DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
59.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0997
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0050
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001287 | -1.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.00093293 | -1.69% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3401 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.00138 | -1.21% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001826 | -0.99% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2659 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002017 | -0.98% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.0971 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002773 | -0.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002379 | -0.43% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1364 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002298 | -0.30% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002364 | -0.42% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002502 | -0.55% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002577 | -0.59% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002842 | -0.62% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0892 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003134 | -0.62% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0874 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003037 | -0.55% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0778 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.00293 | -0.58% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003015 | -0.65% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003045 | -0.68% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.00321 | -0.72% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003283 | -0.79% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003164 | -0.87% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002775 | -0.78% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1355 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002721 | -0.72% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0480 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.00283 | -0.74% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002916 | -0.76% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002975 | -0.81% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002924 | -0.74% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002679 | -0.56% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1683 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002879 | -0.61% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0921 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003075 | -0.75% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.00332 | -1.13% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0653 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002976 | -0.87% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002715 | -0.34% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002579 | +0.03% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002646 | +0.07% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002812 | -0.07% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002665 | +0.28% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002598 | +0.46% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002764 | +0.35% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002895 | +0.35% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0788 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002595 | +0.87% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003284 | +0.19% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1876 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003178 | +0.34% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002975 | +0.61% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003528 | +0.14% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1859 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.004003 | -0.25% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1309 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.004028 | -0.21% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004253 | -0.32% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.1018 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004354 | -0.32% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0488 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004016 | +0.29% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.0992 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003996 | +0.34% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004446 | +0.01% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004896 | -0.31% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005068 | -0.36% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.005031 | -0.20% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005259 | -0.41% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005867 | -0.85% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1583 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006141 | -1.23% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.005017 | +0.10% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2430 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005304 | +0.01% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.00655 | -1.26% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005866 | -0.48% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.1946 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006066 | -0.53% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005927 | -0.04% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1834 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006 | +0.05% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005909 | +0.30% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005285 | +0.90% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0292 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006337 | +0.42% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0338 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007648 | -0.28% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1593 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007147 | +0.17% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0926 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007411 | +0.17% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.00674 | +0.66% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006641 | +0.83% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0215 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007958 | +0.50% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1159 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009443 | -0.18% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0715 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010821 | -1.01% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0817 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011273 | -1.28% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011154 | -1.09% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011926 | -1.31% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1137 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.012227 | -1.33% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015015 | -2.46% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0151 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012241 | -1.47% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1379 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011643 | -0.98% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.012001 | -1.02% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0803 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.01156 | -0.89% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0900 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011327 | -0.49% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1411 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011579 | -0.55% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012154 | -0.66% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013528 | -0.79% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016457 | -1.06% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1824 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018538 | -1.67% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017256 | -1.39% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.1014 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016526 | -1.49% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013297 | -0.92% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015611 | -1.31% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010937 | -1.04% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.3072 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014026 | -0.88% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2406 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015844 | -0.95% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016887 | -0.97% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016874 | -0.92% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022834 | -1.52% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016152 | -0.91% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3573 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.020179 | -0.89% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024119 | -0.83% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025511 | -0.81% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.03024 | -1.14% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.0337 | -2.09% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009098 | +1.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015882 | +1.16% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5517 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015102 | +1.35% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0602 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016392 | +1.06% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1282 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025608 | -0.36% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4548 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.00002488 | -0.64% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0806 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026485 | -0.92% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0661 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033031 | -1.31% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.1955 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.0000284 | -0.91% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1406 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.0000287 | -0.52% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.0999 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032232 | -1.16% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1123 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031235 | -1.15% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0364 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031702 | -0.93% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0034 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033227 | -0.79% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0094 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033348 | -1.04% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0790 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031448 | -0.67% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.0995 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031626 | -0.14% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0911 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031673 | -0.02% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0069 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037701 | -0.73% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1703 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037809 | -0.76% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0206 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029285 | -0.02% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2279 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038814 | -0.55% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2497 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045358 | -0.47% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1948 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051104 | -0.67% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0920 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047002 | -0.57% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0637 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037485 | -0.44% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2385 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041646 | -0.35% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044917 | -0.23% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049852 | -0.30% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055832 | -0.30% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.1013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050824 | -0.29% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0660 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044934 | -0.15% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048168 | -0.44% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043228 | -0.12% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045797 | -0.18% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060674 | -0.36% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3129 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060842 | -0.41% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061463 | -0.27% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0542 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056895 | -0.22% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057469 | -0.07% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0028 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059977 | -0.19% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057814 | -0.15% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055618 | -0.11% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059867 | -0.24% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069687 | -0.41% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063641 | -0.37% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0821 | ✗ | 1.00 |