A

Vaulta · native · gru_s6

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1271

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0345

actual -0.0615

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.087246	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.090284	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.081453	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.08284	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.101019	-9.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.094896	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.088742	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.094288	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.091057	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.090343	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.094723	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.094015	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.095291	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.088948	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.08988	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.094411	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.093069	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.08868	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.087748	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.086926	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.088699	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.090969	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.08918	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.088457	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.095763	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.09412	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.094717	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.092811	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.086915	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.092707	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.089678	-3.68%	0.09485	+1.88%	0.1027	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.084601	-4.94%	0.09785	+9.94%	0.1232	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.085739	-4.68%	0.0884	-1.72%	0.0230	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.087046	-5.23%	0.09015	-1.85%	0.0207	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.074511	-5.20%	0.1117	+42.11%	0.3495	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.072272	-4.78%	0.1047	+37.94%	0.3124	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.072494	-4.86%	0.09715	+27.49%	0.2181	✗	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.077324	-4.24%	0.1036	+28.30%	0.2565	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.077659	-4.54%	0.0997	+22.56%	0.1820	✗	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.075199	-3.96%	0.09905	+26.50%	0.2266	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.074215	-3.30%	0.1038	+35.24%	0.2653	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.07455	-3.81%	0.10325	+33.23%	0.2553	✗	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.079125	-2.91%	0.10475	+28.53%	0.2351	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.078376	-2.94%	0.09735	+20.56%	0.1778	✗	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.079198	-1.56%	0.09825	+22.13%	0.1657	✗	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.07988	-0.89%	0.10315	+27.98%	0.1952	✗	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.079933	-0.21%	0.10175	+27.03%	0.1726	✗	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.077183	-0.09%	0.09665	+25.11%	0.1458	✗	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.080426	+2.19%	0.09575	+21.66%	0.1340	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.075205	-1.88%	0.09425	+22.96%	0.1323	✗	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.073302	-1.61%	0.09615	+29.06%	0.1738	✗	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.074515	-0.45%	0.09875	+31.93%	0.2196	✗	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.07331	-0.60%	0.09635	+30.64%	0.1975	✗	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.076305	-0.19%	0.0952	+24.53%	0.1570	✗	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.076339	+0.25%	0.1039	+36.44%	0.2271	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.079942	+3.02%	0.1017	+31.06%	0.1902	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.080164	+1.67%	0.1023	+29.74%	0.1808	✓	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.074167	+1.46%	0.0994	+35.98%	0.2205	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.074276	+1.68%	0.09175	+25.60%	0.1444	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.075949	+0.86%	0.09795	+30.08%	0.1480	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.073546	+0.54%	0.0931	+27.27%	0.1160	✓	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.078456	+1.49%	0.089	+15.14%	0.0903	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.06787	-2.56%	0.08995	+29.15%	0.1805	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.063206	-4.95%	0.09185	+38.12%	0.2235	✗	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.056555	-6.44%	0.0786	+30.02%	0.1797	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.056982	-6.59%	0.0759	+24.43%	0.1359	✗	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.056922	-6.68%	0.0762	+24.92%	0.1201	✗	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.057576	-6.53%	0.08075	+31.09%	0.1387	✗	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.057843	-6.55%	0.08135	+31.42%	0.1556	✗	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.058351	-6.49%	0.0783	+25.48%	0.1078	✗	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.058696	-6.16%	0.07675	+22.70%	0.0778	✗	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.059304	-6.02%	0.0775	+22.82%	0.0882	✗	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.060253	-6.00%	0.0815	+27.15%	0.1053	