XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s5

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

62.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1809

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0577

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.073004	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.072231	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070394	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070637	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.072233	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.075687	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.078155	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.073149	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.07518	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.072852	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.079658	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.078512	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.075758	-10.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.074882	-10.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.077958	-11.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.080309	-10.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.085248	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.087031	-9.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.086509	-9.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.084793	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.088108	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.086619	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.087735	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.090249	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.098306	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.103592	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.106298	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.102639	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.083063	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.089891	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.092064	-6.05%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0734	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.082602	-7.43%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0873	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.085547	-7.20%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1250	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.087285	-6.96%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1501	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.081625	-6.63%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1335	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.076288	-5.79%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0220	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.07732	-5.57%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0297	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.079456	-5.31%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0530	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.074181	-4.65%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0059	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.07674	-4.15%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0336	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.079622	-3.46%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0116	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.081144	-3.50%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0437	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.086378	-3.15%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0968	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.094685	-3.72%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1867	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.090091	-3.07%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1112	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.087537	-2.28%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0788	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.091366	-1.88%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0821	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.092516	-0.73%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0961	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096814	+0.36%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0816	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.082308	-1.17%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0329	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082007	-0.77%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0061	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083983	+0.13%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0223	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083758	-0.39%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0186	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086981	+0.13%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0264	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084879	+0.37%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.1022	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.092406	+2.43%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1136	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.089026	+1.49%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1613	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.091175	+0.78%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0919	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097971	+0.62%	0.09	-7.57%	0.1795	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101064	-0.57%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.1958	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093281	-0.47%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1170	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.101093	-0.50%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1744	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.086118	-3.10%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0737	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.076577	-4.77%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0013	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.070759	-6.76%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0223	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.070718	-7.05%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1026	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.069199	-7.52%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1002	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.069904	-7.83%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1303	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.070249	-8.00%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1876	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.069209	-8.16%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1438	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.067813	-8.26%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.0994	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.071847	-8.50%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1202	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.071944	-8.56%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0875	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070025	-8.60%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0486	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.069761	-8.31%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0159	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.069841	-7.81%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0753	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069043	-8.04%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0279	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.06895	-8.03%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0161	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071372	-8.37%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0527	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071014	-8.46%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1390	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.06993	-7.99%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1346	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069283	-7.81%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1460	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.067951	-7.61%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1050	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072729	-6.82%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1031	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071965	-6.72%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1248	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.078082	-6.54%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1870	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073737	-6.48%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1377	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.080257	-5.86%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1398	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.078492	-5.72%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0750	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.080056	-5.43%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0333	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.077247	-4.81%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0499	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.081003	-4.59%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0154	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.080308	-4.00%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0316	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.081326	-4.38%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0978	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077087	-4.12%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0156	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.079454	-3.93%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0366	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.081662	-4.15%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0639	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.082663	-4.32%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0687	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.087501	-4.89%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0996	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.088571	-4.97%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1286	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084872	-5.17%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1631	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084328	-5.09%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0667	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.08633	-5.03%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0960	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.087039	-5.24%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1447	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.090353	-5.29%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2141	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.086307	-5.05%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1957	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.093799	-5.06%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2452	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.103589	-5.14%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3375	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.101134	-5.17%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2723	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10116	-5.10%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2746	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.10118	-5.17%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3100	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.090486	-4.85%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2166	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.086376	-4.87%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2301	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.082452	-4.79%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1964	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.098808	-5.81%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3247	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.090582	-5.45%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1708	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.095665	-5.14%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2700	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.098209	-5.29%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2493	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.099025	-5.60%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2675	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.087634	-4.75%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1023	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.084681	-4.64%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0968	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.081137	-4.38%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0034	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.085201	-4.48%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0946	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.089901	-4.67%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0781	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.095593	-5.17%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.2015	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.093012	-4.90%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1625	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.104957	-6.79%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1964	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.086931	-4.78%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0382	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.085703	-4.93%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1088	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.085171	-4.94%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1077	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.082667	-4.98%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1367	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078405	-5.08%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1199	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.072031	-4.47%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2273	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.059347	-3.03%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3736	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.063753	-3.55%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3676	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.06708	-4.17%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3233	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.066325	-4.29%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3980	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.063268	-3.41%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4735	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.064571	-3.63%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4434	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.079359	-5.97%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3090	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.08711	-7.23%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2356	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.079998	-7.20%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2916	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.084601	-9.03%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3031	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.080816	-9.30%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3884	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.082456	-9.39%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5270	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.080409	-9.35%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4710	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.086067	-9.88%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4523	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077441	-9.00%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6080	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08011	-9.07%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6266	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.078169	-9.16%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5519	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074083	-8.88%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5186	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.076954	-8.71%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3850	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075195	-8.52%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4524	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.081623	-9.00%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4397	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.079359	-8.99%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5511	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.0749	-8.27%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5773	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.076846	-8.24%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6588	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.076733	-8.21%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4340	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.079442	-8.37%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3842	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081354	-8.59%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3890	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.087927	-8.74%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3495	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085655	-9.07%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3117	