SN75

Hippius · Bittensor · gru_s5

token id: #527
symbol: SN75
variant: –
chain: Bittensor
address: 75
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-14
predictions: 273

Track record at +7d

assessed

84

of 91 predictions shown

direction hit

44.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1129

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0200

actual +0.0136

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	4.77	4.684	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-20	oos	4.648	4.5428	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-19	oos	4.9295	4.804	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-18	oos	4.7975	4.6842	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	4.97	4.8562	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	4.997	4.8859	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-15	oos	4.859	4.7495	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-14	oos	4.6345	4.54	-2.04%	4.77	+2.92%	0.0299	✗	1.42
2026-10-13	oos	4.854	4.7405	-2.34%	4.648	-4.24%	0.0169	✓	1.43
2026-10-12	oos	4.7725	4.6633	-2.29%	4.9295	+3.29%	0.0538	✗	1.43
2026-10-11	oos	5.0615	4.9191	-2.81%	4.7975	-5.22%	0.0035	✓	1.41
2026-10-10	oos	5.099	4.9482	-2.96%	4.97	-2.53%	0.0308	✗	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	4.6765	4.5477	-2.75%	4.997	+6.85%	0.1122	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	4.321	4.205	-2.68%	4.859	+12.45%	0.1372	✗	1.40
2026-10-07	oos	4.5875	4.4614	-2.75%	4.6345	+1.02%	0.0666	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	4.85	4.735	-2.37%	4.854	+0.08%	0.0642	✗	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	4.9265	4.8098	-2.37%	4.7725	-3.13%	0.0573	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	4.855	4.7424	-2.32%	5.0615	+4.25%	0.1106	✗	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	4.9695	4.852	-2.36%	5.099	+2.61%	0.0802	✗	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	4.7685	4.6545	-2.39%	4.6765	-1.93%	0.0375	✗	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	4.9345	4.8269	-2.18%	4.321	-12.43%	0.0580	✓	1.39
2026-09-30	oos	4.929	4.8179	-2.25%	4.5875	-6.93%	0.0443	✓	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	4.98	4.875	-2.11%	4.85	-2.61%	0.0366	✓	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	5.054	4.9417	-2.22%	4.9265	-2.52%	0.0409	✓	1.40
2026-09-27	oos	5.445	5.3264	-2.18%	4.855	-10.84%	0.1254	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	5.385	5.2658	-2.21%	4.9695	-7.72%	0.0632	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	5.551	5.4138	-2.47%	4.7685	-14.10%	0.1336	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	5.102	4.9891	-2.21%	4.9345	-3.28%	0.0186	✓	1.39
2026-09-23	oos	5.016	4.9099	-2.12%	4.929	-1.73%	0.0175	✓	1.39
2026-09-22	oos	5.242	5.1027	-2.66%	4.98	-5.00%	0.0172	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	4.927	4.8098	-2.38%	5.054	+2.58%	0.1011	✗	1.40
2026-09-20	oos	4.1845	4.1085	-1.82%	5.445	+30.12%	0.2324	✗	1.23
2026-09-19	oos	4.215	4.1437	-1.69%	5.385	+27.76%	0.2146	✗	1.23
2026-09-18	oos	3.983	3.9237	-1.49%	5.551	+39.37%	0.2989	✗	1.23
2026-09-17	oos	3.741	3.709	-0.85%	5.102	+36.38%	0.1940	✗	1.25
2026-09-16	oos	3.7385	3.7149	-0.63%	5.016	+34.17%	0.1722	✗	1.25
2026-09-15	oos	3.715	3.7006	-0.39%	5.242	+41.10%	0.1843	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	3.9635	3.9259	-0.95%	4.927	+24.31%	0.1030	✗	1.21
2026-09-13	oos	4.058	4.019	-0.96%	4.1845	+3.12%	0.0282	✓	1.24
2026-09-12	oos	3.965	3.9362	-0.73%	4.215	+6.31%	0.0056	✓	1.25
2026-09-11	oos	4.166	4.1225	-1.04%	3.983	-4.39%	0.0924	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	4.656	4.5751	-1.74%	3.741	-19.65%	0.1981	✓	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	4.7085	4.6232	-1.81%	3.7385	-20.60%	0.1764	✓	1.30
2026-09-08	oos	4.724	4.6372	-1.84%	3.715	-21.36%	0.1734	✓	1.30
2026-09-07	oos	4.673	4.5809	-1.97%	3.9635	-15.18%	0.1295	✓	1.31
