TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

86.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3833

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0230

actual -0.3305

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.01012	0.009873	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	3.22
2026-10-21	oos	0.00992	0.009713	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	3.21
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009007	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009006	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008777	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008225	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007846	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007811	-1.75%	0.01012	+27.30%	0.1789	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008517	-1.99%	0.00992	+14.15%	0.0576	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010091	-2.74%	0.00918	-11.52%	0.0884	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010127	-2.72%	0.00918	-11.82%	0.1018	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012112	-3.80%	0.008945	-28.95%	0.2417	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010694	-3.18%	0.008375	-24.17%	0.1891	✓	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010324	-2.92%	0.007985	-24.92%	0.2193	✓	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.0104	-2.67%	0.00795	-25.60%	0.2841	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.011911	-3.71%	0.00869	-29.75%	0.2551	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012126	-4.03%	0.010375	-17.89%	0.0657	✓	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.013613	-4.84%	0.01041	-27.23%	0.1196	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.014593	-6.69%	0.01259	-19.50%	0.0444	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011218	-3.08%	0.011045	-4.58%	0.0443	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.010888	-2.79%	0.010635	-5.04%	0.0407	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014261	-7.09%	0.010685	-30.39%	0.1885	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008976	+2.23%	0.01237	+40.89%	0.3279	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.009135	+2.82%	0.012635	+42.21%	0.2764	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.009105	+3.41%	0.014305	+62.46%	0.3941	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010928	+1.37%	0.01564	+45.08%	0.3097	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012212	+0.47%	0.011575	-4.77%	0.0614	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011815	+0.76%	0.0112	-4.48%	0.0633	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015425	-1.81%	0.01535	-2.29%	0.0155	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.01812	-3.00%	0.00878	-53.00%	0.7147	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020225	-4.19%	0.008885	-57.91%	0.7924	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.02004	-4.02%	0.008805	-57.83%	0.7855	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.020568	-3.07%	0.01078	-49.20%	0.6859	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.01997	-2.49%	0.012155	-40.65%	0.5349	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.020586	-2.06%	0.011725	-44.22%	0.6019	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.021976	-1.16%	0.01571	-29.35%	0.4357	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023477	-1.32%	0.01868	-21.48%	0.3312	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026258	-1.75%	0.02111	-21.01%	0.3496	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.031779	-2.98%	0.02088	-36.25%	0.5223	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.028849	-2.44%	0.02122	-28.24%	0.3624	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.03223	-2.45%	0.02048	-38.01%	0.5036	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.028915	-3.62%	0.02102	-29.93%	0.3653	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.028641	-7.15%	0.022235	-27.91%	0.2507	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.034619	-4.57%	0.02379	-34.42%	0.3474	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047224	-1.27%	0.026725	-44.13%	0.5321	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.054983	-0.98%	0.032755	-41.01%	0.5063	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.077876	-1.07%	0.02957	-62.43%	0.9233	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.093734	-1.19%	0.03304	-65.17%	1.0100	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094013	-0.73%	0.03	-68.32%	1.1108	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.113856	-0.55%	0.030845	-73.06%	1.2460	✓	1.00