CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s6

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

111

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

68.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2021

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0154

actual -0.0605

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014831	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014687	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017006	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016409	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013078	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013148	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013762	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012987	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013666	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014459	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013704	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012949	+0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012926	+0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012629	+0.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012769	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012544	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012597	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012618	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012822	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012849	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011801	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012152	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012633	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012291	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011783	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012026	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012207	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.01168	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012035	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012259	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012167	-0.51%	0.015367	+25.66%	0.2440	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011961	-0.11%	0.0152	+26.94%	0.2554	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011101	-2.03%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.4651	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011264	-2.13%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4250	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011494	-2.39%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1396	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011252	-2.56%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1334	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011248	-2.52%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.1778	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011815	-2.66%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.0477	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.01077	-1.25%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2135	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010317	-1.32%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.2864	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009857	-0.83%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.2915	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009728	-0.44%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2207	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009275	+0.03%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.2675	✓	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010204	-0.55%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.1691	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010133	-0.52%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2010	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010382	+0.08%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1555	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009614	+1.74%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2304	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009993	+1.30%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.1887	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009979	+1.12%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2017	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010281	+2.02%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2040	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010106	+0.67%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.0799	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009809	+1.44%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1417	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009731	+2.34%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2273	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009564	+2.37%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2094	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009834	+2.73%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1447	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009704	+2.89%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1622	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009689	+4.87%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2042	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009759	+4.65%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1363	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.009053	+5.73%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2412	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.00905	+5.80%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2585	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.00836	+5.51%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2836	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008483	+5.43%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2352	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.009182	+5.30%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1778	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008371	+2.17%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2224	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008364	-0.98%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.1858	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008147	-3.42%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1554	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008105	-3.30%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1595	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008483	-3.43%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1294	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008417	-3.30%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0080	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008256	-2.82%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0092	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008509	-3.37%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0877	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008046	-2.71%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0470	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008113	-3.07%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0948	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007601	-2.30%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0489	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007855	-3.03%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0254	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008043	-3.44%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0109	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007633	-3.51%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0485	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.00754	-3.58%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0036	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007392	-4.00%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0318	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007038	-3.40%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0726	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007031	-2.81%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1194	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007156	-3.17%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0634	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007149	-2.46%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0163	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007327	-1.91%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0110	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007409	-1.08%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0198	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007357	-1.12%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0026	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007224	-0.57%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0379	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007241	+0.50%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0137	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.008022	+1.09%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1528	✗	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.00828	+1.48%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.2172	✗	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007825	+2.15%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.2183	✗	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007818	+3.76%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1780	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008605	+3.87%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1880	✗	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008561	+3.96%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.1548	✗	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008571	+2.65%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0885	✗	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.00832	+1.90%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0138	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008439	+1.55%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0010	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007853	+0.62%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1314	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008049	-0.01%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.0920	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008319	-0.01%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0527	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008313	-0.26%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.0858	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008043	-0.95%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0063	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008061	-0.61%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0417	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008389	-0.61%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0780	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009102	-0.63%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.1303	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008311	-1.12%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0287	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008482	-1.32%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.1187	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009095	-0.93%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1680	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010238	-1.46%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2953	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010747	-1.49%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3972	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010898	-1.56%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.4165	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010502	-1.57%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3689	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010852	-1.53%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.4166	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011751	-1.83%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.5170	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010861	-2.77%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.5014	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011144	-2.50%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4832	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010398	-3.05%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4469	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010439	-3.16%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4466	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.00972	-3.66%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.3064	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010065	-3.59%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.3015	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009903	-3.86%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.3064	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010829	-4.38%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.4004	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010635	-5.38%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2826	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.01014	-5.14%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010594	-5.83%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2533	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010056	-5.58%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2271	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009891	-5.49%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.2042	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011087	-6.20%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3424	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010731	-6.60%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2589	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011284	-6.74%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2809	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011698	-6.79%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3280	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.01164	-6.70%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3259	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011935	-6.72%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3895	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012059	-6.95%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3601	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011652	-6.78%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2834	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014176	-6.43%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5466	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013123	-7.00%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4100	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013496	-7.11%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3857	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.01407	-5.95%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3537	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012873	-5.76%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.2064	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015703	-6.97%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3383	✓	1.00