PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2839

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0129

actual -0.2077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.001152	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.001131	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002078	+4.54%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003341	+2.29%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003686	+1.34%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003984	+0.80%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004763	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.004989	-1.61%	0.001203	-76.29%	1.5198	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004831	-0.48%	0.001207	-75.14%	1.5012	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004406	+1.82%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7877	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004958	+0.46%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.4223	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005619	-1.51%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3503	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004931	+2.01%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.1444	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.005082	+2.16%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0016	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005509	+1.32%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.1050	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005542	+1.59%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0430	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005946	+0.08%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1903	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005788	+1.18%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.0526	✓	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005979	+0.30%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1009	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.006013	+0.90%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.1191	✗	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006808	-1.96%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.2071	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007317	-2.55%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.1256	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007851	-2.87%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3484	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007035	-2.68%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2740	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008027	-2.94%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3658	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008277	-2.86%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3520	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008681	-2.79%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3801	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.01059	-3.22%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.4269	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.01248	-4.44%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.5135	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010705	-3.50%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2712	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.009874	-2.82%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2818	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.00989	-2.91%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1420	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.00871	-3.16%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008594	-3.01%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009592	-3.89%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.0927	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007907	-2.22%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4018	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007469	-0.77%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.2929	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007447	-0.31%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.1794	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.008942	-2.90%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007856	-0.99%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.0800	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.00826	-1.62%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0201	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008079	-1.28%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1649	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006773	+0.49%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.1796	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007021	-0.01%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.0973	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009121	-1.06%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1625	✓	1.00