XRD

Radix · native · gru_s5

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2656

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0519

actual -0.1628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000173859	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000188792	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000151623	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000148724	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000140211	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000191964	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000251261	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000278855	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000288622	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000303012	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000290478	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.00028857	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000281031	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000289119	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000303183	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000305233	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000316924	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000326289	-8.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000323238	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000333138	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000343286	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000342694	-9.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.00036713	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.00037258	-10.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000392132	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000402894	-12.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000385599	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000409446	-12.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000428403	-13.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000450782	-14.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.00040091	-14.57%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.8017	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000471552	-13.65%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.8297	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000454859	-13.39%	0.0001597	-69.59%	1.0428	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000490195	-13.65%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.1413	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000510021	-11.47%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.2245	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000451379	-10.33%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.7686	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000497445	-10.48%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.5693	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.00045458	-9.96%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3907	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000448262	-9.09%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.3226	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000464742	-9.01%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.3135	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000445076	-8.14%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.3064	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000451896	-7.78%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.3282	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000436079	-7.12%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.3334	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000447444	-6.70%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.3330	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000408966	-5.66%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.1899	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000458519	-4.93%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.2898	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.00045433	-3.78%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.2368	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000489716	-2.43%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.2830	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000480928	-0.42%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.2871	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000568658	-0.25%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.4314	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000594075	+0.45%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.4428	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000633755	+1.78%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.5044	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000837604	+0.98%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.7183	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000877458	+1.18%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7479	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000880398	+0.93%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.6886	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000837511	+3.09%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.6064	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000837742	+2.26%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.6533	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.00091464	+1.22%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.6705	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000942529	+1.65%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.6459	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000893713	+1.20%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.5336	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000802421	+1.47%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.5407	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000935719	+1.58%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.5377	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.00090752	-1.78%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.5422	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000930382	-3.73%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.4983	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000979526	-5.77%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5656	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000844986	-5.15%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5455	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000873645	-5.70%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.4908	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000905371	-5.75%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6285	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000868755	-5.51%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6071	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000887931	-5.43%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.5939	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.00092543	-5.62%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6897	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000877493	-5.32%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6205	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000861216	-5.16%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6496	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000872998	-5.08%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6385	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000884818	-5.12%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7545	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000878506	-5.13%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6420	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000864191	-5.37%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6468	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000909745	-5.51%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6345	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000893308	-5.60%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6599	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000923837	-5.88%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5233	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000925797	-5.91%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.4878	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000892994	-5.94%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4042	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000907398	-5.88%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1312	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000910024	-5.41%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.0873	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000911143	-5.50%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.0839	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000925103	-5.41%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1760	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000941615	-5.32%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.1831	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000972415	-4.85%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1101	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000946492	-4.63%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0600	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001052	-5.26%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2170	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000798885	-3.28%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0699	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000804755	-2.99%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0764	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000788197	-2.78%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.1263	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000807759	-3.04%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1566	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000817702	-3.13%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2400	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000835437	-3.13%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0661	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000863361	-3.42%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0767	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000846479	-3.36%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1309	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000837097	-3.14%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.1056	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000825158	-3.03%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1397	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000817138	-3.33%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1740	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000892928	-3.48%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0385	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000830048	-3.11%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0889	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000862153	-3.12%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0600	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000881107	-3.23%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0452	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000888233	-3.30%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0243	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000874915	-2.97%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0366	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000885461	-2.81%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0798	✗	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000905018	-2.92%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0420	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000872884	-2.82%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.1153	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000855868	-2.81%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1338	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000865675	-3.04%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0847	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000860361	-3.24%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0964	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000824145	-3.13%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.1204	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000831677	-3.18%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.1272	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000842438	-3.33%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.1232	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000836323	-3.34%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1512	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000863225	-3.54%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1376	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000882733	-3.69%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0897	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000908551	-3.86%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1794	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000933912	-4.02%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1393	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001011	-4.47%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2105	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001018	-4.51%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2478	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001059	-4.76%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2459	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001043	-4.70%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2185	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001049	-4.79%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2076	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001038	-4.81%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1458	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001051	-4.93%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.1723	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001065	-5.01%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.1997	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001059	-5.03%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2145	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.00107	-5.15%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2225	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001046	-5.06%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1243	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001055	-5.17%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2099	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001055	-5.12%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.1869	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001067	-5.28%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1679	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001039	-5.27%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1180	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001004	-5.15%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1080	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.000987074	-4.81%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.0999	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.000980124	-4.84%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0670	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001023	-5.64%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1257	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.000996689	-5.53%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1135	