TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0641
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0116
actual +0.0029
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.845156 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.844537 | -0.56% | 0.85085 | +0.18% | 0.0082 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.885265 | -0.67% | 0.8493 | -4.71% | 0.0379 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.893563 | -0.70% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.833778 | -0.46% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0758 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.874885 | -0.57% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0420 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.88186 | -0.57% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0025 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0338 | -0.91% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.02 | -0.97% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0039 | -0.97% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0443 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.977716 | -0.97% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0741 | -1.17% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1199 | -1.48% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.045 | -1.16% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0244 | -1.10% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0732 | -1.17% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1284 | -1.29% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0998 | -1.33% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1513 | -1.51% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1754 | -2.23% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.833675 | -0.87% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3633 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.84562 | -0.84% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.870156 | -0.91% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.991244 | -1.34% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1155 | -2.01% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.059 | -2.45% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.889271 | -1.43% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.1989 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.806193 | -1.59% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1087 | ✗ | 1.00 |