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.08694	-9.49%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2180	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.092463	-9.70%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0094	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097392	-9.28%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0359	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.096625	-9.02%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0419	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.100405	-8.89%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0223	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.097304	-8.72%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0040	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.09199	-8.06%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0495	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.085434	-7.69%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2846	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.081663	-7.62%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4100	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.082552	-7.97%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2487	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08354	-7.79%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2302	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.083765	-8.05%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1389	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.083718	-8.20%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1277	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.085474	-8.14%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0791	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.08791	-8.52%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1335	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.089603	-8.94%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0029	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.091316	-9.32%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0145	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.090682	-9.45%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0453	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.09128	-8.77%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1071	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.09275	-8.21%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0663	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.093832	-7.78%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0825	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.09382	-8.56%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0667	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.095647	-8.56%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1220	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.093369	-10.09%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1902	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.098212	-10.19%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1818	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.116917	-8.23%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3411	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.129324	-8.15%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4557	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.11942	-8.87%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3736	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.123128	-8.11%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3758	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.12914	-7.76%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4076	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.112888	-9.14%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3456	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.126285	-7.62%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3668	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.120315	-7.70%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2809	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.112903	-8.32%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2239	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.11402	-8.56%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2029	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.119611	-8.20%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2643	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.109465	-8.86%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3281	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.110869	-8.86%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4068	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.106986	-8.83%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4311	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.100924	-8.50%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3402	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.107722	-9.55%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3998	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.097469	-8.05%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2676	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086587	-6.75%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1104	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.082812	-6.27%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0664	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.081391	-5.80%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0448	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.083664	-5.62%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0601	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.084641	-5.16%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0722	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.088715	-5.27%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0554	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.095122	-5.35%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0696	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.092706	-5.11%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0647	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.091984	-4.73%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0418	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.086881	-4.58%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0047	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.088496	-4.54%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0280	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.090211	-4.29%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0741	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.094656	-4.39%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0277	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.103456	-4.61%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0925	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.113038	-4.65%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1957	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.118008	-4.68%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1058	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.103377	-3.79%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2336	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.106103	-3.76%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2134	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.104511	-3.54%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1769	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.102853	-3.42%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2330	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.096572	-3.04%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2432	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096088	-3.09%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2105	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088449	-2.80%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2889	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.090372	-2.88%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2376	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.092049	-2.90%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2311	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.095923	-2.81%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2184	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.114366	-3.85%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0992	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.110247	-3.46%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1193	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111271	-3.83%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1006	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.101359	-3.10%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0608	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.09483	-2.84%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0769	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.098809	-3.03%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1066	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.08943	-2.48%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0367	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092163	-2.58%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0126	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.100078	-3.21%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0780	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.085122	-2.27%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0048	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085122	-2.16%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0267	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.087159	-2.67%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0533	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.093748	-3.05%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0311	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.09227	-3.03%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0104	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.090988	-2.84%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0225	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.089729	-2.84%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0366	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.093482	-3.23%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0061	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.098296	-3.82%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0496	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.092849	-3.48%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1416	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.097839	-4.27%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1353	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.093618	-3.78%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0578	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.089328	-2.75%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1076	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.080205	-1.71%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2199	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.079467	-1.95%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2571	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.081502	-2.57%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1984	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.080627	-2.39%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2133	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.082033	-2.11%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1209	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.08174	-2.40%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2269	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.078995	+0.12%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0636	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.090886	-4.18%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2344	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.09052	-4.82%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4229	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.097497	-6.21%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3405	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.095811	-5.42%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4638	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.099859	-6.06%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3582	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.113547	-7.57%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4388	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.116037	-7.69%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4280	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.133122	-8.19%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3417	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.127218	-8.08%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3584	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.115596	-7.41%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4871	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.110139	-7.13%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4505	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.119713	-7.27%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4027	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.115596	-7.08%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3791	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.114292	-6.97%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4554	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.11726	-6.94%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4108	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.112282	-6.90%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4392	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.124489	-6.96%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4587	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.121955	-7.19%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5337	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.130939	-6.74%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4974	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.135887	-6.09%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4096	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.134203	-6.02%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4528	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.152599	-5.69%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.2975	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.151837	-6.10%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3090	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.143245	-6.56%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1907	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.153676	-6.58%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0501	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.150527	-6.51%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0405	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.158802	-6.15%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0298	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.1553	-5.94%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0648	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.168538	-5.69%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0625	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.197655	-5.52%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0630	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.180225	-5.04%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0968	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.18247	-5.26%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1904	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.188016	-5.42%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2378	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.184752	-5.55%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.2060	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.162409	-5.02%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1467	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.153223	-4.95%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1815	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.155892	-4.83%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1703	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.150575	-4.82%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.148025	-4.75%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.145814	-4.76%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1602	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.133264	-4.64%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.1081	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.127097	-4.58%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.126919	-4.57%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.12392	-4.60%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.122565	-4.54%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.123428	-4.54%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.130692	-4.60%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.124974	-4.75%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.113516	-4.85%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1056	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.119313	-4.74%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.0905	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.127181	-4.70%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.129154	-4.51%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1103	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.144784	-4.46%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0319	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.149245	-4.45%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.141395	-4.72%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1448	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.156062	-4.40%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0549	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.