✗	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.060538	-6.00%	0.08075	+25.39%	0.1010	✗	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.061057	-6.35%	0.08045	+23.39%	0.0813	✗	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.060303	-6.29%	0.0806	+25.25%	0.0764	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.061045	-6.37%	0.0801	+22.85%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.060069	-6.44%	0.07725	+20.33%	0.0389	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.060594	-6.63%	0.0787	+21.26%	0.0206	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.060163	-6.51%	0.07665	+19.11%	0.0402	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.059366	-6.29%	0.0745	+17.60%	0.0264	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.059779	-6.23%	0.07485	+17.41%	0.0011	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.060226	-5.90%	0.07375	+15.23%	0.0107	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.05804	-5.32%	0.07645	+24.71%	0.0711	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.056696	-5.19%	0.07615	+27.34%	0.0865	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.058942	-5.39%	0.0776	+24.56%	0.0369	✓	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.058998	-5.30%	0.07885	+26.57%	0.0671	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.060634	-4.66%	0.0731	+14.94%	0.0007	✓	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.059451	-3.96%	0.07305	+18.01%	0.0032	✓	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.060421	-3.56%	0.0753	+20.19%	0.0203	✓	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.062717	-3.51%	0.07315	+12.54%	0.0189	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.063958	-3.24%	0.0773	+16.94%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.065124	-3.09%	0.06965	+3.65%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.064825	-2.66%	0.0665	-0.15%	0.0373	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.066013	-2.85%	0.06045	-11.04%	0.0880	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.067371	-3.06%	0.061	-12.23%	0.0942	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.067856	-3.06%	0.061	-12.86%	0.0888	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.069884	-3.61%	0.0616	-15.03%	0.1134	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.073097	-3.18%	0.0619	-18.01%	0.1374	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.071871	-3.14%	0.0624	-15.90%	0.1154	✓	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.072059	-2.56%	0.06255	-15.42%	0.1623	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.069471	-2.70%	0.0631	-11.62%	0.0923	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.072003	-2.76%	0.0641	-13.44%	0.1187	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.076481	-2.82%	0.0644	-18.17%	0.1846	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.077259	-2.82%	0.0652	-17.99%	0.2008	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.072487	-2.44%	0.06435	-13.39%	0.1660	✓	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.071724	-2.75%	0.0652	-11.59%	0.1121	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.072073	-2.60%	0.0642	-13.24%	0.1263	✓	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.070424	-2.46%	0.0649	-10.11%	0.0898	✓	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.071996	-2.44%	0.06435	-12.80%	0.1190	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.066186	-1.80%	0.06335	-6.01%	0.0603	✓	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.062643	-2.27%	0.06375	-0.55%	0.0040	✓	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.062344	-2.51%	0.064	+0.08%	0.0235	✓	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.061833	-1.77%	0.0613	-2.62%	0.1170	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.060255	-1.87%	0.0598	-2.61%	0.0750	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.059042	-1.60%	0.0623	+3.83%	0.0249	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.059329	-1.45%	0.0623	+3.49%	0.0190	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.060487	-1.57%	0.0636	+3.50%	0.0452	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.059281	-1.36%	0.0619	+3.00%	0.0394	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.060797	-1.86%	0.06265	+1.13%	0.0250	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.063351	-2.84%	0.065	-0.31%	0.0160	✓	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.062555	-3.17%	0.0661	+2.32%	0.0185	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.062326	-2.99%	0.0672	+4.59%	0.0190	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.064015	-3.30%	0.0666	+0.60%	0.0229	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.06365	-4.07%	0.06795	+2.41%	0.0446	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.065847	-4.50%	0.0695	+0.80%	0.0203	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.070184	-5.48%	0.07	-5.72%	0.0067	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.068819	-5.47%	0.0725	-0.41%	0.0831	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.06936	-5.89%	0.0755	+2.44%	0.1109	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.069653	-6.00%	0.0742	+0.13%	0.0753	✗	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.068405	-5.52%	0.07395	+2.14%	0.1152	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.066933	-5.60%	0.0714	+0.71%	0.0611	✗	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.068214	-6.17%	0.07405	+1.86%	0.0784	✗	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.060598	-4.34%	0.0787	+24.23%	0.2179	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.060923	-4.66%	0.0795	+24.41%	0.2418	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.061677	-4.08%	0.0743	+15.55%	0.1998	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.060971	-4.43%	0.07375	+15.60%	0.1900	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.059027	-4.02%	0.074	+20.33%	0.1766	✗	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.059743	-3.80%	