PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s5

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1150

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0026

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001435	+1.81%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002022	+1.72%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3507	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003288	+0.68%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5547	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003653	+0.43%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1040	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003964	+0.30%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1156	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.00481	-0.41%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1908	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005046	-0.50%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0145	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004844	-0.20%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0196	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004345	+0.41%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1868	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.00494	+0.11%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2026	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005671	-0.60%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0410	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004852	+0.38%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1241	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004996	+0.42%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0513	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005449	+0.22%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1346	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005468	+0.22%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0774	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005932	-0.16%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0346	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005724	+0.05%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0482	✓	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005955	-0.12%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0009	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005965	+0.11%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0942	✗	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006919	-0.36%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1621	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007471	-0.50%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0548	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008032	-0.64%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1386	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007205	-0.33%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1196	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008225	-0.54%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1314	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008469	-0.60%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008866	-0.72%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010841	-0.92%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1977	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012886	-1.33%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1601	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010983	-0.99%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1731	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010077	-0.82%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1174	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010096	-0.89%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0110	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.00893	-0.72%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0669	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008801	-0.68%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009876	-1.04%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1128	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008043	-0.53%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1581	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007508	-0.26%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0715	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007456	-0.19%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0021	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009144	-0.71%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1685	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007909	-0.33%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1344	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008357	-0.47%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0458	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008144	-0.48%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006741	+0.02%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1852	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007021	-0.00%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009192	-0.29%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2673	✓	1.00