A

Vaulta · native · gru_s6

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,344

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0631

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0065

actual -0.0163

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.10105	0.098207	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-21	oos	0.10045	0.097653	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.094933	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.086102	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.087656	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.107181	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.100986	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.094254	-2.98%	0.10105	+4.01%	0.0424	✗	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.100139	-3.34%	0.10045	-3.04%	0.0292	✓	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.096607	-3.10%	0.09785	-1.86%	0.0150	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.096044	-3.04%	0.0884	-10.75%	0.0843	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.100426	-3.25%	0.09015	-13.15%	0.0863	✓	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.099862	-3.28%	0.1117	+8.18%	0.1312	✗	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.10122	-3.37%	0.1047	-0.05%	0.0470	✗	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.094575	-2.85%	0.09715	-0.21%	0.0214	✓	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.095384	-2.92%	0.1036	+5.45%	0.1040	✗	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.099848	-3.20%	0.0997	-3.34%	0.0283	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.098298	-3.39%	0.09905	-2.65%	0.0564	✗	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.093827	-2.92%	0.1038	+7.40%	0.1355	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.092953	-2.92%	0.10325	+7.83%	0.1279	✗	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.091697	-2.71%	0.10475	+11.14%	0.1575	✗	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.0935	-2.76%	0.09735	+1.25%	0.0802	✗	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.095914	-2.87%	0.09825	-0.51%	0.0277	✓	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.093795	-2.65%	0.10315	+7.06%	0.0711	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.092776	-2.55%	0.10175	+6.88%	0.0636	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.100821	-2.96%	0.09665	-6.98%	0.0658	✓	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.098865	-2.79%	0.09575	-5.85%	0.0358	✓	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.099422	-2.81%	0.09425	-7.87%	0.0582	✓	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.096847	-2.57%	0.09615	-3.27%	0.0127	✓	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.090256	-1.63%	0.09875	+7.63%	0.0998	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.096017	-1.97%	0.09635	-1.63%	0.0330	✗	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.091951	-1.23%	0.0952	+2.26%	0.0721	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.087772	-1.38%	0.1039	+16.74%	0.1277	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.088678	-1.41%	0.1017	+13.06%	0.0976	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.089962	-2.06%	0.1023	+11.38%	0.0881	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.078135	-0.59%	0.0994	+26.46%	0.1539	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.075729	-0.23%	0.09175	+20.88%	0.1040	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.076045	-0.20%	0.09795	+28.54%	0.1349	✗	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.080495	-0.32%	0.0931	+15.29%	0.0588	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.081041	-0.38%	0.089	+9.40%	0.0462	✗	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.078263	-0.05%	0.08995	+14.88%	0.0957	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.076912	+0.21%	0.09185	+19.67%	0.1370	✓	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.077526	+0.03%	0.0786	+1.42%	0.0159	✓	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.081574	+0.09%	0.0759	-6.87%	0.0483	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.080854	+0.13%	0.0762	-5.63%	0.0235	✗	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.080833	+0.48%	0.08075	+0.37%	0.0103	✓	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.081292	+0.86%	0.08135	+0.93%	0.0441	✓	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.0809	+1.00%	0.0783	-2.25%	0.0012	✓	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.078038	+1.02%	0.07675	-0.65%	0.0136	✓	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.080008	+1.66%	0.0775	-1.52%	0.0259	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.076762	+0.15%	0.0815	+6.33%	0.0467	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.074601	+0.14%	0.08075	+8.39%	0.0649	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.075234	+0.51%	0.08045	+7.48%	0.0603	✓	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.073891	+0.19%	0.0806	+9.29%	0.0523	✓	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.076586	+0.18%	0.0801	+4.77%	0.0248	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.076233	+0.11%	0.07725	+1.44%	0.0099	✗	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.078293	