DCR

Decred · native · gru_s6

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

73.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0641

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.5431	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.571	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3423	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2873	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2596	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.5967	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9689	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.9311	-1.37%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0857	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.1492	-1.32%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0892	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.1078	-1.38%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1052	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.4816	-1.22%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1147	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.6577	-1.38%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1304	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.218	-1.52%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1447	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.1211	-1.48%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1283	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.8117	-1.53%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0818	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.0968	-1.41%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0784	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.2725	-1.41%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0757	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.1094	-1.34%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0562	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.0595	-1.30%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0498	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.0154	-1.31%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0117	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.9598	-1.16%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0036	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.2054	-1.24%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0038	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.9151	-1.11%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0066	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.641	-0.98%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0280	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.2862	-1.26%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0154	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.0666	-1.13%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0096	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.5501	-0.85%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0354	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.0906	-0.97%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0000	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.1148	-0.88%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0253	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.5659	-0.87%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0013	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.9114	-0.33%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0235	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.1927	-0.63%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0417	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4201	-0.47%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0164	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.6525	-0.49%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0297	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.7998	-0.31%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.7503	+0.41%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0633	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.8912	+0.94%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1183	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.7501	+0.35%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0062	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3918	+0.37%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0126	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.1493	+0.57%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0428	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	16.003	+0.82%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0674	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6898	+0.85%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0733	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.6878	+1.26%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0415	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.5272	+0.97%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1452	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.039	+1.58%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0488	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.8432	+1.47%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0030	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.1228	+1.45%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0205	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7926	+1.51%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0279	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.582	+2.01%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1120	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0821	+0.97%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1463	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.5129	+0.89%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1671	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7125	+1.16%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0648	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.2201	+1.09%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1259	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.4337	+1.27%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0791	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2908	+1.14%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0652	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1664	+1.68%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0018	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0459	+1.41%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0124	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8549	+1.39%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0502	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.0615	+1.52%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0384	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.4346	+1.29%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0251	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.1407	+1.11%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0055	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.208	+1.56%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0731	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.008	+0.44%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0668	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8766	-0.44%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0321	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5847	-1.09%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0356	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.9483	-1.07%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0634	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8375	-1.09%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0393	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9203	-0.97%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0528	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8658	-0.87%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1387	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0437	-0.79%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1560	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1457	-0.82%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1118	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8663	-0.91%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1129	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6769	-0.83%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0578	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.8364	-0.89%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0365	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6865	-0.87%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0212	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.654	-0.77%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0238	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4149	-0.76%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0085	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.8585	-0.91%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0292	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.2365	-1.11%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.126	-1.09%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0339	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.0932	-1.04%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0333	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.9718	-1.00%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0494	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.0175	-1.07%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0552	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.4025	-1.50%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0614	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5511	-0.84%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1056	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4781	-0.89%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1505	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0987	-0.75%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1822	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6258	-0.51%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1567	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.545	-0.31%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1497	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5779	-0.13%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1470	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9772	-0.14%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1323	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4641	-0.05%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0358	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6057	+0.06%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0462	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.7249	-0.03%	11.183	-12.15%	0.1064	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.719	-0.01%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0946	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.718	+0.02%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0862	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5861	+0.02%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0850	✗	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.3128	-0.17%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1239	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.4609	-0.30%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0971	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6917	-0.53%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.1061	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.4575	-0.44%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0183	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.1811	-0.13%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0300	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2758	+0.20%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1059	✓	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1778	+0.16%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1218	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0328	+0.19%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1812	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9905	+0.18%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1707	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	11.0222	+0.09%	13.764	+24.99%	0.1985	✓	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.2134	-0.02%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1347	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.1409	-0.04%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0884	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2797	-0.04%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0123	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4752	-0.07%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0515	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.175	-0.07%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0394	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.9362	-0.03%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0305	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.7315	+0.02%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0450	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.264	-0.15%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0582	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0919	-0.13%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0527	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.461	-0.24%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0595	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1685	-0.25%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0070	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.9268	-0.30%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.0883	-0.74%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0871	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1217	-0.49%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0258	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4329	-0.69%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0418	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3569	-0.67%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0328	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7722	-0.85%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0447	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5208	-0.83%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0278	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3873	-0.80%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9095	-1.08%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0776	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2303	-1.29%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.4822	-1.48%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0451	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6105	-1.57%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0724	-1.39%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8915	-1.17%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.0381	-1.10%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.802	-0.25%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0277	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.9586	-0.03%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.2374	-0.27%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.3808	-0.01%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.4897	+1.62%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0772	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.3616	+2.15%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.2119	+0.46%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0782	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.5065	+0.00%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1625	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.5671	-1.21%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1195	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.1763	-2.80%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.5035	-3.11%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0744	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.