XRD

Radix · native · gru_s5

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1169

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0208

actual -0.0501

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000182818	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000198209	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000163884	+2.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000161966	+4.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000154379	+6.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000202969	+0.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000263163	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000293138	-3.03%	0.00018625	-38.39%	0.4415	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000303723	-3.27%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4030	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000319845	-3.54%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.6935	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000306021	-3.37%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.6935	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000304501	-3.33%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7559	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000296724	-3.13%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.3942	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000305863	-3.24%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1215	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000320811	-3.57%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0757	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000322667	-3.60%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0502	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000335286	-3.71%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0497	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000344903	-3.70%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1123	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000342506	-3.74%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1018	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.00035337	-3.82%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1622	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000364426	-3.87%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1734	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000364554	-3.91%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.0942	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000391076	-4.10%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1373	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000397741	-4.24%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1120	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000421129	-4.77%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1432	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000434688	-5.09%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.1972	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000415913	-4.92%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1202	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.00044466	-5.49%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1551	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000467608	-5.93%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2169	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000493716	-6.32%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2160	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000440144	-6.21%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.0860	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000514335	-5.82%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1301	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000495736	-5.61%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0592	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.00053477	-5.80%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1816	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000548629	-4.77%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.1015	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000483694	-3.91%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0809	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.00053311	-4.06%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0558	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000487327	-3.47%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0040	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000479342	-2.79%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1538	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000497524	-2.59%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0755	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.00047608	-1.74%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.1956	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000483365	-1.35%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1745	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000466803	-0.57%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0651	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000478518	-0.23%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1362	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000436591	+0.71%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1415	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000486925	+0.96%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0053	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000480592	+1.78%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0475	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000513706	+2.35%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0700	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.00050006	+3.54%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0407	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000584188	+2.47%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2178	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000604918	+2.29%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2312	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000636997	+2.30%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3839	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000839856	+1.25%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5540	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000876237	+1.04%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6182	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.00087802	+0.66%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5593	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000823317	+1.34%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5341	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000825167	+0.73%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3685	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000903863	+0.03%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4230	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000926408	-0.09%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.3968	✓	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000880865	-0.25%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0600	✓	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000789878	-0.12%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0928	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000917636	-0.39%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0508	✓	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000913073	-1.18%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1127	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000949479	-1.75%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1512	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001013	-2.52%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1553	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000872806	-2.03%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0268	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000905648	-2.25%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0693	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000938294	-2.32%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2125	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000899587	-2.16%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0211	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000918571	-2.17%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0233	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000957908	-2.30%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0104	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000907249	-2.11%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1324	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000889658	-2.03%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0005	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000901021	-2.03%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0344	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000913335	-2.07%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0566	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000906846	-2.07%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0197	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000893762	-2.13%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0518	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000941191	-2.24%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0444	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000924938	-2.26%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0035	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000958007	-2.40%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0549	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000960055	-2.42%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0472	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000926748	-2.39%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0002	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000941103	-2.39%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0225	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.00094069	-2.23%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0282	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000942457	-2.26%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0191	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000956104	-2.24%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0109	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000972293	-2.23%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0103	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001	-2.13%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0107	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000972103	-2.05%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0190	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001081	-2.65%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1103	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000814303	-1.42%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1686	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000818455	-1.34%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1755	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000800419	-1.27%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2147	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000821836	-1.35%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1995	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000832442	-1.38%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.2013	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000850252	-1.41%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1574	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000880219	-1.53%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2314	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000862824	-1.49%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0511	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000851764	-1.44%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0355	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000839009	-1.40%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0444	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000833199	-1.43%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0210	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000910431	-1.59%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0814	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000844728	-1.40%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0138	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000877122	-1.44%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0205	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000897096	-1.47%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0279	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000904865	-1.48%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0622	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000889126	-1.39%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0549	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.00089853	-1.38%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0494	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000918723	-1.45%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0060	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000885961	-1.36%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0374	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000868931	-1.33%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0147	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000880709	-1.35%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0232	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000877226	-1.35%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0321	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000841171	-1.13%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0426	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000848554	-1.22%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0499	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000860876	-1.22%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0551	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000854815	-1.20%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0310	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000883324	-1.29%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0182	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000904356	-1.34%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0237	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000931109	-1.47%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0388	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000957452	-1.60%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0883	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001039	-1.84%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1657	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001046	-1.84%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1584	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2044	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001073	-1.94%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1594	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.00108	-1.96%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1445	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001068	-1.99%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1022	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001083	-2.06%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0903	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001097	-2.11%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0229	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001091	-2.11%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0091	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001104	-2.14%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0086	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001079	-2.06%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0139	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.00109	-2.11%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0155	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001089	