+0.89%	0.0787	+1.42%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.078982	+0.17%	0.07665	-2.79%	0.0077	✗	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.07331	+0.29%	0.0745	+1.92%	0.0306	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.073325	+0.38%	0.07485	+2.46%	0.0260	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.075202	-0.13%	0.07375	-2.06%	0.0186	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.07309	-0.08%	0.07645	+4.51%	0.0293	✗	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.077315	+0.02%	0.07615	-1.49%	0.0089	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.068885	-1.10%	0.0776	+11.41%	0.0293	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.065221	-1.92%	0.07885	+18.57%	0.0620	✗	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.059108	-2.22%	0.0731	+20.93%	0.0377	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.059727	-2.09%	0.07305	+19.75%	0.0174	✓	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.059757	-2.04%	0.0753	+23.44%	0.0337	✗	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.060366	-2.00%	0.07315	+18.75%	0.0059	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.060631	-2.05%	0.0773	+24.88%	0.0390	✗	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.061169	-1.97%	0.06965	+11.62%	0.0030	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.061385	-1.86%	0.0665	+6.31%	0.0058	✓	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.061958	-1.81%	0.06045	-4.20%	0.0419	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.062924	-1.84%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0396	✓	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.063186	-1.89%	0.061	-5.28%	0.0042	✓	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.063861	-2.05%	0.0616	-5.52%	0.0070	✓	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.063049	-2.02%	0.0619	-3.81%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.063851	-2.07%	0.0624	-4.29%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.062875	-2.06%	0.06255	-2.57%	0.0137	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.063509	-2.14%	0.0631	-2.77%	0.0018	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.063028	-2.05%	0.0641	-0.39%	0.0097	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.062127	-1.93%	0.0644	+1.66%	0.0146	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.062556	-1.87%	0.0652	+2.27%	0.0076	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.062868	-1.77%	0.06435	+0.55%	0.0092	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.060329	-1.58%	0.0652	+6.36%	0.0852	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.058952	-1.42%	0.0642	+7.36%	0.0736	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.061368	-1.50%	0.0649	+4.17%	0.0526	✗	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.061404	-1.44%	0.06435	+3.29%	0.0506	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.062827	-1.22%	0.06335	-0.39%	0.0375	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.061374	-0.85%	0.06375	+2.99%	0.0625	✗	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.062239	-0.66%	0.064	+2.15%	0.0484	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.064579	-0.65%	0.0613	-5.69%	0.0469	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.065719	-0.58%	0.0598	-9.53%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.066821	-0.56%	0.0623	-7.29%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.06634	-0.39%	0.0623	-6.46%	0.0385	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.067631	-0.47%	0.0636	-6.40%	0.0721	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.069134	-0.53%	0.0619	-10.94%	0.1024	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.069644	-0.51%	0.06265	-10.50%	0.1090	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.071945	-0.77%	0.065	-10.34%	0.1230	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.074974	-0.70%	0.0661	-12.45%	0.1482	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.073703	-0.67%	0.0672	-9.43%	0.1171	✓	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.073665	-0.39%	0.0666	-9.94%	0.1535	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.071052	-0.49%	0.06795	-4.83%	0.0620	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.073644	-0.55%	0.0695	-6.14%	0.0760	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.078197	-0.64%	0.07	-11.05%	0.1066	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.07899	-0.64%	0.0725	-8.81%	0.0965	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.073962	-0.45%	0.0755	+1.62%	0.0234	✓	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.073331	-0.57%	0.0742	+0.61%	0.0177	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.073587	-0.56%	0.07395	-0.07%	0.0363	✗	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.071849	-0.49%	0.0714	-1.11%	0.0090	✓	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.073447	-0.48%	0.07405	+0.34%	0.0039	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.067309	-0.13%	0.0787	+16.77%	0.1293	✗	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.063947	-0.24%	0.0795	+24.02%	0.1893	✗	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.063786	-0.26%	0.0743	+16.18%	