CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +30d
assessed
80
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
13.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7402
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0914
actual +0.6173
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.063648 | -7.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.063684 | -7.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06344 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.061519 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.064691 | -8.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.067671 | -8.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.06643 | -8.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.071627 | -8.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.066958 | -9.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.080808 | -8.43% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.08843 | -8.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.084585 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.084179 | -8.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.078876 | -8.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.06626 | -9.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.065003 | -8.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.080104 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.068085 | -7.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.060825 | -6.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.063598 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.068038 | -8.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.064522 | -7.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.063603 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.055333 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.052252 | -7.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.050116 | -6.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048281 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.048856 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.046908 | -6.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.049411 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.043385 | -7.32% | 0.069027 | +47.46% | 0.4389 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.04271 | -6.89% | 0.06897 | +50.35% | 0.4462 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.040814 | -8.78% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5485 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.043579 | -8.77% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4379 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.050461 | -9.59% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3517 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.048943 | -10.99% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5019 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.053338 | -11.14% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4056 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.051036 | -10.97% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5473 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.056653 | -12.05% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3332 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.042754 | -9.17% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8669 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.040975 | -8.68% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9635 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.04077 | -8.34% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9622 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.041718 | -8.24% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9386 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.043661 | -7.98% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7849 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.043122 | -7.83% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6046 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.042997 | -7.78% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.6030 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.039342 | -8.41% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.9217 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.040928 | -8.45% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.7245 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.041656 | -7.92% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.6024 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.045326 | -7.08% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5036 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.067717 | -6.85% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2120 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.065644 | -6.96% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1887 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.063667 | -6.90% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1702 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.063318 | -7.11% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0461 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.064257 | -7.16% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0395 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.064853 | -7.26% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0760 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.061514 | -6.86% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1051 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.065594 | -7.11% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1439 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.064338 | -7.34% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1537 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.063958 | -7.07% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0940 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.064175 | -7.49% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1720 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.06462 | -7.81% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1811 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.062242 | -7.20% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2809 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.058918 | -9.01% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0169 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.060965 | -10.08% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2048 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.061489 | -10.85% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3012 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.062769 | -11.13% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3685 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.05972 | -11.04% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4614 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.055353 | -10.89% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7335 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.057447 | -12.06% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3370 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.050626 | -10.78% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3956 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.049285 | -10.86% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4123 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.048334 | -11.76% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4266 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.040803 | -11.56% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6610 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.035056 | -10.99% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7325 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.032677 | -11.47% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8132 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.031658 | -11.98% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7993 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.026897 | -12.70% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0404 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.02428 | -12.75% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1240 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.022069 | -13.01% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3818 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.024056 | -12.83% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5837 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025743 | -12.84% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4908 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.023873 | -12.49% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6259 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.033935 | -13.49% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2584 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.030052 | -12.96% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3087 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023354 | -10.40% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6709 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.024424 | -10.53% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6623 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.021821 | -9.39% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.8048 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020642 | -8.39% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7558 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019329 | -7.90% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0642 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.024504 | -9.51% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8476 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021715 | -7.94% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0025 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019711 | -6.92% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0547 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018691 | -6.53% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1494 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019595 | -6.82% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1805 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017295 | -6.45% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3834 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017693 | -6.33% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3893 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017519 | -6.15% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017292 | -6.10% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017241 | -6.06% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3594 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.01541 | -6.33% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018001 | -5.79% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1039 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015973 | -6.08% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014937 | -6.32% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018605 | -5.15% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020722 | -4.71% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5503 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021507 | -4.72% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4725 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019939 | -4.80% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020218 | -4.81% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022098 | -5.02% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1307 | ✗ | 1.00 |