ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +7d
assessed
81
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
61.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4596
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0410
actual -0.1911
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.036999 | -6.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.037191 | -5.99% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.03911 | -7.26% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.02178 | +1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.021185 | +1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.028184 | +1.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.03352 | +1.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.030085 | +2.41% | 0.03943 | +34.22% | 0.2083 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.034267 | +1.81% | 0.03956 | +17.54% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036631 | +1.07% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1456 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036891 | +0.98% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.5461 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.052013 | -3.29% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8753 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.057883 | -5.49% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.7004 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.056513 | -5.49% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.5064 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041857 | -1.33% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.3640 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.047932 | -4.86% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.3202 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.049412 | -7.47% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.2679 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.063051 | -6.86% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4818 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.087195 | -6.94% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4501 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.096709 | -8.83% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4285 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.072259 | -7.35% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1589 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.079204 | -8.18% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5865 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.081511 | -9.38% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.061424 | -8.15% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.064963 | -8.46% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.082488 | -10.21% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.066329 | -9.39% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4656 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.067799 | -10.60% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.055315 | -9.75% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.05902 | -10.73% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.054554 | -10.52% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2338 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.069367 | -12.86% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.048825 | -11.79% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5922 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.048565 | -12.90% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.035024 | -11.22% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7335 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.043535 | -13.71% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.02497 | -12.53% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.014674 | -8.73% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2929 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013155 | -7.45% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014141 | -7.88% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.3093 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.015762 | -8.55% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.2132 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01783 | -9.37% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001413 | -13.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 8.59e-7 | -24.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 5.17e-7 | -32.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001083 | -26.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010056 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.00000904 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000009746 | -3.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.0000102 | -3.31% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8354 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010605 | -2.89% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2524 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010719 | -2.69% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6133 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000010935 | -2.41% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9928 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012409 | -2.18% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1583 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011432 | -2.12% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1847 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.00000938 | -1.88% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010234 | -1.31% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011596 | -0.93% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011656 | -0.34% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012637 | -0.26% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1249 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013498 | -0.46% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0434 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014591 | -0.54% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.2012 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015272 | -0.83% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3985 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015337 | -0.60% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3347 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015587 | -0.53% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2398 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015015 | +0.30% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2117 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015347 | +0.64% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1719 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016651 | +0.61% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2145 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016762 | +1.04% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1419 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.00001758 | +0.75% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1365 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.00001806 | +0.78% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1444 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017586 | +2.01% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1270 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019973 | +1.39% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3514 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023731 | -0.79% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4426 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027318 | -1.38% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029086 | -1.40% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5442 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032516 | -1.64% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031368 | -1.27% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033053 | -1.04% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.6955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035472 | -1.19% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.00003774 | -1.20% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.4962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039831 | -1.16% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039807 | -0.98% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000041778 | -1.23% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043523 | -1.98% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.3038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045087 | -2.41% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042535 | -1.31% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.00004162 | -1.14% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040373 | -0.80% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039512 | +0.03% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040039 | -2.34% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1957 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000040728 | -3.49% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1918 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000035458 | -4.17% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3678 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000045145 | -3.74% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0940 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000053885 | -3.26% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1410 | ✓ | 1.00 |