TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1180
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0502
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.849011 | -2.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.864702 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.872511 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.815504 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.853314 | -3.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.858092 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0011 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.986758 | -4.20% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.967262 | -4.59% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.937074 | -5.08% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0252 | -5.66% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1819 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0749 | -5.45% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1816 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.99624 | -5.77% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.977813 | -5.60% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0255 | -5.57% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0804 | -5.49% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0541 | -5.43% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1069 | -5.31% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1373 | -5.40% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.803338 | -4.47% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2981 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.814527 | -4.49% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.838446 | -4.52% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2620 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.96029 | -4.42% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1518 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0845 | -4.73% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0335 | -4.79% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.0992 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.870011 | -3.57% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3196 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.7919 | -3.33% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 1.00 |