ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
61.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1527
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0093
actual -0.0300
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.038816 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.038971 | -1.49% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041241 | -2.20% | 0.03956 | -6.19% | 0.0775 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021559 | +0.60% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6399 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020989 | +0.67% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027819 | +0.54% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3071 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033282 | +0.28% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1812 | ✗ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029574 | +0.67% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1341 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033855 | +0.58% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1591 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036415 | +0.47% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0330 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036716 | +0.50% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053513 | -0.50% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3366 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.06056 | -1.12% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1373 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.05912 | -1.13% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042477 | +0.14% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3225 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.050134 | -0.50% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1362 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052927 | -0.89% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066956 | -1.09% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2230 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092222 | -1.57% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103436 | -2.49% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1256 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076791 | -1.54% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3194 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084563 | -1.96% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0769 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087695 | -2.51% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065765 | -1.66% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3142 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069712 | -1.77% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.08933 | -2.76% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071589 | -2.20% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2489 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073744 | -2.76% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059936 | -2.21% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2387 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064362 | -2.65% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059442 | -2.51% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.07658 | -3.80% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053647 | -3.07% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053695 | -3.70% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038331 | -2.84% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3703 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.048334 | -4.20% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027526 | -3.58% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6032 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.01578 | -1.85% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5854 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014028 | -1.31% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1701 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015133 | -1.42% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0804 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016946 | -1.68% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0928 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019267 | -2.07% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001605 | -1.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.0000011 | -2.67% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.4037 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.40e-7 | -3.93% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4086 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001436 | -2.63% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6152 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010428 | -0.83% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9568 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009347 | -0.57% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1108 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010056 | -0.68% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0692 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.00001048 | -0.66% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010852 | -0.62% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.00001095 | -0.59% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011144 | -0.54% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012608 | -0.60% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011617 | -0.54% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0848 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009533 | -0.28% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1743 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010343 | -0.26% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0704 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011673 | -0.27% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1012 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011678 | -0.14% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012654 | -0.13% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013538 | -0.16% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014642 | -0.19% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0765 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015363 | -0.24% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015401 | -0.19% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015645 | -0.16% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014972 | +0.01% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015263 | +0.09% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016562 | +0.07% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0931 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016617 | +0.16% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017475 | +0.14% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017953 | +0.18% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017312 | +0.42% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019755 | +0.28% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2084 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023899 | -0.09% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1460 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.00002763 | -0.25% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029419 | -0.27% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0594 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032933 | -0.38% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031685 | -0.27% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033317 | -0.25% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035797 | -0.29% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038084 | -0.30% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040175 | -0.31% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040097 | -0.26% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042167 | -0.31% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044193 | -0.47% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045934 | -0.57% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042967 | -0.31% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041996 | -0.25% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0483 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040638 | -0.15% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039506 | +0.01% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040835 | -0.40% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0194 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041935 | -0.63% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036816 | -0.50% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1499 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046597 | -0.65% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055326 | -0.67% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1774 | ✓ | 1.00 |