0.0722	+16.26%	0.1496	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.063836	-5.57%	0.0738	+9.17%	0.1556	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.067231	-6.23%	0.0674	-6.00%	0.0236	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.066038	-7.12%	0.0641	-9.85%	0.0443	✓	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.070371	-8.61%	0.06395	-16.95%	0.0499	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.070553	-8.73%	0.06295	-18.56%	0.0842	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.070107	-8.83%	0.0614	-20.16%	0.0362	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.069693	-8.54%	0.06	-21.26%	0.0250	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.06817	-8.19%	0.0602	-18.92%	0.0460	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.069318	-8.13%	0.06145	-18.56%	0.0555	✓	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.071937	-7.77%	0.0601	-22.95%	0.0159	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.07379	-7.07%	0.06195	-21.98%	0.0232	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.072385	-6.72%	0.0652	-15.98%	0.0678	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.07569	-5.98%	0.0646	-19.75%	0.0108	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.072936	-6.25%	0.06425	-17.42%	0.0166	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.077113	-6.13%	0.0662	-19.42%	0.0036	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.076094	-6.06%	0.06635	-18.09%	0.0206	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.075143	-5.78%	0.06895	-13.54%	0.0707	✗	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.077635	-4.74%	0.07425	-8.90%	0.0954	✗	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.076766	-4.46%	0.0728	-9.40%	0.0780	✗	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.079936	-4.78%	0.0737	-12.21%	0.0476	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.083466	-4.39%	0.0741	-15.12%	0.0266	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.088619	-3.88%	0.0724	-21.48%	0.0252	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.086693	-4.52%	0.0709	-21.92%	0.0301	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.090127	-4.12%	0.0727	-22.66%	0.0385	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.093784	-3.71%	0.06335	-34.96%	0.1878	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.095381	-3.51%	0.0639	-35.36%	0.1939	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.091116	-3.89%	0.0643	-32.17%	0.1741	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.092448	-4.10%	0.0638	-33.82%	0.2057	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.087859	-3.77%	0.0615	-32.64%	0.1673	✓	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.088817	-2.83%	0.0621	-32.06%	0.1475	✓	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.084845	-2.98%	0.0676	-22.70%	0.0308	✓	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.08416	-4.15%	0.0717	-18.34%	0.0207	✓	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.084476	-4.65%	0.0711	-19.75%	0.0371	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.086527	-4.50%	0.077	-15.01%	0.0351	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.085075	-4.84%	0.0773	-13.53%	0.0450	✓	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.083799	-5.53%	0.0769	-13.30%	0.0570	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.08894	-5.58%	0.0762	-19.11%	0.1270	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.087341	-5.12%	0.07425	-19.34%	0.1294	✓	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.085578	-3.95%	0.07545	-15.32%	0.0903	✓	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.088452	-3.38%	0.078	-14.80%	0.0932	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.084531	-3.72%	0.0794	-9.57%	0.0581	✓	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.087722	-3.81%	0.0776	-14.91%	0.1170	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.084931	-2.71%	0.0805	-7.79%	0.0348	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.084899	-2.53%	0.0778	-10.68%	0.0552	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.080026	-3.47%	0.08215	-0.90%	0.0124	✓	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.078728	-3.40%	0.081	-0.61%	0.0098	✓	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.075491	-4.38%	0.07975	+1.01%	0.0198	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.078803	-3.19%	0.0815	+0.12%	0.0194	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.082905	-2.23%	0.08035	-5.25%	0.0349	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.080901	-3.06%	0.08395	+0.60%	0.0023	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.078607	-3.07%	0.0873	+7.64%	0.0556	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.075956	-3.12%	0.0922	+17.60%	0.1140	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.077002	-2.90%	0.0908	+14.50%	0.1085	✗	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.073634	-4.25%	0.094	+22.24%	0.1255	✗	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.077555	-3.54%	0.0974	+21.14%	0.1253	✗	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.078838	-2.67%	0.09885	+22.04%	0.1176	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.07655	-3.53%	0.0948	+19.47%	0.1077	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.076487	-3.36%	0.0964	+21.79%	0.1216	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.078531	-3.05%	0.0913	+12.72%	0.0535	✗	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.075647	-4.12%	0.0914	+15.84%	0.0351	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.075286	-4.03%	0.08745	+11.47%	0.0037	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.075552	-4.49%	0.0878	+11.00%	0.0101	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.076192	-4.28%	0.0886	+11.31%	0.0006	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.073641	-4.11%	0.0906	+17.97%	0.0548	✗	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.075778	-4.20%	0.0894	+13.02%	0.0342	