EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s6
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1337
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0045
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002475 | +0.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002437 | +0.55% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002866 | +0.38% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1902 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003014 | +0.31% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0507 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003045 | +0.44% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002913 | +0.61% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003326 | +0.40% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1261 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002662 | +0.59% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2083 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003528 | +0.54% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2651 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004168 | +0.44% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1948 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005209 | -0.39% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2037 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005071 | -0.10% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005146 | -0.04% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005572 | -0.26% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006176 | -0.93% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0811 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005866 | -1.12% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0878 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004304 | -0.47% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004845 | -0.65% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005356 | -0.48% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006736 | -0.71% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007069 | -0.90% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006519 | -0.70% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.00688 | -0.72% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008994 | -0.62% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2629 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012742 | -0.92% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013414 | -0.97% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013868 | -1.01% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013297 | -0.77% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0557 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.01919 | -2.49% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017062 | -2.05% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1641 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013234 | -0.87% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011627 | -0.92% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 1.00 |