SN75

Hippius · Bittensor · gru_s5

token id: #527
symbol: SN75
variant: –
chain: Bittensor
address: 75
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-14
predictions: 273

Track record at +1d

assessed

90

of 91 predictions shown

direction hit

56.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0413

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual +0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	4.77	4.7387	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-20	oos	4.648	4.5981	-1.07%	4.77	+2.62%	0.0407	✗	1.38
2026-10-19	oos	4.9295	4.8662	-1.28%	4.648	-5.71%	0.0646	✓	1.40
2026-10-18	oos	4.7975	4.7432	-1.13%	4.9295	+2.75%	0.0414	✗	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	4.97	4.9199	-1.01%	4.7975	-3.47%	0.0360	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	4.997	4.9516	-0.91%	4.97	-0.54%	0.0058	✓	1.41
2026-10-15	oos	4.859	4.8153	-0.90%	4.997	+2.84%	0.0479	✗	1.42
2026-10-14	oos	4.6345	4.6037	-0.67%	4.859	+4.84%	0.0443	✗	1.42
2026-10-13	oos	4.854	4.8094	-0.92%	4.6345	-4.52%	0.0104	✓	1.43
2026-10-12	oos	4.7725	4.7351	-0.78%	4.854	+1.71%	0.0011	✓	1.43
2026-10-11	oos	5.0615	4.9954	-1.31%	4.7725	-5.71%	0.0126	✓	1.41
2026-10-10	oos	5.099	5.0275	-1.40%	5.0615	-0.74%	0.0063	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	4.6765	4.6252	-1.10%	5.099	+9.03%	0.0913	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	4.321	4.2795	-0.96%	4.6765	+8.23%	0.0742	✗	1.40
2026-10-07	oos	4.5875	4.5426	-0.98%	4.321	-5.81%	0.0236	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	4.85	4.8214	-0.59%	4.5875	-5.41%	0.0132	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	4.9265	4.8961	-0.62%	4.85	-1.55%	0.0061	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	4.855	4.8267	-0.58%	4.9265	+1.47%	0.0325	✗	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	4.9695	4.9351	-0.69%	4.855	-2.30%	0.0452	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	4.7685	4.7353	-0.70%	4.9695	+4.22%	0.0444	✗	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	4.9345	4.9041	-0.62%	4.7685	-3.36%	0.0224	✓	1.39
2026-09-30	oos	4.929	4.8914	-0.76%	4.9345	+0.11%	0.0127	✓	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	4.98	4.9444	-0.72%	4.929	-1.02%	0.0017	✓	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	5.054	5.0111	-0.85%	4.98	-1.46%	0.0093	✓	1.40
2026-09-27	oos	5.445	5.4021	-0.79%	5.054	-7.18%	0.0502	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	5.385	5.3395	-0.85%	5.445	+1.11%	0.0188	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	5.551	5.4902	-1.09%	5.385	-2.99%	0.0246	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	5.102	5.0553	-0.92%	5.551	+8.80%	0.0984	✗	1.39
2026-09-23	oos	5.016	4.9722	-0.87%	5.102	+1.71%	0.0256	✗	1.39
2026-09-22	oos	5.242	5.1647	-1.47%	5.016	-4.31%	0.0002	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	4.927	4.8642	-1.28%	5.242	+6.39%	0.0812	✗	1.40
2026-09-20	oos	4.1845	4.1593	-0.60%	4.927	+17.74%	0.0894	✗	1.23
2026-09-19	oos	4.215	4.1951	-0.47%	4.1845	-0.72%	0.0014	✓	1.23
2026-09-18	oos	3.983	3.9669	-0.40%	4.215	+5.82%	0.0552	✗	1.23
2026-09-17	oos	3.741	3.7365	-0.12%	3.983	+6.47%	0.0080	✓	1.25
2026-09-16	oos	3.7385	3.7362	-0.06%	3.741	+0.07%	0.0021	✓	1.25
2026-09-15	oos	3.715	3.7149	-0.00%	3.7385	+0.63%	0.0029	✓	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	3.9635	3.9566	-0.17%	3.715	-6.27%	0.0221	✓	1.21
2026-09-13	oos	4.058	4.0506	-0.18%	3.9635	-2.33%	0.0438	✓	1.24
2026-09-12	oos	3.965	3.9621	-0.07%	4.058	+2.35%	0.0315	✗	1.25
2026-09-11	oos	4.166	4.1573	-0.21%	3.965	-4.82%	0.0482	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	4.656	4.6332	-0.49%	4.166	-10.52%	0.1175	✓	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	4.7085	4.6899	-0.40%	4.656	-1.12%	0.0221	✗	1.30
2026-09-08	oos	4.724	4.7029	-0.45%	4.7085	-0.33%	0.0039	✓	1.30
2026-09-07	oos	4.673	4.6513	-0.46%	4.724	+1.09%	0.0262	✗	1.31