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.072936	-3.27%	0.0887	+17.64%	0.0892	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.072192	-3.10%	0.0942	+26.44%	0.1454	✗	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.070871	-1.98%	0.09205	+27.32%	0.1221	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.072825	-2.12%	0.0891	+19.76%	0.0547	✗	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.07176	-2.50%	0.09155	+24.39%	0.0812	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.0744	-2.74%	0.0878	+14.77%	0.0491	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.078599	-2.36%	0.0912	+13.29%	0.0697	✗	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.079733	-2.17%	0.0873	+7.12%	0.0091	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.077829	-1.30%	0.0871	+10.46%	0.0182	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.074979	-1.47%	0.0829	+8.94%	0.0125	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.076654	-1.73%	0.0815	+4.49%	0.0306	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.079573	-1.76%	0.07895	-2.53%	0.0517	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.080427	-1.44%	0.0814	-0.25%	0.0644	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.079117	-1.23%	0.0848	+5.87%	0.0089	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.08317	-1.22%	0.08345	-0.89%	0.0130	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.084242	-1.24%	0.0811	-4.92%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.082423	-1.53%	0.0784	-6.33%	0.0684	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.07726	-1.83%	0.0793	+0.76%	0.0174	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.077547	-2.09%	0.0769	-2.90%	0.0057	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.075152	-2.53%	0.0804	+4.28%	0.0324	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.074753	-2.16%	0.081	+6.02%	0.0418	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.074042	-2.19%	0.07935	+4.82%	0.0437	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.074548	-2.42%	0.07915	+3.60%	0.0221	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.074567	-2.14%	0.081	+6.30%	0.0050	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.074887	-2.11%	0.0789	+3.14%	0.0282	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.077461	-2.20%	0.07845	-0.95%	0.0006	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.077139	-2.11%	0.0791	+0.38%	0.0793	✗	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.07736	-2.57%	0.0796	+0.25%	0.1151	✗	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.075147	-2.41%	0.0768	-0.26%	0.0448	✗	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.077118	-2.75%	0.0791	-0.25%	0.0367	✗	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.076357	-3.10%	0.0754	-4.31%	0.0520	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.078255	-3.33%	0.0745	-7.97%	0.0455	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.077646	-3.06%	0.0723	-9.74%	0.0729	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.077889	-3.48%	0.0744	-7.81%	0.0270	✓	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.079831	-3.70%	0.0736	-11.22%	0.0550	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.076178	-2.34%	0.0765	-1.92%	0.0716	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.076829	-2.25%	0.0805	+2.42%	0.0573	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.077542	-3.07%	0.0815	+1.88%	0.0042	✓	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.080424	-3.16%	0.07885	-5.06%	0.0652	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.079524	-3.08%	0.0761	-7.25%	0.0418	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.07886	-2.76%	0.078	-3.82%	0.0417	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.080496	-2.49%	0.081	-1.88%	0.0580	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.082322	-3.04%	0.0816	-3.89%	0.0469	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.083797	-3.01%	0.0801	-7.29%	0.0816	✓	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.083558	-2.61%	0.0842	-1.86%	0.0695	✓	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.086918	-3.10%	0.0853	-4.91%	0.0939	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.084557	-3.36%	0.0837	-4.34%	0.0704	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.08256	-2.70%	0.0787	-7.25%	0.1257	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.079842	-2.39%	0.0792	-3.18%	0.0678	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.078474	-2.88%	0.0771	-4.58%	0.0442	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.08027	-2.94%	0.0764	-7.62%	0.0510	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.081075	-2.14%	0.0757	-8.63%	0.0637	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.083634	-1.95%	0.0764	-10.43%	0.0775	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.084522	-0.97%	0.0762	-10.72%	0.0308	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.077201	-0.39%	0.0765	-1.29%	0.0870	✓	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.089574	-1.78%	0.0792	-13.16%	0.0344	✓	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.090973	-1.28%	0.0788	-14.49%	0.0606	✓	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.093444	-1.74%	0.0794	-16.51%	0.0594	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.089734	-1.44%	0.077	-15.43%	0.0053	✓	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.091189	-1.20%	0.0793	-14.08%	0.0310	✗	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.097645	-2.94%	0.0788	-21.67%	0.1034	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.099354	-2.31%	0.08095	-20.40%	0.0967	✗	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.105883	-3.48%	0.0801	-26.98%	0.1135	✗	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.10585	-3.77%	0.0807	-26.64%	0.0920	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.106775	-3.72%	0.0829	-25.25%	0.0845	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.105595	-3.12%	0.078	-28.44%	0.0879	✗	