XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s5

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

59.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1013

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0245

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076903	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.07586	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074111	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.07446	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076305	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080017	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.082542	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.077522	-3.41%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0045	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.079572	-3.74%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0139	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.07742	-3.81%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0160	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.084598	-4.31%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0667	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.083508	-4.37%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0317	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.080831	-4.47%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0424	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.080016	-4.45%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0606	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.083399	-4.79%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0077	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.085606	-4.67%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0085	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.090548	-4.50%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0446	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.092173	-4.30%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0102	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.091621	-4.22%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0137	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.089569	-4.02%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0200	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.092588	-3.70%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0411	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.091315	-3.74%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0362	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092322	-3.60%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0639	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.094831	-3.51%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0440	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.10257	-3.32%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1039	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.107739	-3.34%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1256	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.110306	-3.77%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1757	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.106736	-3.71%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1140	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087063	-3.26%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.1031	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093466	-3.02%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0736	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095136	-2.91%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0903	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086681	-2.86%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1415	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089546	-2.86%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1613	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091165	-2.82%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1699	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085741	-1.92%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1054	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080379	-0.74%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0426	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081258	-0.76%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0392	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083072	-1.00%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0132	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.07793	+0.17%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0555	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080156	+0.12%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0675	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082671	+0.23%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0594	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084016	-0.09%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0433	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.088907	-0.31%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0536	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.097256	-1.10%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1135	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092402	-0.58%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0775	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089678	+0.11%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0672	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093178	+0.06%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.0973	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093734	+0.57%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0758	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097524	+1.09%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0488	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083454	+0.21%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0441	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082766	+0.15%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1482	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084289	+0.50%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0869	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084071	-0.02%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0108	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086826	-0.05%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0400	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084371	-0.23%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0650	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090244	+0.04%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0487	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087368	-0.40%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0156	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.089704	-0.85%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0612	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096193	-1.21%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1295	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.099593	-2.01%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1680	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.091826	-2.02%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0771	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.098864	-2.69%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1475	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.086709	-2.43%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0864	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078442	-2.45%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0620	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073566	-3.06%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0666	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.073739	-3.08%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0124	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072376	-3.27%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0304	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073311	-3.33%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0464	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.073734	-3.44%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0022	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.072769	-3.43%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0066	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071394	-3.42%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0142	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075697	-3.60%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0242	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075779	-3.69%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0092	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.073825	-3.64%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0616	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073454	-3.46%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0772	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073328	-3.20%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0860	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072649	-3.24%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0565	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.07252	-3.27%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0473	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075176	-3.49%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0557	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.074915	-3.43%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0385	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073644	-3.10%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0075	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.07303	-2.82%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0095	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071654	-2.58%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0071	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076021	-2.60%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0020	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075262	-2.45%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0198	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081356	-2.63%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0481	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.076917	-2.45%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0138	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083186	-2.42%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0500	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081345	-2.29%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0452	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082764	-2.23%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0901	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079585	-1.93%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0122	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083241	-1.95%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0280	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082195	-1.74%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0748	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083426	-1.91%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0229	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079032	-1.70%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0615	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081323	-1.67%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0341	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083695	-1.77%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0072	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.084792	-1.86%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0732	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090032	-2.14%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0868	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091143	-2.21%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1172	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087528	-2.20%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0919	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.086904	-2.19%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.0983	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.088919	-2.18%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0961	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089761	-2.27%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0466	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093206	-2.30%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0904	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.088927	-2.17%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0271	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096592	-2.24%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0754	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.106606	-2.38%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1333	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.104182	-2.31%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1629	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10414	-2.31%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1525	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.104125	-2.41%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1644	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093063	-2.14%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0158	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088898	-2.10%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0331	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.084849	-2.02%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0414	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.102162	-2.61%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0128	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.09353	-2.37%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0465	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.098511	-2.32%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0143	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.10112	-2.49%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0018	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.102001	-2.76%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1073	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090019	-2.15%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0317	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.086941	-2.09%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0939	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083153	-2.00%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3229	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087296	-2.13%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1853	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.092133	-2.30%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1928	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.098072	-2.71%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1408	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095246	-2.61%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1741	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.107786	-4.28%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0804	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088841	-2.69%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0716	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087584	-2.85%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0251	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087206	-2.67%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0839	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084657	-2.69%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1133	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080207	-2.90%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2301	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.073711	-2.24%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3004	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060527	-1.10%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5503	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065196	-1.37%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2451	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.068805	-1.71%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1970	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068143	-1.67%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2176	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064897	-0.92%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2112	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066353	-0.97%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1616	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082309	-2.48%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0830	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.090752	-3.35%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3375	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083626	-2.99%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1214	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089222	-4.06%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0779	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.085526	-4.01%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0006	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087267	-4.10%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0166	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085122	-4.03%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0200	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.091139	-4.57%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1269	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.081931	-3.72%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3562	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084716	-3.84%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2098	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.082726	-3.86%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2486	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.07839	-3.58%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.2021	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081321	-3.53%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1732	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.079547	-3.23%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1534	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086326	-3.76%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1847	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.083933	-3.75%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0790	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079129	-3.09%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1266	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081166	-3.09%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0523	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081063	