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000957625	-5.65%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0286	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000975561	-6.20%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0077	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001011	-6.37%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0395	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001002	-6.32%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0367	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001018	-6.43%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0225	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001014	-6.42%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0276	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001048	-6.47%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0313	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001087	-6.42%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0326	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001049	-5.98%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0542	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000963052	-5.40%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1527	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000962822	-5.23%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.2239	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001006	-5.43%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1849	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001018	-5.16%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.2249	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001026	-5.06%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.2101	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001068	-5.21%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1794	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001089	-5.17%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1315	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001091	-5.00%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.1260	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001116	-4.89%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.1156	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001137	-4.73%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.1061	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001158	-4.34%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.1266	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001167	-4.55%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0858	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001193	-4.32%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0835	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001201	-3.90%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.1190	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001202	-3.56%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.1319	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.00121	-3.87%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0723	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001198	-3.79%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0392	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001214	-3.74%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0266	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001245	-3.07%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0600	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001236	-3.01%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.0971	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001245	-3.27%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0575	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001217	-3.66%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0185	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001217	-3.72%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0580	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001211	-3.89%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0518	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.0012	-4.80%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.0766	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001214	-5.11%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.0729	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001215	-5.30%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.0740	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001262	-5.04%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.0764	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001307	-4.15%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.0771	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001286	-4.83%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1359	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001266	-4.59%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.2108	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001243	-3.84%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.1774	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.00124	-3.91%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.1109	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001213	-5.46%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1409	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001211	-5.81%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1394	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001212	-6.35%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1147	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001214	-5.51%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.0732	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001266	-4.25%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.1020	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001175	-5.34%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0424	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001187	-5.11%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0527	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001178	-4.95%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0667	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001172	-4.54%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0246	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001114	-5.35%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0227	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001127	-4.65%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0150	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001143	-4.51%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0395	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001174	-4.94%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0544	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001189	-5.13%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0833	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001206	-4.88%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0702	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001239	-5.94%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1525	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001153	-5.49%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0786	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001119	-5.34%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0488	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001122	-5.25%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0576	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001109	-5.00%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0474	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001116	-4.70%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0313	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001148	-4.54%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0297	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001119	-4.32%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0052	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001141	-4.16%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0431	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001196	-4.00%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0635	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001281	-3.90%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1242	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001405	-3.62%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1705	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001465	-3.08%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1880	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001477	-3.05%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2457	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001496	-2.86%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2549	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001469	-3.40%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2662	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.00153	-3.25%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2794	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.00153	-2.93%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.2184	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.00171	-3.34%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3757	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001719	-3.52%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3519	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001775	-3.92%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3764	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001787	-4.28%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3559	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001784	-4.42%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.3853	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001762	-4.58%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4110	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001762	-4.80%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.4006	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001727	-4.91%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4191	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001728	-5.12%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4107	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001709	-5.35%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3540	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001773	-5.68%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.3907	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001734	-5.61%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4113	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001823	-6.00%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3515	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001818	-6.20%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4135	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001942	-6.77%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4386	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002011	-7.11%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4401	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001932	-7.00%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.4801	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002065	-7.46%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5559	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002041	-7.40%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5678	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002298	-7.99%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6721	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002245	-7.94%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6356	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002139	-8.12%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5219	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002143	-8.22%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4490	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002009	-7.72%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.3948	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002209	-8.42%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.4827	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002338	-9.15%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4724	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002204	-8.94%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.4022	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.00172	-6.59%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1206	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001663	-6.19%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0797	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001645	-6.03%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.1038	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001642	-6.19%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0394	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001507	-5.37%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1328	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001504	-5.32%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1310	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001552	-5.87%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1118	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001662	-6.59%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0568	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001682	-6.27%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0145	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001709	-6.66%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0198	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001819	-7.79%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0273	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001826	-8.12%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0041	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001876	-8.43%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0335	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001902	-8.36%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0007	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001876	-8.46%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0487	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001639	-5.50%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.1026	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001888	-9.68%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0821	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.00215	-11.23%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0144	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002152	-11.93%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0616	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.001984	-12.27%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.1258	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002121	-13.20%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1392	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002657	-13.10%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.0964	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002652	-12.44%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0260	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002538	-11.55%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1035	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002303	-10.96%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1423	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001737	-10.02%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3914	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001728	-10.58%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3419	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002171	