TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1093

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009383	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.00915	-0.32%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0383	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009148	-0.35%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0386	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008914	-0.35%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0360	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008351	-0.29%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0448	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007967	-0.23%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0545	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007935	-0.19%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0306	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008667	-0.26%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1082	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010324	-0.49%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1139	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010358	-0.50%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0500	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012462	-1.01%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1087	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.01097	-0.68%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1104	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010577	-0.55%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0303	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010629	-0.52%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0300	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012251	-0.96%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0811	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012503	-1.05%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0731	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014078	-1.59%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1005	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015125	-3.30%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0284	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011469	-0.92%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2537	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011088	-1.00%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0353	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014787	-3.67%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2671	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008843	+0.72%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5190	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008959	+0.83%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0181	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008888	+0.94%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0050	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010836	+0.52%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1831	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012201	+0.38%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1249	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.01178	+0.47%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0236	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015687	-0.15%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2844	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018605	-0.40%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020948	-0.77%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.02074	-0.67%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0223	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021131	-0.42%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0768	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020423	-0.28%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0392	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.02098	-0.19%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022235	+0.00%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1138	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023779	-0.04%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0698	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026677	-0.18%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1219	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032544	-0.64%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1633	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029454	-0.39%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0885	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.032887	-0.46%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.1003	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.029834	-0.55%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.030482	-1.18%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036031	-0.67%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1328	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047802	-0.06%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2738	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.055515	-0.02%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1408	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.07863	-0.11%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3323	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094704	-0.17%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1913	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094629	-0.08%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114371	-0.10%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1690	✓	1.00