DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2205
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0208
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.00123 | -5.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000873916 | -7.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001317 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001761 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001947 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002704 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002338 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002265 | -1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002321 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002451 | -2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002521 | -2.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002783 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003077 | -2.41% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.002988 | -2.17% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0690 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002876 | -2.40% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0641 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002954 | -2.66% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.0908 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.00298 | -2.80% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.0939 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003143 | -2.80% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1654 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003211 | -2.95% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003087 | -3.30% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.0027 | -3.48% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002649 | -3.36% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.1047 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002753 | -3.44% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.1109 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002836 | -3.49% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.1082 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.00289 | -3.64% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.1078 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002848 | -3.34% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002616 | -2.88% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2845 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002811 | -2.96% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0592 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.002995 | -3.32% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1044 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003214 | -4.29% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1356 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002888 | -3.79% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.0978 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002666 | -2.11% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1540 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002558 | -0.79% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1865 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.00263 | -0.54% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.4043 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002782 | -1.13% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3262 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002664 | +0.27% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1931 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.00261 | +0.94% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.1048 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002765 | +0.39% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1584 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002896 | +0.37% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1534 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002638 | +2.53% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1503 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003266 | -0.36% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2532 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003177 | +0.31% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1533 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.003 | +1.44% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1558 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003503 | -0.58% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3388 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003925 | -2.19% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4539 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003952 | -2.08% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3720 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004162 | -2.47% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4639 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004266 | -2.34% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3325 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004009 | +0.13% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5379 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003993 | +0.24% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.5155 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004389 | -1.26% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3760 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004781 | -2.65% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2716 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.00494 | -2.88% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.3036 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004923 | -2.34% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.2069 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005108 | -3.28% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0963 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005641 | -4.66% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1423 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.00588 | -5.42% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2464 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004955 | -1.14% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.00522 | -1.59% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006251 | -5.76% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005698 | -3.32% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1331 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005892 | -3.37% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005844 | -1.43% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005939 | -0.97% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0532 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005901 | +0.17% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2459 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005371 | +2.54% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.2136 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006341 | +0.49% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1412 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007522 | -1.93% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4688 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007115 | -0.28% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3611 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007388 | -0.14% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2241 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006818 | +1.83% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1751 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006755 | +2.55% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1545 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.008008 | +1.12% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2318 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009301 | -1.68% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2449 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010417 | -4.70% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1440 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010786 | -5.55% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2496 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010724 | -4.90% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.2164 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011406 | -5.61% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3849 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.01169 | -5.66% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.4181 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014286 | -7.19% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.2977 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.01174 | -5.50% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.1295 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011298 | -3.91% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1303 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011654 | -3.88% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.1999 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011273 | -3.35% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1244 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011151 | -2.04% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1563 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.011917 | -2.59% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013224 | -3.02% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.1202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016059 | -3.45% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.3378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018022 | -4.41% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.4233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016888 | -3.49% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016232 | -3.24% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.3389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013055 | -2.72% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.01538 | -2.78% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010582 | -4.26% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.1888 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.01369 | -3.25% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.1221 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.01544 | -3.48% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.1180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.01645 | -3.53% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016446 | -3.43% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.02241 | -3.35% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5734 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.015717 | -3.58% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.019664 | -3.42% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.6063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023591 | -3.00% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.024986 | -2.85% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.029549 | -3.40% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.032876 | -4.49% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6703 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009299 | +3.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016277 | +3.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015581 | +4.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016743 | +3.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025051 | -2.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024194 | -3.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000025591 | -4.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000031779 | -5.05% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3545 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000027469 | -4.15% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.6866 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028021 | -2.87% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.7112 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000031064 | -4.74% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.6906 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000030255 | -4.26% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2127 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000030766 | -3.86% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1336 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000032373 | -3.33% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0609 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000032423 | -3.79% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0756 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000030812 | -2.68% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0370 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031378 | -0.92% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0063 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031535 | -0.46% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1202 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037003 | -2.57% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0579 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037149 | -2.50% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0730 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029248 | -0.14% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1114 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038322 | -1.82% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0484 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045048 | -1.15% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3270 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000050691 | -1.47% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.5003 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046796 | -1.00% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4511 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037228 | -1.12% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0653 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041509 | -0.67% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044933 | -0.19% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049751 | -0.50% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055943 | -0.10% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050746 | -0.44% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.00004503 | +0.07% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048363 | -0.03% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043416 | +0.31% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0577 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045933 | +0.12% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060695 | -0.32% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.2127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060851 | -0.39% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.1170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000062028 | +0.65% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000057339 | +0.56% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.2077 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000058185 | +1.17% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1321 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000060629 | +0.90% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000058472 | +0.99% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.0000562 | +0.93% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000060008 | -0.00% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069521 | -0.64% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.2115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063368 | -0.80% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.2077 | ✓ | 1.00 |