2026-09-06	oos	6.566	6.4816	-1.29%	4.673	-28.83%	0.3112	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	4.195	4.1787	-0.39%	6.566	+56.52%	0.4458	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	3.933	3.9216	-0.29%	4.195	+6.66%	0.0655	✗	0.97
2026-09-03	oos	4.1435	4.1294	-0.34%	3.933	-5.08%	0.0302	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	3.854	3.8438	-0.27%	4.1435	+7.51%	0.0314	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	3.964	3.9525	-0.29%	3.854	-2.77%	0.0242	✓	0.87
2026-08-31	oos	4.112	4.0983	-0.33%	3.964	-3.60%	0.0207	✓	0.84
2026-08-30	oos	3.975	3.9631	-0.30%	4.112	+3.45%	0.0273	✗	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	4.132	4.1167	-0.37%	3.975	-3.80%	0.0291	✓	0.81
2026-08-28	oos	4.25	4.2324	-0.41%	4.132	-2.78%	0.0281	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	4.612	4.585	-0.59%	4.25	-7.85%	0.0545	✓	0.69
2026-08-26	oos	4.219	4.1973	-0.51%	4.612	+9.32%	0.0841	✗	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	4.169	4.1471	-0.52%	4.219	+1.20%	0.0131	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	4.288	4.2642	-0.55%	4.169	-2.78%	0.0190	✓	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	4.383	4.3526	-0.69%	4.288	-2.17%	0.0253	✓	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	3.896	3.8779	-0.46%	4.383	+12.50%	0.1170	✗	0.62
2026-08-21	oos	4.087	4.0641	-0.56%	3.896	-4.67%	0.0329	✓	0.57
2026-08-20	oos	4.091	4.0644	-0.65%	4.087	-0.10%	0.0520	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	4.059	4.0271	-0.79%	4.091	+0.79%	0.0376	✓	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	3.895	3.8671	-0.72%	4.059	+4.21%	0.0552	✓	1.50
2026-08-17	oos	3.7965	3.769	-0.72%	3.895	+2.59%	0.0282	✗	1.49
2026-08-16	oos	3.681	3.6588	-0.60%	3.7965	+3.14%	0.0035	✓	1.57
2026-08-15	oos	3.774	3.7475	-0.70%	3.681	-2.46%	0.0134	✓	1.56
2026-08-14	oos	3.758	3.7257	-0.86%	3.774	+0.43%	0.0118	✗	1.56
2026-08-13	oos	4.044	4.0063	-0.93%	3.758	-7.07%	0.0536	✓	1.45
2026-08-12	oos	3.859	3.829	-0.78%	4.044	+4.79%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	3.7895	3.757	-0.86%	3.859	+1.83%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	3.721	3.683	-1.02%	3.7895	+1.84%	0.0345	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	3.88	3.8433	-0.95%	3.721	-4.10%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	3.704	3.6622	-1.13%	3.88	+4.75%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	3.711	3.6817	-0.79%	3.704	-0.19%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	3.736	3.7078	-0.75%	3.711	-0.67%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	3.475	3.4503	-0.71%	3.736	+7.51%	0.0848	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	3.3725	3.3456	-0.80%	3.475	+3.04%	0.0293	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	3.176	3.16	-0.50%	3.3725	+6.19%	0.0559	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	3.2915	3.27	-0.65%	3.176	-3.51%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	3.2605	3.2272	-1.02%	3.2915	+0.95%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	2.998	2.9847	-0.44%	3.2605	+8.76%	0.0894	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	3.0345	3.0201	-0.47%	2.998	-1.20%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	3.015	2.9976	-0.58%	3.0345	+0.65%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	2.9165	2.9052	-0.39%	3.015	+3.38%	0.0363	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	2.908	2.8962	-0.41%	2.9165	+0.29%	0.0046	✗	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	2.982	2.9696	-0.42%	2.908	-2.48%	0.0046	✗	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	2.859	2.8502	-0.31%	2.982	+4.30%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	2.912	2.9025	-0.33%	2.859	-1.82%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	3.0125	3.0032	-0.31%	2.912	-3.34%	0.0159	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.