0.1129	✗	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.063012	+0.10%	0.07375	+17.16%	0.0725	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.061425	+0.04%	0.074	+20.52%	0.1170	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.06015	+0.25%	0.0722	+20.33%	0.1086	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.060359	+0.26%	0.0738	+22.59%	0.1439	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.061563	+0.18%	0.0674	+9.68%	0.0446	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.060283	+0.30%	0.0641	+6.66%	0.0286	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.061933	-0.03%	0.06395	+3.23%	0.0508	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.06486	-0.52%	0.06295	-3.45%	0.0453	✗	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.064122	-0.74%	0.0614	-4.95%	0.0247	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.063866	-0.60%	0.06	-6.61%	0.0058	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.065655	-0.82%	0.0602	-9.06%	0.0112	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.065618	-1.10%	0.06145	-7.39%	0.0037	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.068044	-1.31%	0.0601	-12.84%	0.0660	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.072857	-1.88%	0.06195	-16.57%	0.1021	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.071438	-1.87%	0.0652	-10.44%	0.0410	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.072146	-2.11%	0.0646	-12.35%	0.0713	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.072519	-2.13%	0.06425	-13.29%	0.0789	✓	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.07101	-1.92%	0.0662	-8.56%	0.0666	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.069612	-1.82%	0.06635	-6.42%	0.0469	✓	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.071033	-2.29%	0.06895	-5.16%	0.0177	✓	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.062939	-0.65%	0.07425	+17.21%	0.1167	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.063449	-0.71%	0.0728	+13.93%	0.0745	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.063935	-0.57%	0.0737	+14.62%	0.0910	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.063431	-0.58%	0.0741	+16.14%	0.1178	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.061744	+0.40%	0.0724	+17.72%	0.1032	✓	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.062509	+0.66%	0.0709	+14.17%	0.0869	✓	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.067127	-0.70%	0.0727	+7.54%	0.0833	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.070937	-1.06%	0.06335	-11.65%	0.0768	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.069967	-1.59%	0.0639	-10.13%	0.0196	✓	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.074826	-2.82%	0.0643	-16.49%	0.0484	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.075118	-2.82%	0.0638	-17.46%	0.0331	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.074772	-2.77%	0.0615	-20.03%	0.0360	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.074331	-2.45%	0.0621	-18.50%	0.0265	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.072724	-2.06%	0.0676	-8.96%	0.0451	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.073898	-2.06%	0.0717	-4.97%	0.0922	✗	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.076472	-1.96%	0.0711	-8.85%	0.0326	✗	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.078011	-1.75%	0.077	-3.02%	0.0539	✗	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.076474	-1.45%	0.0773	-0.39%	0.0486	✗	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.079576	-1.15%	0.0769	-4.47%	0.0030	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.07707	-0.94%	0.0762	-2.06%	0.0113	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.081147	-1.22%	0.07425	-9.62%	0.0466	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.080102	-1.11%	0.07545	-6.85%	0.0269	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.079031	-0.90%	0.078	-2.19%	0.0034	✓	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.081057	-0.54%	0.0794	-2.58%	0.0238	✓	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.079932	-0.52%	0.0776	-3.42%	0.0252	✓	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.083232	-0.85%	0.0805	-4.11%	0.0186	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.086544	-0.87%	0.0778	-10.88%	0.0697	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.091483	-0.78%	0.08215	-10.90%	0.0733	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.08988	-1.01%	0.081	-10.79%	0.0862	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.093105	-0.95%	0.07975	-15.16%	0.1195	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.096562	-0.86%	0.0815	-16.32%	0.1263	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.098039	-0.82%	0.08035	-18.72%	0.1557	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.093951	-0.90%	0.08395	-11.45%	0.0898	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.095395	-1.04%	0.0873	-9.44%	0.0788	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.090536	-0.84%	0.0922	+0.99%	0.0090	✗	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.090871	-0.58%	0.0908	-0.66%	0.0187	✗	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.086924	-0.60%	0.094	+7.49%	0.0826	✗	