DCR

Decred · native · gru_s6

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0981

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.9983	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.1047	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.8449	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.7774	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.7397	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.0847	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.4897	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.3789	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.643	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.5435	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.0024	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.1006	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.6189	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.5101	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.205	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.5482	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.7392	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.5991	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.5562	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.5002	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.492	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.7146	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.4573	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.2161	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.8201	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.6376	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.1757	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.7086	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7848	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.3017	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.7695	-1.12%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1487	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8177	-2.80%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1490	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.1007	-2.30%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1702	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.3399	-2.25%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1936	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.2829	-3.38%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1755	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.2654	-2.68%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0909	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.3928	-2.44%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0207	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.3541	-2.02%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0441	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.912	-2.57%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0312	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.7376	-2.00%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0053	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.6743	-1.25%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0007	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.3521	-1.32%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0342	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.5487	+0.42%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0160	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.5125	+0.89%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0373	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.0962	+1.95%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0773	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	17.055	+2.75%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0264	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.5024	+3.84%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0626	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	16.0724	+3.31%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0732	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.9229	+4.40%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1708	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.1192	+1.23%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1793	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.6121	+1.58%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1366	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	15.0123	+3.22%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1522	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.3829	+2.25%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1677	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.7161	+3.25%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1364	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.5928	+3.28%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1691	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.6166	+4.91%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1790	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.4524	+4.34%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1478	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.2986	+4.64%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1823	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.636	+5.67%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1649	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	15.0326	+5.48%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1286	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.7235	+5.28%	17.971	+28.50%	0.0966	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.7457	+5.69%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1976	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0867	+1.10%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2782	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7214	-1.74%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2712	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2774	-3.71%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2300	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.6296	-3.71%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1261	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.497	-3.94%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0540	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.6011	-3.62%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1360	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.5547	-3.47%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1363	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.7545	-3.18%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1037	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.8566	-3.18%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0838	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.5405	-3.42%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0188	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.3641	-3.28%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0723	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.5196	-3.34%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1247	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.3842	-3.23%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0332	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.3903	-2.84%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0659	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.1617	-2.78%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0385	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.5874	-3.00%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0089	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.9132	-3.52%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1527	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.802	-3.53%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1251	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.7897	-3.33%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0939	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.6866	-3.17%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.1034	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.7541	-3.07%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1288	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.1517	-3.34%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1222	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.2931	-3.06%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0301	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.211	-3.19%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0075	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.8131	-3.31%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0374	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4021	-2.42%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3511	-1.98%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0011	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4197	-1.50%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0357	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.824	-1.41%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0063	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3412	-1.03%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.1077	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.5269	-0.57%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1345	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6243	-0.82%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1155	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.6469	-0.57%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0768	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.692	-0.19%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0448	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5471	-0.29%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0310	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.2676	-0.51%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0857	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.4658	-0.27%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0909	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.7216	-0.31%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0985	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.512	-0.01%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0372	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.2125	+0.12%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0643	✓	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2617	+0.08%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1248	✓	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1395	-0.18%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1407	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0033	-0.08%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1269	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9541	-0.15%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1145	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9773	-0.32%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1172	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1426	-0.65%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1439	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.076	-0.62%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1827	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2211	-0.56%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1623	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.416	-0.59%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1331	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1092	-0.66%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1462	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8644	-0.69%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1493	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6523	-0.72%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1543	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1772	-0.92%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0111	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0066	-0.90%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0102	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3676	-1.05%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0686	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0805	-1.04%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0191	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8531	-0.98%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0033	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9785	-1.65%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0700	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.9672	-1.88%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0552	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2504	-2.28%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0732	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.1613	-2.38%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0756	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5486	-2.73%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0820	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.2883	-2.83%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1006	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1536	-2.83%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1011	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.6332	-3.38%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.9243	-3.76%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1404	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.1577	-4.04%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1287	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.2542	-4.35%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1272	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.7018	-4.41%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1012	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.5285	-4.18%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0532	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.6685	-4.14%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.4214	-3.47%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0659	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.548	-3.46%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0714	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.7917	-3.91%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.8934	-3.95%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.9032	-3.15%	11.216	-8.74%	0.1100	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.6996	-3.32%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.5637	-4.47%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.804	-4.84%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1600	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.8568	-6.03%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1336	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.4269	-7.60%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1033	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.7355	-7.91%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0884	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.