-2.03%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0181	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001103	-2.11%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0211	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001074	-2.09%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0222	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001038	-1.96%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0568	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.00102	-1.66%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0785	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001013	-1.61%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0672	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001061	-2.10%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0490	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001034	-1.97%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0903	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000994618	-2.01%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1643	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001015	-2.39%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1488	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001053	-2.54%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0936	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001043	-2.48%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.1049	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001061	-2.51%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0872	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001057	-2.47%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1162	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001092	-2.53%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0537	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001131	-2.63%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0341	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001089	-2.40%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0075	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000998666	-1.90%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1095	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000998303	-1.74%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0968	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001045	-1.80%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0605	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001055	-1.72%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0661	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001063	-1.62%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0824	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001108	-1.69%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0568	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001129	-1.68%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0143	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.00113	-1.57%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1005	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001154	-1.58%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1150	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001175	-1.58%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0674	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001192	-1.52%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0753	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001204	-1.54%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0929	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001228	-1.53%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0551	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001232	-1.41%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0295	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.00123	-1.28%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0279	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001242	-1.35%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0349	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001229	-1.27%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0193	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001245	-1.27%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0375	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.00127	-1.06%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0149	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001261	-1.00%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0063	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001273	-1.10%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0415	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001248	-1.22%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0462	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001248	-1.27%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0162	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001243	-1.34%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0237	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001239	-1.74%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0363	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001255	-1.90%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0593	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001257	-2.02%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0490	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001303	-1.97%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0461	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001341	-1.65%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0587	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001325	-1.95%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0614	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001302	-1.87%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0444	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001272	-1.59%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0207	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001269	-1.64%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0449	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001254	-2.28%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0235	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001255	-2.43%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0337	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.00126	-2.64%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0109	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001255	-2.35%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0468	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001296	-1.95%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0184	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001213	-2.29%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0209	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001223	-2.22%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0061	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001212	-2.16%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0263	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001203	-2.03%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0466	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001151	-2.21%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0725	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001158	-2.00%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0659	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001174	-1.96%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0612	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001209	-2.12%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0227	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001226	-2.19%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0347	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001241	-2.15%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0348	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001284	-2.54%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1319	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001193	-2.23%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0414	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001158	-1.99%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0710	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001162	-1.87%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0653	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001148	-1.65%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0045	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001153	-1.53%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0360	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001185	-1.46%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0094	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001157	-1.02%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0951	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001181	-0.82%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0173	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001235	-0.89%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0598	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001319	-1.03%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1182	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001439	-1.29%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1799	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001492	-1.25%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1929	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001505	-1.20%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1877	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001522	-1.14%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1990	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001504	-1.15%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2018	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001562	-1.20%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1838	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001558	-1.15%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0888	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001745	-1.37%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1609	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001756	-1.49%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1509	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001815	-1.73%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1220	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001832	-1.88%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1114	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001831	-1.92%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1063	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001811	-1.94%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.0986	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001814	-2.01%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1334	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001779	-2.03%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0041	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001783	-2.10%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0168	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001767	-2.16%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0174	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001837	-2.28%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0867	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001797	-2.16%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0748	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001893	-2.39%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0894	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.00189	-2.48%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0667	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002025	-2.80%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1032	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.0021	-2.99%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1048	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002018	-2.86%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1370	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002162	-3.10%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1335	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002137	-3.03%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1547	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002412	-3.41%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2227	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002357	-3.38%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2306	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002248	-3.43%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1284	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002253	-3.51%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1106	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002108	-3.18%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0823	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002325	-3.61%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1074	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002468	-4.11%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0845	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002318	-4.26%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0896	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001792	-2.65%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3405	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001731	-2.37%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2885	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001712	-2.22%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2864	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.00171	-2.27%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2924	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001567	-1.60%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4969	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001566	-1.45%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5146	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00162	-1.73%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4290	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001741	-2.16%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0689	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001762	-1.84%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0061	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001794	-2.00%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0149	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001919	-2.71%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0723	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.00193	-2.87%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1742	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001987	-3.04%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2014	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002014	-2.92%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2082	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001989	-2.93%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0859	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.00173	-0.25%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0136	✓	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002014	-3.62%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0268	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002307	-4.73%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0894	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002318	-5.12%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0733	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002146	-5.13%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0149	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002305	-5.68%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0204	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002877	-5.91%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2746	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002856	-5.72%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3887	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002713	-5.45%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1662	