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.086908	-1.02%	0.0974	+10.93%	0.0950	✗	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.087448	-1.30%	0.09885	+11.57%	0.0853	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08937	-1.36%	0.0948	+4.64%	0.0384	✗	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.088076	-1.48%	0.0964	+7.83%	0.0699	✗	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.087139	-1.76%	0.0913	+2.93%	0.0062	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.092453	-1.85%	0.0914	-2.97%	0.0738	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.090538	-1.64%	0.08745	-5.00%	0.0861	✓	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.088073	-1.15%	0.0878	-1.46%	0.0312	✓	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.090704	-0.92%	0.0886	-3.22%	0.0222	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.086908	-1.02%	0.0906	+3.19%	0.0300	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.090192	-1.11%	0.0894	-1.97%	0.0176	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.086665	-0.73%	0.0887	+1.60%	0.0460	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.086517	-0.67%	0.0942	+8.15%	0.1136	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.082244	-0.79%	0.09205	+11.04%	0.1130	✗	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.080846	-0.80%	0.0891	+9.33%	0.0799	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.078034	-1.16%	0.09155	+15.96%	0.1026	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.080805	-0.73%	0.0878	+7.86%	0.0605	✗	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084478	-0.38%	0.0912	+7.55%	0.0723	✗	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.082902	-0.66%	0.0873	+4.61%	0.0149	✗	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.080549	-0.68%	0.0871	+7.40%	0.0386	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.077918	-0.62%	0.0829	+5.74%	0.0361	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.07882	-0.61%	0.0815	+2.77%	0.0165	✗	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.076102	-1.04%	0.07895	+2.67%	0.0024	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.079687	-0.89%	0.0814	+1.24%	0.0114	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.080499	-0.62%	0.0848	+4.69%	0.0021	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.078742	-0.77%	0.08345	+5.17%	0.0163	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.078603	-0.69%	0.0811	+2.46%	0.0156	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.080444	-0.69%	0.0784	-3.21%	0.0540	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.07812	-0.99%	0.0793	+0.51%	0.0567	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.077667	-1.00%	0.0769	-1.98%	0.0329	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.078223	-1.11%	0.0804	+1.64%	0.0499	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.078727	-1.10%	0.081	+1.76%	0.0527	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.076134	-0.87%	0.07935	+3.32%	0.0251	✓	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.078362	-0.93%	0.07915	+0.06%	0.0304	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075034	-0.49%	0.081	+7.43%	0.0264	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.074256	-0.33%	0.0789	+5.91%	0.0309	✗	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.072432	+0.18%	0.07845	+8.51%	0.0367	✓	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.074469	+0.09%	0.0791	+6.32%	0.0465	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.073574	-0.03%	0.0796	+8.15%	0.0700	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.076264	-0.31%	0.0768	+0.39%	0.0335	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.080277	-0.28%	0.0791	-1.74%	0.0289	✗	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.08131	-0.23%	0.0754	-7.48%	0.0435	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.07892	+0.09%	0.0745	-5.52%	0.0000	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.076222	+0.16%	0.0723	-4.99%	0.0258	✗	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.077995	-0.01%	0.0744	-4.62%	0.0105	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.080922	-0.10%	0.0736	-9.14%	0.0372	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.081591	-0.01%	0.0765	-6.25%	0.0486	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.08012	+0.02%	0.0805	+0.50%	0.0039	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.084169	-0.04%	0.0815	-3.21%	0.0144	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.085222	-0.09%	0.07885	-7.56%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.083538	-0.19%	0.0761	-9.08%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.078483	-0.28%	0.078	-0.89%	0.0265	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.078864	-0.42%	0.081	+2.27%	0.0330	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.076709	-0.51%	0.0816	+5.84%	0.0704	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.076059	-0.45%	0.0801	+4.84%	0.0373	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.075337	-0.48%	0.0842	+11.23%	0.0568	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.076024	-0.49%	0.0853	+11.65%	0.0256	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.07597	-0.30%	0.0837	+9.84%	0.0038	