UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s5

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

69.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4412

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0288

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.267702	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.268092	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.240982	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.213871	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.22496	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.272545	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.270267	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.265082	-3.39%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0111	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.284086	-4.47%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0186	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198924	+0.24%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2214	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.23107	-2.22%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0091	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209772	+0.62%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1347	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.209284	+1.70%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3245	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.204561	+3.31%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3030	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.231818	+1.15%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2091	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243656	+0.01%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2560	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.263112	-1.24%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1890	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.28112	-2.32%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1097	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.285057	-1.81%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2705	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272481	-0.34%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2351	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.29483	-1.69%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3253	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.389051	-4.15%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5223	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.376894	-4.28%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4823	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.29073	-0.16%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1438	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.310073	-1.59%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1237	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.352413	-3.31%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2017	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.328417	-2.22%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1933	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.331962	-2.35%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1128	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.380024	-3.86%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0855	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.459962	-4.76%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1000	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.5306	-4.76%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5345	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.443081	-4.12%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4046	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.464625	-4.32%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3035	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.555107	-5.07%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5635	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.454287	-4.00%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4163	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.368906	-1.30%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0633	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.320251	+0.41%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2438	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.365526	-1.43%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3143	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.371974	-1.86%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1577	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.347974	-1.70%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2770	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.372085	-2.62%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4011	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.383264	-3.33%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2136	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.398652	-4.82%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.473803	-5.61%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3586	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.524116	-6.06%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3343	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.642471	-5.41%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4827	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.749465	-5.17%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7174	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.598005	-5.23%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4165	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.731644	-4.94%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5528	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.79454	-5.20%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6529	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.824081	-5.74%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.5092	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.848056	-7.25%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.4255	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.495818	-5.49%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.2809	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.313489	-3.35%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9044	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.234857	-2.65%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9650	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.258434	-2.36%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0791	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.353293	-5.09%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.8859	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.155267	-1.44%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7427	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.193611	-2.54%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5577	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.137679	-2.29%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3386	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.083485	-1.90%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3420	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.109035	-1.50%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.8004	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.102945	-2.33%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8495	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.