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002453	-5.15%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0646	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001848	-4.26%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3212	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001846	-4.50%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2469	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002309	-4.69%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0839	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002434	-4.82%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2419	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002825	-6.83%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.0827	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002077	-4.57%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3237	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001586	-3.19%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4881	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001247	-2.15%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4580	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001217	-1.97%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.5000	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001188	-1.82%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7449	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001228	-1.78%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7670	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001229	-1.78%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9374	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001133	-1.58%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6937	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.00107	-1.58%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4672	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001055	-1.65%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1801	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001036	-1.58%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1635	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001048	-1.49%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1149	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001275	-1.68%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0517	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001404	-1.68%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1462	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.00142	-1.62%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2596	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001461	-1.48%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3101	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001459	-1.42%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2835	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.00149	-1.46%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3414	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.00149	-1.44%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3348	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001492	-1.41%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1450	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001478	-1.37%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0558	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001471	-1.34%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0537	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.00148	-1.29%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0458	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001511	-1.33%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0834	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001532	-1.33%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0473	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001528	-1.31%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0365	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.00149	-1.21%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0094	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001499	-1.18%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0148	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001526	-1.21%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0224	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001485	-1.11%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0000	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001507	-1.13%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0295	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001543	-1.19%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0133	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001533	-1.17%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0147	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.00151	-1.12%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0062	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001453	-0.87%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0271	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001573	-1.12%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0308	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001554	-1.11%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0299	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001684	-1.26%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1200	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001739	-1.36%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1117	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001751	-1.40%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1037	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001723	-1.35%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1011	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001749	-1.39%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1116	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001785	-1.42%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0619	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.00182	-1.46%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1043	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001832	-1.47%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0333	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.00184	-1.48%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0231	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001876	-1.52%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0638	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001921	-1.58%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1036	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001909	-1.59%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0776	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001869	-1.51%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0184	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002078	-1.67%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1319	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001994	-1.45%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1169	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002054	-1.60%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0951	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.00202	-1.55%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0424	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002071	-1.58%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0428	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002121	-1.63%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.0972	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002205	-1.71%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1793	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002096	-1.48%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0302	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002082	-1.48%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0089	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.00204	-1.30%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0128	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002031	-1.05%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0517	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002009	-0.94%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0130	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.00209	-1.14%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0166	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.0021	-1.40%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0770	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002338	-1.73%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0328	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002336	-1.68%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0581	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002466	-1.93%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0950	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002455	-1.96%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0569	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002448	-1.89%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0814	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002494	-2.17%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0142	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002328	-2.02%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0300	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002308	-2.06%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1479	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002378	-2.22%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1601	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002391	-2.26%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1724	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002291	-2.13%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1659	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002301	-2.22%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1818	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002248	-2.04%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1444	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002268	-2.18%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0712	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002298	-2.05%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0074	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002399	-2.36%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0204	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002498	-2.45%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0478	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002515	-2.43%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0211	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002476	-2.37%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0230	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002439	-2.31%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0225	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002502	-2.37%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0054	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002483	-2.38%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0852	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002499	-2.36%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0743	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002508	-2.34%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0691	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002481	-2.30%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0583	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002532	-2.26%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0199	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.00259	-2.30%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0138	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002498	-2.07%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0047	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.00256	-2.11%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0618	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002704	-2.37%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.0973	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002691	-2.27%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1149	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002555	-1.84%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0577	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002528	-1.62%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0277	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002303	-0.79%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1176	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002574	-1.66%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0288	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002702	-1.93%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0222	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.00281	-2.07%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0415	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002818	-2.01%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0524	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002732	-1.55%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0049	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.00306	-2.13%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.0966	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003621	-2.28%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3178	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003533	-2.17%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1735	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003471	-2.32%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1437	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003561	-2.06%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1176	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003471	-2.00%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.1007	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003666	-2.01%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1542	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003797	-1.97%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0960	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003896	-2.08%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0617	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003823	-2.17%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1047	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003695	-2.28%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1151	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003698	-2.24%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1290	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003712	-2.21%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1730	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.00368	-2.01%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1287	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003754	-2.04%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1117	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003761	-1.94%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0760	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003946	-2.21%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0710	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004017	-2.27%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0851	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004038	-2.26%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0845	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004195	-2.25%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0625	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004136	-2.16%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0208	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004477	-2.18%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0839	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004492	-2.11%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0594	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004652	-2.09%	0.004035	-15.09%	0.1058	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.