DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

26.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4565

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0584

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.34676	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.357319	-10.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.357225	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.343463	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.361678	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.346511	-10.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.363708	-11.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.369418	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.390629	-13.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.382156	-13.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.425071	-14.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.459533	-14.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.438459	-14.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.381192	-12.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.333323	-10.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.354969	-12.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.356844	-13.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.358943	-13.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.335042	-12.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.343906	-13.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.340995	-13.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.338019	-13.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.329187	-13.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.317686	-14.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.371226	-14.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.353071	-14.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.380364	-14.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.388431	-14.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.413401	-14.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.374961	-14.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.34921	-13.63%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1658	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.33724	-13.86%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1340	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.374304	-16.17%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0522	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.256523	-13.10%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3766	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.223555	-12.36%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4969	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.212129	-13.26%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5036	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.129594	-5.44%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0420	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.133928	-5.01%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0758	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.135768	-5.43%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0897	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.141999	-5.28%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0543	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.141227	-4.90%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1461	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.140028	-5.20%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2379	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.147367	-4.37%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1808	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.156694	-4.41%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9700	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.151315	-3.93%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8322	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.160868	-2.59%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8423	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.168099	-2.40%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.7977	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.146756	-1.93%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9241	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.157598	-0.61%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8321	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.138558	-3.58%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9168	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.137975	-3.41%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9133	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.149838	-2.55%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8787	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.151576	-3.03%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8300	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.167813	-2.38%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7194	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.165536	-2.30%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8783	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175601	-0.50%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8014	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165039	-1.12%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9245	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.144854	-2.15%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0665	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.157777	-3.69%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0573	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.127128	-3.02%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1350	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.110776	-2.26%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1870	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.11725	-1.37%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1735	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.094683	-3.85%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4805	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.092849	-5.92%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0447	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.087517	-6.37%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9501	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.089181	-6.88%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8879	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.094418	-8.78%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2187	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.086914	-6.52%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3033	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.086921	-6.27%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3356	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.088845	-6.46%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3588	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.091898	-6.84%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3153	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.091196	-6.60%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3265	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.087564	-6.21%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3941	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.090583	-6.68%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4354	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.090857	-6.68%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3864	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.090548	-6.54%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4240	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.091123	-6.83%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4549	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.093684	-7.13%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2934	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094476	-7.08%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3172	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.090652	-6.70%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2974	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.092876	-6.84%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2662	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.09816	-7.18%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2532	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.107052	-8.26%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1926	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.089241	-5.64%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4402	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.091335	-5.53%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3887	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.096737	-6.23%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3332	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.099127	-6.34%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2671	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.107147	-6.48%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1172	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.106201	-6.58%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.1997	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.107652	-6.37%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0234	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.11147	-6.42%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1741	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.11396	-6.28%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1479	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.112723	-6.02%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2396	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.116226	-6.05%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2355	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.115905	-5.82%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2151	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.119057	-5.59%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2118	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.122682	-5.57%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1493	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.127774	-5.55%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3031	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.137423	-5.77%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3603	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.144597	-6.83%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3910	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.11157	-4.56%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1359	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.117643	-4.61%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1843	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.118256	-4.65%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2378	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.112531	-4.41%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1551	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.109521	-4.24%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1353	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.104661	-4.02%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.1032	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.106169	-3.95%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0911	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.108978	-4.11%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0829	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.107613	-4.07%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0612	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.10355	-3.83%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0672	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.105875	-4.02%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0696	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.10736	-4.23%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0287	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.102795	-4.22%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.0971	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.107925	-5.00%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.2129	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.101049	-4.38%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0992	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097084	-4.51%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0029	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.08427	-3.49%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1728	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.080185	-3.35%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2717	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.080266	-3.34%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2739	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.07975	-3.65%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3163	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.082507	-4.24%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3295	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.083149	-4.73%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3472	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.08641	-4.83%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2773	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.093076	-5.54%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2693	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.089939	-5.46%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2948	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.088851	-5.55%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3201	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.091847	-6.20%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3554	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.093781	-6.62%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3950	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.094844	-7.02%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4541	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.09366	-7.15%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5160	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.093536	-7.18%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2571	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.094807	-7.21%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2599	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.09653	-7.48%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2473	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.091854	-6.84%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2054	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.097257	-7.43%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1382	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.101703	-8.70%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.095323	-8.03%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1478	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.085587	-6.49%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2331	✗	1.00