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.11019	-4.18%	0.0786	-31.65%	0.0769	✗	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.108046	-4.04%	0.08	-28.95%	0.0604	✗	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.104251	-4.53%	0.08305	-23.95%	0.1260	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.105798	-4.34%	0.08205	-25.81%	0.0991	✗	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.101986	-4.51%	0.0811	-24.06%	0.1279	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.10926	-4.91%	0.08255	-28.15%	0.1463	✗	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.115413	-4.85%	0.0849	-30.01%	0.1114	✗	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.121682	-4.56%	0.0864	-32.24%	0.0666	✗	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.131683	-4.65%	0.0858	-37.87%	0.0150	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.162977	-5.25%	0.0897	-47.85%	0.1992	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.170892	-5.11%	0.0875	-51.42%	0.2389	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.171294	-5.41%	0.08485	-53.15%	0.2401	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.159079	-5.42%	0.0818	-51.37%	0.2797	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.162378	-4.87%	0.0808	-52.67%	0.3473	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.169737	-3.89%	0.0827	-53.17%	0.3944	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.168642	-3.63%	0.08285	-52.66%	0.3698	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.16656	-3.61%	0.0853	-50.64%	0.3080	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.172084	-3.54%	0.08535	-52.16%	0.2401	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.179741	-3.47%	0.0775	-58.38%	0.1228	✓	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.180553	-3.24%	0.0912	-51.13%	0.2343	✓	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.172958	-2.67%	0.09215	-48.14%	0.2943	✓	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.168081	-2.84%	0.0951	-45.03%	0.3207	✓	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.167192	-2.80%	0.09105	-47.06%	0.3318	✓	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.159979	-2.33%	0.0923	-43.65%	0.3395	✓	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.155418	-1.70%	0.1006	-36.37%	0.3668	✓	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.158323	-2.27%	0.1017	-37.22%	0.3652	✓	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.152	-2.12%	0.1097	-29.36%	0.3656	✓	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.154158	-1.50%	0.11	-29.71%	0.3612	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.155805	-1.58%	0.1109	-29.94%	0.3484	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.147774	-1.94%	0.109	-27.67%	0.2904	✓	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.150584	-1.77%	0.115	-24.98%	0.3055	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.158688	-1.74%	0.1126	-30.28%	0.3781	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.160612	-2.36%	0.1092	-33.62%	0.4237	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.161827	-1.86%	0.1106	-32.93%	0.3956	✓	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.159335	-2.25%	0.1068	-34.48%	0.3939	✓	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.165793	-2.30%	0.1149	-32.29%	0.4449	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.157477	-1.88%	0.1213	-24.42%	0.3624	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.144217	-1.56%	0.1275	-12.97%	0.2973	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.149859	-2.05%	0.1381	-9.74%	0.2482	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.158455	-2.67%	0.172	+5.65%	0.0545	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.158615	-2.33%	0.1801	+10.90%	0.0601	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.163598	-2.33%	0.1811	+8.12%	0.0264	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.170978	-2.52%	0.1682	-4.10%	0.0331	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.172163	-1.68%	0.1707	-2.51%	0.0192	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.180529	-0.70%	0.1766	-2.86%	0.0167	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.183911	-0.64%	0.175	-5.46%	0.0223	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.188411	-0.36%	0.1728	-8.62%	0.0568	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.179613	-0.10%	0.1784	-0.78%	0.0179	✓	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.176594	-0.06%	0.1862	+5.38%	0.0052	✓	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.18034	-0.47%	0.1866	+2.98%	0.0477	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.178095	-0.51%	0.1777	-0.73%	0.0409	✓	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.187251	-1.08%	0.173	-8.61%	0.0525	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.192441	-1.26%	0.172	-11.75%	0.0502	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.187797	-1.37%	0.1638	-13.97%	0.0898	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.185491	-0.75%	0.1581	-15.41%	0.1842	✓	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.192469	-1.30%	0.162	-16.92%	0.1328	✓	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.198294	-1.44%	0.1553	-22.81%	0.1699	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.199527	-1.39%	0.1565	-22.66%	0.1825	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.202934	-1.34%	0.1583	-23.04%	0.1785	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.202082	-1.69%	0.1507	-26.68%	0.2307	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.200826	-1.99%	0.1533	-25.18%	0.2669	✓	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.205646	-2.77%	0.1615	-23.64%	0.2281	✓	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.203456	-2.21%	0.1645	-20.93%	0.2255	✓	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.204006	-1.45%	0.1649	-20.34%	0.2950	✓	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.207137	-2.18%	0.163	-23.02%	0.3149	✓	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.21321	