2026-09-06	oos	6.566	6.3612	-3.12%	4.058	-38.20%	0.4037	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	4.195	4.1372	-1.38%	3.965	-5.48%	0.0108	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	3.933	3.8935	-1.01%	4.166	+5.92%	0.0983	✗	0.97
2026-09-03	oos	4.1435	4.1015	-1.01%	4.656	+12.37%	0.1830	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	3.854	3.8118	-1.10%	4.7085	+22.17%	0.2003	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	3.964	3.9161	-1.21%	4.724	+19.17%	0.1759	✗	0.87
2026-08-31	oos	4.112	4.0574	-1.33%	4.673	+13.64%	0.1356	✗	0.84
2026-08-30	oos	3.975	3.9247	-1.26%	6.566	+65.18%	0.4864	✗	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	4.132	4.0653	-1.61%	4.195	+1.52%	0.0150	✓	0.81
2026-08-28	oos	4.25	4.1799	-1.65%	3.933	-7.46%	0.0799	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	4.612	4.5288	-1.80%	4.1435	-10.16%	0.0974	✓	0.69
2026-08-26	oos	4.219	4.1376	-1.93%	3.854	-8.65%	0.0568	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	4.169	4.0865	-1.98%	3.964	-4.92%	0.0211	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	4.288	4.2106	-1.81%	4.112	-4.10%	0.0204	✓	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	4.383	4.3013	-1.87%	3.975	-9.31%	0.0783	✓	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	3.896	3.8329	-1.62%	4.132	+6.06%	0.0657	✗	0.62
2026-08-21	oos	4.087	4.0223	-1.58%	4.25	+3.99%	0.0586	✗	0.57
2026-08-20	oos	4.091	4.008	-2.03%	4.612	+12.74%	0.0627	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	4.059	3.9648	-2.32%	4.219	+3.94%	0.0722	✓	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	3.895	3.8006	-2.42%	4.169	+7.03%	0.1989	✓	1.50
2026-08-17	oos	3.7965	3.7043	-2.43%	4.288	+12.95%	0.1562	✓	1.49
2026-08-16	oos	3.681	3.5946	-2.35%	4.383	+19.07%	0.1356	✓	1.57
2026-08-15	oos	3.774	3.682	-2.44%	3.896	+3.23%	0.2568	✓	1.56
2026-08-14	oos	3.758	3.6615	-2.57%	4.087	+8.75%	0.2301	✓	1.56
2026-08-13	oos	4.044	3.9353	-2.69%	4.091	+1.16%	0.1657	✓	1.45
2026-08-12	oos	3.859	3.7624	-2.50%	4.059	+5.18%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	3.7895	3.6929	-2.55%	3.895	+2.78%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	3.721	3.622	-2.66%	3.7965	+2.03%	0.0382	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	3.88	3.7791	-2.60%	3.681	-5.13%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	3.704	3.6038	-2.71%	3.774	+1.89%	0.0757	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	3.711	3.6212	-2.42%	3.758	+1.27%	0.0670	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	3.736	3.6453	-2.43%	4.044	+8.24%	0.1170	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	3.475	3.3962	-2.27%	3.859	+11.05%	0.1464	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	3.3725	3.2941	-2.32%	3.7895	+12.36%	0.1482	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	3.176	3.1128	-1.99%	3.721	+17.16%	0.1715	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	3.2915	3.2204	-2.16%	3.88	+17.88%	0.1653	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	3.2605	3.1788	-2.51%	3.704	+13.60%	0.1193	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	2.998	2.943	-1.83%	3.711	+23.78%	0.1995	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	3.0345	2.9807	-1.77%	3.736	+23.12%	0.2329	✗	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	3.015	2.9569	-1.93%	3.475	+15.26%	0.1505	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	2.9165	2.8678	-1.67%	3.3725	+15.64%	0.1589	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	2.908	2.8596	-1.67%	3.176	+9.22%	0.1085	✗	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	2.982	2.9337	-1.62%	3.2915	+10.38%	0.1437	✗	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	2.859	2.8171	-1.46%	3.2605	+14.04%	0.1703	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	2.912	2.8693	-1.47%	2.998	+2.95%	0.0637	✗	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	3.0125	2.9697	-1.42%	3.0345	+0.73%	0.0267	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.