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.076229	-0.35%	0.0787	+2.88%	0.0269	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.078833	-0.46%	0.0792	+0.00%	0.0368	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.078394	-0.51%	0.0771	-2.16%	0.0114	✓	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.078791	-0.77%	0.0764	-3.78%	0.0057	✓	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.07658	-0.55%	0.0757	-1.69%	0.0369	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.078804	-0.63%	0.0764	-3.66%	0.0247	✓	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.078303	-0.63%	0.0762	-3.30%	0.0305	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.080295	-0.81%	0.0765	-5.50%	0.0531	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.079611	-0.61%	0.0792	-1.12%	0.0410	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.080028	-0.83%	0.0788	-2.35%	0.0683	✓	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.082123	-0.94%	0.0794	-4.22%	0.1054	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.077915	-0.11%	0.077	-1.28%	0.0809	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.078527	-0.09%	0.0793	+0.89%	0.0569	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.079622	-0.47%	0.0788	-1.50%	0.0196	✗	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.082602	-0.54%	0.08095	-2.53%	0.0044	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.08166	-0.47%	0.0801	-2.38%	0.0149	✗	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.080874	-0.28%	0.0807	-0.49%	0.0104	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.082542	-0.01%	0.0829	+0.42%	0.0209	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.084694	-0.24%	0.078	-8.13%	0.0272	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.086164	-0.27%	0.0786	-9.03%	0.0240	✓	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.085754	-0.05%	0.08	-6.76%	0.0510	✓	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.089445	-0.28%	0.08305	-7.41%	0.0459	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.087345	-0.18%	0.08205	-6.23%	0.0497	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.085298	+0.53%	0.0811	-4.42%	0.0627	✗	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.082574	+0.95%	0.08255	+0.92%	0.0092	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.08158	+0.96%	0.0849	+5.07%	0.0609	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.083535	+1.01%	0.0864	+4.47%	0.0529	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.084125	+1.54%	0.0858	+3.56%	0.0429	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.087079	+2.09%	0.0897	+5.16%	0.0211	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.087533	+2.56%	0.0875	+2.52%	0.0265	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.082391	+6.31%	0.08485	+9.48%	0.0306	✓	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.093134	+2.12%	0.0818	-10.31%	0.0205	✓	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.093961	+1.97%	0.0808	-12.32%	0.0298	✗	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.096428	+1.40%	0.0827	-13.04%	0.0029	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.093249	+2.41%	0.08285	-9.01%	0.0056	✓	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.094522	+2.41%	0.0853	-7.58%	0.0603	✓	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.101208	+0.60%	0.08535	-15.16%	0.0571	✓	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.102487	+0.77%	0.0775	-23.80%	0.1055	✓	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.109401	-0.27%	0.0912	-16.86%	0.0772	✗	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.109609	-0.36%	0.09215	-16.23%	0.0404	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.110634	-0.24%	0.0951	-14.25%	0.0025	✓	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.10932	+0.29%	0.09105	-16.47%	0.0291	✗	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.1144	-0.52%	0.0923	-19.74%	0.0537	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.11204	-0.50%	0.1006	-10.66%	0.0280	✓	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.108752	-0.41%	0.1017	-6.87%	0.0061	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.110189	-0.37%	0.1097	-0.81%	0.0015	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.106496	-0.28%	0.11	+3.00%	0.0206	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.113472	-1.24%	0.1109	-3.48%	0.0384	✗	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.119611	-1.39%	0.109	-10.14%	0.0074	✓	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.125612	-1.48%	0.115	-9.80%	0.0053	✓	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.135946	-1.56%	0.1126	-18.46%	0.1062	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.169049	-1.72%	0.1092	-36.51%	0.3533	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.177075	-1.68%	0.1106	-38.59%	0.3683	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.177676	-1.89%	0.1068	-41.03%	0.4114	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.165395	-1.67%	0.1149	-31.69%	0.3830	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.168214	-1.46%	0.1213	-28.94%	0.3647	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.174779	-1.03%	0.1275	-27.80%	0.3807	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.173373	