-3.04%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0117	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.083909	-3.22%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0342	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.085962	-3.41%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0292	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.092789	-3.70%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0359	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.090686	-3.73%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0029	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.09225	-3.96%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0499	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.09816	-4.14%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0695	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.103064	-3.99%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1207	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.102137	-3.83%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1163	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.105837	-3.96%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1523	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.102539	-3.81%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0817	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.096571	-3.48%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0091	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.089605	-3.18%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0760	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.085701	-3.05%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1496	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.08683	-3.20%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1555	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087743	-3.15%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1599	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.088112	-3.28%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1927	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.088206	-3.28%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1274	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.08996	-3.32%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0113	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.092642	-3.60%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0800	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.094588	-3.87%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1105	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.096569	-4.10%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0718	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.095999	-4.15%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0760	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.096225	-3.82%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0685	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.097425	-3.59%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0306	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.098278	-3.41%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0104	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.098801	-3.70%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0272	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.1007	-3.73%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0506	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.099352	-4.33%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0777	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.104496	-4.44%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0781	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.122712	-3.68%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2108	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.13536	-3.86%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3514	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.125858	-3.96%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2765	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.129048	-3.70%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2717	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.134743	-3.76%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2808	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.119238	-4.03%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1988	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.131735	-3.63%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2363	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.125526	-3.70%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0620	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118473	-3.80%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1086	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119828	-3.91%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0175	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125181	-3.93%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0247	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115176	-4.10%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0844	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.116658	-4.10%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0274	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112626	-4.03%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0777	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106119	-3.79%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0855	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.11327	-4.90%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0152	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102187	-3.60%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1374	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090319	-2.73%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2902	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086285	-2.34%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2856	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084631	-2.05%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2975	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.086801	-2.09%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2805	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.08755	-1.90%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2178	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091653	-2.13%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.3021	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098204	-2.29%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1427	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095595	-2.15%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0191	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094615	-2.00%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0186	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089391	-1.82%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0068	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090995	-1.84%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0294	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092569	-1.78%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0512	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097175	-1.84%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0128	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106282	-2.00%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0571	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.11601	-2.14%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1034	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.12096	-2.29%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1452	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105609	-1.71%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0483	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108351	-1.72%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1081	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.106532	-1.68%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1134	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.10477	-1.62%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0440	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098157	-1.45%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0784	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097682	-1.48%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1135	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089846	-1.27%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1912	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091862	-1.28%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0096	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093548	-1.32%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0788	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097352	-1.37%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0471	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.116579	-1.99%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0833	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.112068	-1.87%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0678	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.11328	-2.09%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1692	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103	-1.53%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1150	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.096345	-1.29%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0395	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.100419	-1.45%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0642	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.090662	-1.13%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0347	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093433	-1.23%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1678	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.101707	-1.64%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0161	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.08629	-0.93%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2020	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086209	-0.91%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1040	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.088528	-1.14%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1375	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095419	-1.32%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0868	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093907	-1.31%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0219	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092506	-1.22%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0113	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.091252	-1.19%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0913	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.095257	-1.39%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0153	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.10042	-1.74%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0528	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094756	-1.50%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0320	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.100206	-1.95%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0021	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095703	-1.64%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0113	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090958	-0.97%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0130	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081648	+0.06%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1361	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081122	+0.09%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2029	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083525	-0.15%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2276	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082915	+0.38%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1794	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084645	+1.01%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1772	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084922	+1.40%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1720	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.08268	+4.79%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0136	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095013	+0.17%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0349	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095132	+0.03%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0582	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.102789	-1.12%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0598	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101373	+0.07%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0050	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.105958	-0.32%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0633	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.120212	-2.15%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0611	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.122948	-2.19%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2687	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.140075	-3.40%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0819	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133832	-3.30%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0439	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.121917	-2.35%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1044	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.116535	-1.74%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1295	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.125759	-2.59%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1121	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.121399	-2.41%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1519	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.119956	-2.36%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1757	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.12287	-2.48%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1707	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.117794	-2.33%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1408	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.129964	-2.87%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0687	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.127488	-2.98%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1114	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.136403	-2.85%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0960	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.140946	-2.59%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0252	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.139119	-2.58%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0283	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.157694	-2.54%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0466	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.157333	-2.70%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0946	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.148937	-2.85%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1437	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.15975	-2.89%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2696	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.156444	-2.83%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2345	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.164607	-2.71%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2612	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160787	-2.61%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2405	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.174095	-2.58%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2222	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.203161	-2.89%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2658	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.185085	-2.48%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1256	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.187527	-2.63%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1145	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.19323	-2.80%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1763	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.18953	-3.10%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1290	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.166645	-2.55%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0678	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.15723	-2.46%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.15992	-2.37%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2101	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.154253	-2.50%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1326	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.151515	-2.50%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.1996	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.149437	-2.39%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2541	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136762	-2.14%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3278	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.13049	-2.03%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2526	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.130241	-2.07%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2145	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127358	-1.96%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2406	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.125931	-1.92%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2446	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126821	-1.92%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2119	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.134181	-2.06%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1378	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128509	-2.05%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0929	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117245	-1.72%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123018	-1.78%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130957	-1.87%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.132876	-1.76%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.148717	-1.87%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1452	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.153202	-1.92%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0901	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.145503	-1.95%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.160155	-1.90%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2149	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.