CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s6

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

51.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0991

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0092

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017903	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017163	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016484	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013088	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013083	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013681	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012842	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013506	-1.87%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3098	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014253	-2.19%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2260	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013452	-2.27%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2507	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012661	-1.75%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0567	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012613	-1.83%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0596	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012275	-1.95%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1311	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012495	-1.90%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0422	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012354	-1.86%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1163	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012436	-1.76%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1697	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012486	-1.74%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1178	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012677	-1.72%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0319	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012705	-1.94%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0214	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011702	-1.54%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0785	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012101	-1.72%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0689	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012637	-2.10%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0023	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01233	-2.15%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0170	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011791	-1.93%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0626	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012016	-1.84%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0600	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012192	-1.95%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0590	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011638	-1.63%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0187	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012059	-1.61%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0183	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012275	-1.72%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0547	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012073	-1.28%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0564	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011841	-1.11%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0346	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011182	-1.32%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0717	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011365	-1.25%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0715	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011612	-1.38%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0010	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011343	-1.78%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0241	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011332	-1.80%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0423	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011801	-2.77%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0472	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010797	-1.00%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0270	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010335	-1.14%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0508	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009898	-0.42%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1130	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009747	-0.24%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1541	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009271	-0.01%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2214	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.01024	-0.20%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1380	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010171	-0.14%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2024	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010378	+0.03%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0581	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009529	+0.84%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1248	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009934	+0.70%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0242	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009931	+0.63%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0048	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010196	+1.18%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0561	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010039	+0.00%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0101	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009688	+0.18%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0375	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009559	+0.53%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0758	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009366	+0.24%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0213	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009597	+0.26%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0099	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009439	+0.08%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0245	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009337	+1.07%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0652	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009398	+0.79%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0858	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008658	+1.12%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1229	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008654	+1.16%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.0993	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007975	+0.64%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1591	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008099	+0.65%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1530	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008791	+0.82%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0760	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008116	-0.94%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0443	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.00829	-1.85%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0152	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008226	-2.47%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1863	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008185	-2.34%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1923	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008566	-2.49%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3414	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008498	-2.37%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3038	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008311	-2.18%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2215	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008605	-2.28%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2225	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008106	-1.99%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0677	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008195	-2.10%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0069	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007665	-1.47%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0783	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007973	-1.57%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1358	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008188	-1.70%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0975	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007777	-1.68%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1252	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007686	-1.72%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1522	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007565	-1.76%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1120	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007169	-1.59%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1647	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007136	-1.37%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0781	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007276	-1.54%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0820	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007226	-1.42%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1020	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007372	-1.31%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0317	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.0074	-1.20%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0639	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007363	-1.04%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0311	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007201	-0.87%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0076	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007178	-0.37%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0123	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007883	-0.65%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0307	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008133	-0.33%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0746	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007658	-0.02%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0012	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007543	+0.10%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0008	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008268	-0.21%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0656	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.00822	-0.18%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0748	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008336	-0.17%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1172	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008157	-0.10%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0398	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008296	-0.17%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0072	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007809	+0.06%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0227	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008044	-0.07%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0885	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008301	-0.23%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0262	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008312	-0.27%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0363	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008129	+0.11%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0279	✗	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008105	-0.06%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0106	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008425	-0.18%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0333	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009119	-0.45%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1511	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008392	-0.16%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0523	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008582	-0.15%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0768	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009139	-0.45%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1219	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.0103	-0.87%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.2071	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010803	-0.98%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2896	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010957	-1.02%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2735	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010575	-0.89%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1722	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010922	-0.89%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2938	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011824	-1.22%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3700	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011083	-0.78%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2900	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.01131	-1.05%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1662	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010646	-0.74%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0587	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010691	-0.82%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0290	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010044	-0.46%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0106	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010381	-0.56%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0234	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010237	-0.61%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1733	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011179	-1.29%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011072	-1.50%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0929	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010577	-1.06%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0753	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01108	-1.51%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0416	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010544	-0.99%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010398	-0.64%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0558	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011626	-1.64%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0659	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011288	-1.76%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0496	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011849	-2.07%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012293	-2.05%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1014	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012273	-1.62%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0838	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012629	-1.29%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1695	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012808	-1.17%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1912	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012542	+0.34%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.1070	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.01498	-1.12%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3270	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.014033	-0.55%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1979	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.01445	-0.55%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1783	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.015098	+0.92%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2480	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013871	+1.55%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.1210	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016756	-0.73%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2531	✓	1.00