-0.93%	0.1381	-21.09%	0.2998	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.171137	-0.96%	0.172	-0.46%	0.0595	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.176705	-0.95%	0.1801	+0.95%	0.0888	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.184277	-1.03%	0.1811	-2.74%	0.0489	✓	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.184746	-0.99%	0.1682	-9.86%	0.0421	✓	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.176823	-0.49%	0.1707	-3.94%	0.0232	✓	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.172053	-0.55%	0.1766	+2.08%	0.0304	✗	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.171101	-0.52%	0.175	+1.74%	0.0117	✗	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.163427	-0.23%	0.1728	+5.49%	0.0114	✗	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.158182	+0.05%	0.1784	+12.84%	0.0472	✓	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.161658	-0.21%	0.1862	+14.94%	0.0406	✗	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.155219	-0.05%	0.1866	+20.15%	0.0576	✗	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.156712	+0.14%	0.1777	+13.55%	0.0573	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.15843	+0.08%	0.173	+9.29%	0.0357	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.150841	+0.09%	0.172	+14.13%	0.0815	✓	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.153531	+0.15%	0.1638	+6.85%	0.0352	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.161639	+0.09%	0.1581	-2.11%	0.0200	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.16429	-0.13%	0.162	-1.52%	0.0322	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.164934	+0.02%	0.1553	-5.82%	0.0330	✗	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.162854	-0.09%	0.1565	-3.99%	0.0256	✓	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.169539	-0.09%	0.1583	-6.72%	0.0588	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.160753	+0.16%	0.1507	-6.11%	0.0495	✗	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.147434	+0.64%	0.1533	+4.64%	0.0067	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.153571	+0.37%	0.1615	+5.56%	0.0242	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.162803	+0.00%	0.1645	+1.04%	0.0182	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.162732	+0.20%	0.1649	+1.54%	0.0265	✗	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.167677	+0.11%	0.163	-2.69%	0.0369	✗	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.175269	-0.07%	0.1697	-3.25%	0.0029	✗	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.175494	+0.22%	0.1605	-8.34%	0.0495	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.182627	+0.45%	0.1465	-19.42%	0.0905	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.186002	+0.49%	0.153	-17.34%	0.0879	✗	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.190083	+0.52%	0.1628	-13.91%	0.0672	✗	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.181171	+0.76%	0.1624	-9.68%	0.0321	✗	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.178102	+0.79%	0.1675	-5.21%	0.0211	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.182399	+0.66%	0.1754	-3.20%	0.0570	✗	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.1803	+0.73%	0.1751	-2.18%	0.0462	✗	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.189993	+0.37%	0.1818	-3.96%	0.0520	✗	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.195325	+0.22%	0.1851	-5.03%	0.0289	✗	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.190974	+0.30%	0.1891	-0.68%	0.0345	✗	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.188348	+0.77%	0.1798	-3.80%	0.1327	✗	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.195825	+0.42%	0.1767	-9.38%	0.1034	✗	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.201819	+0.31%	0.1812	-9.94%	0.0769	✗	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.203049	+0.35%	0.179	-11.54%	0.0952	✗	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.20639	+0.34%	0.1893	-7.97%	0.1016	✗	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.2063	+0.36%	0.1949	-5.18%	0.1138	✗	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.206074	+0.57%	0.1904	-7.08%	0.1599	✗	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.212087	+0.28%	0.1869	-11.63%	0.0853	✗	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.209721	+0.80%	0.195	-6.27%	0.1457	✗	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.210245	+1.57%	0.2012	-2.80%	0.1727	✗	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.214685	+1.39%	0.20235	-4.44%	0.1806	✗	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.220102	+1.20%	0.2057	-5.43%	0.1659	✗	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.229581	+0.10%	0.20555	-10.38%	0.0899	✗	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.234662	-0.36%	0.2049	-12.99%	0.0183	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.235002	-0.11%	0.2115	-10.10%	0.0246	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.239744	-0.42%	0.20805	-13.58%	0.0117	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.245045	-0.77%	0.207	-16.18%	0.0589	✗	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.242713	-0.55%	0.21175	-13.23%	0.0622	✗	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.25013	