3.95% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4558 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004203 | -2.83% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004713 | -3.37% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.1373 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005236 | -2.70% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006571 | -3.15% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.00687 | -3.69% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.1689 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006345 | -3.35% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006694 | -3.41% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.00881 | -2.65% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.7386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012464 | -3.08% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9622 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013125 | -3.10% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013579 | -3.08% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013079 | -2.39% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.6117 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.018645 | -5.26% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 1.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016802 | -3.55% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.8555 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013192 | -1.18% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.3399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011491 | -2.08% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.0727 | ✗ | 1.00 |