O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s5

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

74.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0782

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0141

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.425848	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.425324	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.431428	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.40155	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.420377	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.43716	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.450364	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.44703	-1.86%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0421	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.452351	-1.90%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0605	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.464939	-1.75%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0558	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.474277	-2.04%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1523	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.471897	-1.82%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0871	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.468403	-2.07%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0396	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.442504	-1.54%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0443	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.447068	-1.66%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0155	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.463631	-1.73%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0069	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.494536	-1.69%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0277	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.498696	-1.69%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0027	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.504797	-1.62%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0311	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.503511	-1.80%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0395	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.511412	-1.73%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1168	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.529475	-1.77%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1320	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.541448	-2.10%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1359	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.553636	-2.20%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1077	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.519714	-1.80%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0399	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.530465	-1.63%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0478	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.535298	-1.54%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0454	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.540146	-1.50%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0401	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.543834	-1.37%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0121	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.538971	-1.19%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0316	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.553522	-0.94%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0471	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.541497	-0.60%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0049	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.542474	-1.37%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0307	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.559025	-1.38%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0508	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.565216	-1.35%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0552	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.55024	-1.54%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0612	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.5316	-0.83%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0462	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.524571	-0.43%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0422	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.543221	-0.52%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0786	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.508493	+0.49%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0364	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.541538	-0.02%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0082	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.548473	+0.11%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0090	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.53513	+0.50%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0452	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.529554	+0.86%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0335	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.537701	+0.74%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0081	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.547859	+0.59%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0056	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.540675	+0.99%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0309	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.539824	+0.91%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0291	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.557684	+0.64%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0070	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.56546	+0.84%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0127	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.550317	+0.07%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0573	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.55737	-0.10%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0543	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.553533	+0.08%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0218	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.53336	-0.10%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0241	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.530054	-0.20%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0076	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.45544	+0.70%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1771	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.441413	+1.10%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2283	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.450998	+0.87%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2185	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.449495	+0.75%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2293	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.433505	+0.80%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2486	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.443694	+0.48%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1859	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.437015	+0.14%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1806	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.511701	-0.09%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1182	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.477405	-0.66%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1658	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.479911	-1.29%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1940	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.475153	-1.89%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.2992	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.450025	-1.79%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2898	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.441636	-1.74%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2588	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.447855	-1.68%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2703	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.435191	-1.56%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.1017	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.438143	-1.60%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0789	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.432396	-1.58%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0092	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.438361	-1.69%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0779	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.444741	-1.86%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0191	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.461952	-2.14%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0102	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.457701	-2.19%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0305	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.466388	-2.30%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0176	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.469292	-2.37%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0367	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.477739	-2.49%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0614	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.491035	-2.66%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0865	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.485188	-2.70%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0768	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.467248	-2.63%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0155	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.501307	-2.82%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1127	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.483484	-2.61%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0549	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.48992	-2.52%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0092	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.468008	-2.27%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0309	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.475962	-2.31%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0539	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.47193	-2.05%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0599	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.469605	-1.72%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0636	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.500043	-1.96%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0696	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.477716	-1.69%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0698	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.533458	-2.15%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0522	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.580035	-1.96%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1457	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.606806	-2.14%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1648	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.610705	-2.47%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2039	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.576843	-2.15%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.2022	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.563295	-2.03%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0887	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.554261	-2.15%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1356	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.512964	-1.70%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0410	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.546046	-1.79%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0593	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.545971	-1.78%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1041	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.515285	-1.90%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1487	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.532616	-1.85%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0868	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.552185	-1.98%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.543368	-1.89%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.559533	-2.17%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0791	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.542288	-2.19%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0141	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.546752	-2.16%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.522219	-1.94%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0333	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.542104	-2.08%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.593444	-2.64%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.527867	-2.27%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.543645	-2.54%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.542724	-2.74%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.492052	-2.56%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.521136	-2.60%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.474982	-2.67%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0864	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.415348	-2.87%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3323	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.444971	-2.63%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1527	✗	1.00