CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

38.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0834

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0098

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066341	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.06848	-0.37%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0298	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.06667	-0.33%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0384	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070181	-0.42%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0493	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.07358	-0.48%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0385	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072391	-0.49%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0202	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.07799	-0.64%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0743	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073342	-0.56%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0721	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087618	-0.71%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1861	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.095624	-1.48%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0684	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.09155	-0.88%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0382	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.091062	-1.45%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0226	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.08576	-1.01%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0787	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072606	-0.73%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1860	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070734	-0.77%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0154	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.085665	-2.63%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2152	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073265	-0.91%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1801	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.064903	-0.57%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1206	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068533	-0.73%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0260	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.072978	-1.42%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0525	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.068991	-1.22%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0661	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.068446	-1.24%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0374	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.059322	-0.86%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1544	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055968	-0.78%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0695	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053307	-0.54%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0420	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.051328	-0.49%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0439	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051851	-0.53%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0008	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049694	-0.51%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0438	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052595	-0.96%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0515	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046522	-0.61%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1089	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.04562	-0.55%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0207	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044507	-0.52%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1117	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.047393	-0.79%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0587	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.055324	-0.87%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1412	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054529	-0.83%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1039	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.05919	-1.39%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0700	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056441	-1.54%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0719	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.061732	-4.16%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1292	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.046984	-0.18%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3475	✗	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044868	-0.00%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0371	✗	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044501	+0.05%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0095	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045491	+0.06%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0068	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047298	-0.32%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0820	✓	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046636	-0.32%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0133	✗	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046426	-0.42%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0078	✓	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.04274	-0.50%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0578	✗	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044464	-0.54%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0227	✓	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045018	-0.49%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0033	✓	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048533	-0.51%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1093	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072199	-0.68%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3232	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070077	-0.68%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0351	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.067926	-0.67%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0173	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.067685	-0.70%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0262	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068695	-0.75%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0180	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069372	-0.79%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0048	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065557	-0.74%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0210	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.070003	-0.87%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0365	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068809	-0.90%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0347	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.0682	-0.91%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0099	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068659	-1.02%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0246	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.06931	-1.12%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0129	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066316	-1.13%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0328	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.063961	-1.22%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1745	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.066788	-1.49%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0681	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.068	-1.41%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1688	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069228	-1.99%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0042	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.06601	-1.67%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1378	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.061131	-1.59%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0858	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.062959	-3.62%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0115	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.055755	-1.74%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1398	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.05419	-1.99%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0466	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.05291	-3.41%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0391	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.044791	-2.91%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1863	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.038842	-1.38%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1381	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036338	-1.55%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0784	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035252	-1.99%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0466	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030198	-1.99%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1986	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027488	-1.23%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.1017	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025097	-1.07%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1246	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027287	-1.12%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0507	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029127	-1.38%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0552	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.026995	-1.05%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1197	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038039	-3.02%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3350	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033526	-2.90%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0826	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025808	-0.99%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3284	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.02694	-1.31%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0308	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023863	-0.91%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1415	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.02237	-0.73%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0016	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020866	-0.58%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026723	-1.32%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2449	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023384	-0.86%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1617	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.021049	-0.60%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1296	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019892	-0.52%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0690	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020897	-0.63%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018404	-0.45%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1252	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.0188	-0.47%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018591	-0.41%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018342	-0.40%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0157	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018273	-0.43%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0225	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016389	-0.38%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1173	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.019039	-0.36%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1888	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016948	-0.34%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1434	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015891	-0.34%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0684	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019563	-0.27%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1989	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021694	-0.24%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1157	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022507	-0.29%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020894	-0.24%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0946	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.02118	-0.28%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023151	-0.49%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0927	✓	1.00