-0.76%	0.2175	-13.71%	0.1411	✗	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.264605	-1.01%	0.22935	-14.20%	0.0668	✗	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.269708	-1.08%	0.2355	-13.63%	0.0683	✗	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.29379	-0.95%	0.23525	-20.68%	0.0486	✗	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.288758	-0.58%	0.24075	-17.11%	0.0233	✗	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.292843	-0.78%	0.24695	-16.33%	0.0354	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.309598	-0.96%	0.24405	-21.93%	0.0658	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.263391	+0.09%	0.25205	-4.22%	0.0131	✗	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.254412	+0.10%	0.2673	+5.17%	0.0909	✓	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.244711	+0.27%	0.27265	+11.72%	0.0792	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.251025	-0.21%	0.2966	+17.91%	0.1778	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.270307	-0.60%	0.29045	+6.80%	0.1815	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.270012	-0.64%	0.29515	+8.61%	0.2373	✗	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.265307	-0.48%	0.3126	+17.25%	0.2834	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.264141	-0.40%	0.26315	-0.77%	0.1324	✗	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.279061	-0.78%	0.25415	-9.64%	0.0219	✗	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.282483	-0.95%	0.24405	-14.43%	0.0715	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.293367	-1.06%	0.25155	-15.16%	0.0149	✓	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.295713	-1.13%	0.27195	-9.08%	0.0112	✓	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.290828	-0.93%	0.27175	-7.43%	0.0377	✓	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.292233	-0.92%	0.2666	-9.61%	0.0639	✓	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.285415	-0.73%	0.2652	-7.76%	0.0393	✓	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.276699	-0.23%	0.28125	+1.41%	0.0301	✓	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.281889	-0.36%	0.2852	+0.81%	0.0732	✓	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.290807	-0.53%	0.2965	+1.42%	0.0457	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.288762	-0.05%	0.2991	+3.53%	0.0747	✓	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.287495	+0.22%	0.29355	+2.34%	0.0645	✗	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.284196	+0.64%	0.29495	+4.44%	0.0510	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.290106	+0.45%	0.2875	-0.45%	0.0460	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.2991	+0.15%	0.27735	-7.13%	0.0130	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.314545	-0.30%	0.2829	-10.33%	0.0160	✓	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.326987	-0.45%	0.29235	-10.99%	0.0235	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.306153	+0.05%	0.2889	-5.59%	0.0630	✓	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.278489	+1.55%	0.28685	+4.59%	0.0969	✓	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.268467	+1.16%	0.2824	+6.41%	0.1769	✓	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.383658	-0.81%	0.2888	-25.34%	0.1278	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.396392	-1.01%	0.29865	-25.42%	0.1417	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.394982	-0.99%	0.3155	-20.92%	0.1303	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.40439	-1.20%	0.32845	-19.75%	0.1014	✓	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.397476	-1.22%	0.306	-23.96%	0.1660	✓	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.398953	-1.15%	0.27425	-32.05%	0.2392	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.41073	-1.17%	0.2654	-36.14%	0.3293	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.411594	-1.23%	0.3868	-7.18%	0.0744	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.405869	-1.22%	0.40045	-2.54%	0.0664	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.389904	-0.99%	0.39895	+1.31%	0.0631	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.398832	-1.01%	0.4093	+1.59%	0.0938	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.409041	-0.97%	0.4024	-2.58%	0.1547	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.400891	-0.79%	0.4036	-0.12%	0.1529	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.407503	-0.65%	0.4156	+1.33%	0.1382	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.396657	-0.52%	0.4167	+4.50%	0.0960	✓	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.417682	-0.84%	0.4109	-2.45%	0.0829	✓	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.420097	-0.42%	0.3938	-6.65%	0.0912	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.424973	-0.47%	0.4029	-5.64%	0.0744	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.458645	-0.84%	0.41305	-10.70%	0.0668	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.465796	-1.04%	0.4041	-14.15%	0.0670	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.464236	-1.14%	0.41015	-12.66%	0.0497	✓	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.478407	-1.44%	0.39875	-17.85%	0.0833	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.