-10.41%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.1753	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002295	-10.26%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.1764	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002661	-12.23%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0323	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.00198	-8.98%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0215	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001525	-6.88%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1803	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001209	-5.10%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.5162	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001183	-4.64%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5455	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001159	-4.22%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4756	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001201	-3.90%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4476	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001204	-3.77%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4768	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001112	-3.35%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.6417	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001046	-3.79%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.7359	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001024	-4.54%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7517	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001005	-4.58%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.8306	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001017	-4.37%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.8120	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001242	-4.24%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6503	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001371	-3.99%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5871	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001389	-3.75%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.6019	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001436	-3.14%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.5152	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001437	-2.94%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5813	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001465	-3.12%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6627	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001465	-3.10%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6313	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001467	-3.07%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5641	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001453	-3.09%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.6202	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001445	-3.09%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7819	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001456	-2.90%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7698	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001484	-3.04%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6393	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001507	-2.95%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5281	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001503	-2.90%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2458	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001466	-2.77%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2833	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001476	-2.72%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4779	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001503	-2.71%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.5138	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001463	-2.56%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.7093	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001486	-2.52%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3741	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001521	-2.63%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0773	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001509	-2.68%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2084	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001486	-2.68%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2306	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001428	-2.56%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2517	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001545	-2.92%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.2926	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001527	-2.82%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2665	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001651	-3.16%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4571	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001706	-3.25%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5149	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001719	-3.21%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.4796	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001692	-3.14%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.4797	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001719	-3.10%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4603	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001753	-3.20%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.2877	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001787	-3.25%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2098	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001796	-3.41%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2242	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001803	-3.47%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2242	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001836	-3.62%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2566	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001879	-3.76%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2369	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001869	-3.67%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.1979	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001834	-3.38%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1593	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002032	-3.83%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.2774	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001949	-3.66%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.2811	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002008	-3.78%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2714	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.001976	-3.69%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2159	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002025	-3.75%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2335	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002074	-3.80%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2556	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002154	-3.99%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3238	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002046	-3.80%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.2977	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002031	-3.87%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2672	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.00199	-3.73%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.2876	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.00198	-3.50%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3016	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001958	-3.43%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2629	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002035	-3.73%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.2898	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002044	-4.03%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2533	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002272	-4.51%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3549	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.00227	-4.48%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.2895	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002392	-4.87%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3509	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.00238	-4.94%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2319	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002374	-4.86%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2271	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002416	-5.20%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2021	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002257	-5.00%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1226	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002236	-5.07%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1097	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002303	-5.31%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.0785	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002313	-5.45%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.0847	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002215	-5.39%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0387	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002221	-5.60%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0220	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.00217	-5.44%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0120	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002188	-5.67%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0588	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002217	-5.49%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0208	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002311	-5.92%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0344	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.00241	-5.90%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.1113	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002427	-5.86%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1271	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002389	-5.80%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.1062	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002353	-5.78%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0825	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002414	-5.80%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0965	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002397	-5.73%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1756	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002414	-5.65%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2356	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002425	-5.58%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2356	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002395	-5.69%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1933	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002446	-5.60%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1691	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.0025	-5.71%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1641	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.00241	-5.54%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1439	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002469	-5.60%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1472	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002607	-5.90%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0522	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002591	-5.91%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1170	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002459	-5.55%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1572	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002428	-5.49%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1880	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002208	-4.89%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2912	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002474	-5.50%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.2134	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002597	-5.73%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1448	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.0027	-5.87%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0401	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002705	-5.95%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0080	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002617	-5.69%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0146	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.002933	-6.21%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0809	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003506	-5.38%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2163	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003424	-5.19%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.1661	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003351	-5.72%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1557	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.00346	-4.85%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.1712	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003372	-4.79%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.1204	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003565	-4.70%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.2001	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003698	-4.52%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2423	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003791	-4.71%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2705	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003708	-5.12%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2818	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003557	-5.93%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2903	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.00356	-5.90%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2786	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003562	-6.16%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3453	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.00352	-6.28%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3707	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003589	-6.34%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3915	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003592	-6.36%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3781	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003788	-6.12%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3522	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.00385	-6.34%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3502	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.003872	-6.26%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3541	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004038	-5.88%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3494	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003985	-5.72%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.2995	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004326	-5.49%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3672	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004348	-5.25%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3912	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004507	-5.16%	0.002569	-45.94%	0.4414	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.