CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
32.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2600
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0338
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.065358 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067394 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065565 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068877 | -2.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.072111 | -2.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070826 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.0762 | -2.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071504 | -3.05% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0627 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085592 | -3.01% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2208 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.093326 | -3.85% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3322 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.08949 | -3.11% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2562 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.088893 | -3.80% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.2013 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083763 | -3.32% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1527 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070781 | -3.23% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1081 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069031 | -3.16% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0466 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.083678 | -4.88% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0194 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071776 | -2.93% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2460 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063799 | -2.27% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3329 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.067018 | -2.92% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.2971 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071245 | -3.76% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1698 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067462 | -3.41% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0400 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066851 | -3.54% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0604 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058087 | -2.93% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4403 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054888 | -2.69% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3304 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.052473 | -2.09% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2473 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.050516 | -2.06% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3170 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051012 | -2.14% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3781 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048894 | -2.11% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3629 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051553 | -2.92% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2845 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045499 | -2.80% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2408 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044655 | -2.65% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1931 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043359 | -3.09% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2621 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.046118 | -3.46% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1606 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.053691 | -3.80% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0198 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052803 | -3.97% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0846 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057297 | -4.54% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0680 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.0548 | -4.40% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0274 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.059807 | -7.15% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0980 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046484 | -1.24% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0614 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044603 | -0.59% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1586 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044322 | -0.36% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3138 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045349 | -0.26% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1883 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.04677 | -1.43% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1974 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046092 | -1.48% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1481 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.045764 | -1.84% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3197 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.041954 | -2.33% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0310 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.043586 | -2.50% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0319 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044091 | -2.54% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0498 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047584 | -2.45% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1640 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070912 | -2.45% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3845 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068842 | -2.43% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3677 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066747 | -2.40% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3495 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066474 | -2.48% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3898 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067453 | -2.54% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3829 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.068088 | -2.63% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3761 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.0644 | -2.49% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2605 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068722 | -2.68% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0258 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.067506 | -2.78% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0242 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066922 | -2.76% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0143 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.067273 | -3.02% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0120 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.067828 | -3.24% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0413 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064948 | -3.17% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0653 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.062237 | -3.89% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2308 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064762 | -4.48% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3357 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.065798 | -4.61% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5369 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.06695 | -5.21% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5317 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.063885 | -4.84% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6608 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.059156 | -4.77% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7126 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.06087 | -6.82% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6864 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053984 | -4.86% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5502 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.052466 | -5.11% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4886 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051172 | -6.58% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3455 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043275 | -6.20% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5121 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037501 | -4.79% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5088 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035002 | -5.17% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5052 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.0339 | -5.75% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5866 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028928 | -6.11% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6413 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026294 | -5.52% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6987 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023955 | -5.57% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.8070 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026065 | -5.55% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5879 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027828 | -5.78% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3986 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025808 | -5.40% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4437 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036414 | -7.17% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0732 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032121 | -6.97% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0593 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024905 | -4.45% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1430 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026007 | -4.73% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0155 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023146 | -3.88% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1654 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021788 | -3.31% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2198 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020371 | -2.94% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025937 | -4.22% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4335 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022845 | -3.15% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020653 | -2.47% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.01955 | -2.24% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020523 | -2.41% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018114 | -2.02% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2082 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.01851 | -2.00% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018314 | -1.90% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3882 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018071 | -1.87% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017996 | -1.94% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1418 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016119 | -2.03% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1924 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018781 | -1.71% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016679 | -1.93% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0883 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015605 | -2.14% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1750 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019281 | -1.71% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021405 | -1.57% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022211 | -1.60% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020601 | -1.64% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2509 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020868 | -1.75% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022808 | -1.96% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2960 | ✓ | 1.00 |