-1.97%	0.1697	-21.98%	0.2656	✓	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.22235	-3.05%	0.1605	-30.02%	0.2550	✓	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.226169	-3.96%	0.1465	-37.79%	0.2762	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.226726	-3.62%	0.153	-34.96%	0.2678	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.231237	-3.95%	0.1628	-32.38%	0.2200	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.235675	-4.57%	0.1624	-34.24%	0.1830	✓	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.233237	-4.43%	0.1675	-31.37%	0.2001	✓	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.241737	-4.09%	0.1754	-30.41%	0.1239	✓	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.255976	-4.24%	0.1751	-34.49%	0.1441	✓	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.260282	-4.54%	0.1818	-33.32%	0.1470	✓	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.28505	-3.89%	0.1851	-37.59%	0.1596	✓	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.281482	-3.09%	0.1891	-34.89%	0.1616	✓	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.284352	-3.66%	0.1798	-39.08%	0.2192	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.301703	-3.49%	0.1767	-43.47%	0.2770	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.257617	-2.10%	0.1812	-31.14%	0.1177	✓	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.248157	-2.36%	0.179	-29.57%	0.0390	✓	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.237754	-2.58%	0.1893	-22.43%	0.0422	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.24405	-2.98%	0.1949	-22.52%	0.0401	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.263161	-3.23%	0.1904	-29.99%	0.0624	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.261585	-3.74%	0.1869	-31.22%	0.1568	✗	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.2575	-3.41%	0.195	-26.86%	0.1118	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.256549	-3.26%	0.2012	-24.13%	0.1147	✗	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.269386	-4.22%	0.20235	-28.05%	0.0963	✗	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.272586	-4.42%	0.2057	-27.88%	0.1511	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.283379	-4.43%	0.20555	-30.67%	0.1509	✗	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.285427	-4.57%	0.2049	-31.49%	0.2209	✗	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.280299	-4.51%	0.2115	-27.95%	0.2049	✗	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.281654	-4.51%	0.20805	-29.46%	0.2061	✗	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.274475	-4.53%	0.207	-28.00%	0.2594	✗	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.266187	-4.02%	0.21175	-23.65%	0.2562	✗	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.270806	-4.28%	0.2175	-23.12%	0.2457	✗	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.279882	-4.26%	0.22935	-21.55%	0.1949	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.278658	-3.55%	0.2355	-18.48%	0.1589	✗	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.277027	-3.42%	0.23525	-17.99%	0.1549	✗	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.274109	-2.94%	0.24075	-14.75%	0.1268	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.280521	-2.87%	0.24695	-14.49%	0.1341	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.290115	-2.86%	0.24405	-18.28%	0.1648	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.304908	-3.36%	0.25205	-20.11%	0.0780	✗	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.318333	-3.08%	0.2673	-18.62%	0.0926	✗	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.297773	-2.69%	0.27265	-10.90%	0.1462	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.269065	-1.89%	0.2966	+8.15%	0.1886	✗	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.25864	-2.55%	0.29045	+9.44%	0.2779	✗	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.373723	-3.38%	0.29515	-23.69%	0.0052	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.385708	-3.68%	0.3126	-21.94%	0.0241	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.38442	-3.64%	0.26315	-34.04%	0.1384	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.393598	-3.84%	0.25415	-37.91%	0.1899	✓	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.386456	-3.96%	0.24405	-39.35%	0.1945	✓	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.387646	-3.95%	0.25155	-37.67%	0.2444	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.399552	-3.86%	0.27195	-34.56%	0.2477	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.399787	-4.06%	0.27175	-34.79%	0.2609	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.3933	-4.28%	0.2666	-35.12%	0.2796	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.376945	-4.28%	0.2652	-32.66%	0.2800	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.385729	-4.26%	0.28125	-30.19%	0.2626	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.394685	-4.45%	0.2852	-30.95%	0.3340	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.386192	-4.43%	0.2965	-26.63%	0.3214	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.393298	-4.11%	0.2991	-27.08%	0.3365	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.382862	-3.98%	0.29355	-26.38%	0.2999	✓	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.404343	-4.00%	0.29495	-29.97%	0.2856	✓	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.407426	-3.42%	0.2875	-31.85%	0.3235	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.412943	-3.29%	0.27735	-35.05%	0.3294	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.444463	-3.91%	0.2829	-38.84%	0.3653	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.450495	-4.29%	0.29235	-37.89%	0.3685	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.448719	-4.45%	0.2889	-38.48%	0.3532	✓	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.461181	-4.99%	0.28685	-40.90%	0.3526	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.4559	-5.31%	0.2824	-41.34%	0.3548	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.