O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s5

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

88.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1239

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0468

actual -0.1449

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.405585	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.407562	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.41236	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.383583	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.40104	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.415432	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.427955	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.424721	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.428142	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.442674	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.448942	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.4493	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.443802	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.418552	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.421525	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.439751	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.47303	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.476695	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.484034	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.480093	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.489143	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.507089	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.516217	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.527113	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.49674	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.509151	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.514917	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.520475	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.526329	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.523117	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.541978	-3.00%	0.43434	-22.27%	0.2024	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.533437	-2.08%	0.43252	-20.61%	0.1950	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.521704	-5.15%	0.439245	-20.14%	0.1855	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.538196	-5.05%	0.407545	-28.10%	0.2825	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.544014	-5.05%	0.42721	-25.44%	0.2506	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.521131	-6.75%	0.445015	-20.37%	0.1983	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.505707	-5.66%	0.4589	-14.39%	0.1447	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.499416	-5.20%	0.455525	-13.53%	0.1585	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.522575	-4.30%	0.46111	-15.56%	0.1589	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.489319	-3.30%	0.47322	-6.48%	0.0937	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.522163	-3.60%	0.48416	-10.61%	0.1177	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.530894	-3.10%	0.480645	-12.27%	0.1596	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.519207	-2.49%	0.47832	-10.17%	0.1414	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.519654	-1.02%	0.449425	-14.40%	0.1860	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.529416	-0.81%	0.454605	-14.82%	0.1835	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.539193	-1.00%	0.47178	-13.37%	0.1730	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.537136	+0.33%	0.503025	-6.04%	0.1149	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.536598	+0.31%	0.50726	-5.17%	0.1124	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.554551	+0.08%	0.513105	-7.40%	0.1423	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.567548	+1.21%	0.51275	-8.56%	0.1347	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.544263	-1.03%	0.5204	-5.37%	0.1176	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.552917	-0.89%	0.539035	-3.38%	0.1005	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.554155	+0.19%	0.55308	-0.01%	0.0532	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.535597	+0.31%	0.566075	+6.02%	0.0056	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.535433	+0.82%	0.52923	-0.35%	0.0652	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.467349	+3.34%	0.53924	+19.23%	0.0766	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.460045	+5.37%	0.543685	+24.53%	0.1217	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.469067	+4.91%	0.548345	+22.64%	0.0992	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.46778	+4.85%	0.55141	+23.59%	0.0986	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.453714	+5.50%	0.54546	+26.83%	0.1225	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.459447	+4.04%	0.55875	+26.53%	0.0975	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.448469	+2.77%	0.54479	+24.84%	0.0841	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.523215	+2.16%	0.550025	+7.39%	0.0200	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.47542	-1.07%	0.566845	+17.95%	0.0898	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.469014	-3.53%	0.572975	+17.86%	0.0553	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.456769	-5.69%	0.55887	+15.39%	0.0003	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.433176	-5.46%	0.536045	+16.99%	0.0127	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.424165	-5.62%	0.52681	+17.21%	0.0079	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.429611	-5.68%	0.54605	+19.88%	0.0221	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.418499	-5.34%	0.506	+14.45%	0.0508	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.421588	-5.32%	0.541645	+21.65%	0.0104	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.416112	-5.28%	0.54789	+24.71%	0.0357	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.420926	-5.60%	0.53246	+19.41%	0.0087	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.425815	-6.04%	0.525035	+15.86%	0.0369	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.440171	-6.76%	0.53373	+13.06%	0.0349	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.435315	-6.97%	0.54462	+16.39%	0.0125	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.442867	-7.23%	0.53535	+12.14%	0.0659	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.444965	-7.43%	0.53493	+11.28%	0.0774	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.45248	-7.64%	0.55411	+13.10%	0.0498	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.463569	-8.11%	0.56077	+11.16%	0.1017	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.457504	-8.25%	0.549935	+10.29%	0.0572	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.440925	-8.11%	0.55791	+16.27%	0.0068	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.471528	-8.59%	0.55311	+7.22%	0.1332	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.455951	-8.16%	0.53392	+7.55%	0.1189	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.464267	-7.63%	0.5311	+5.67%	0.1293	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.444537	-7.17%	0.452265	-5.56%	0.2488	✓	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.452367	-7.15%	0.4366	-10.39%	0.3443	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.449234	-6.77%	0.44712	-7.20%	0.2948	✓	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.450218	-5.77%	0.446145	-6.63%	0.2793	✓	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.477533	-6.37%	0.43008	-15.68%	0.4333	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.457467	-5.86%	0.44159	-9.13%	0.3405	✓	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.510071	-6.44%	0.4364	-19.95%	0.4020	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.553807	-6.40%	0.51216	-13.44%	0.3096	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.578205	-6.76%	0.48057	-22.50%	0.3094	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.578555	-7.61%	0.48616	-22.36%	0.2594	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.548462	-6.96%	0.484325	-17.84%	0.1244	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.537187	-6.57%	0.45821	-20.31%	0.1523	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.527251	-6.92%	0.449445	-20.65%	0.1369	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.490413	-6.03%	0.455485	-12.72%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.522658	-6.00%	0.4421	-20.49%	0.1401	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.522831	-5.95%	0.44526	-19.90%	0.1363	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.490626	-6.60%	0.439325	-16.36%	0.1287	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.5085	-6.29%	0.445895	-17.83%	0.1281	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.526378	-6.56%	0.45317	-19.56%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.519236	-6.25%	0.47207	-14.77%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.531852	-7.01%	0.467935	-18.18%	0.1551	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.51489	-7.13%	0.47738	-13.89%	0.1174	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.520291	-6.89%	0.4807	-13.98%	0.0939	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.498741	-6.35%	0.489915	-8.00%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.516955	-6.62%	0.50446	-8.88%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.561331	-7.91%	0.49863	-18.19%	0.1245	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.501219	-7.20%	0.47985	-11.16%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.514054	-7.85%	0.51585	-7.53%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.510859	-8.45%	0.496455	-11.03%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.462764	-8.36%	0.5026	-0.48%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.492539	-7.94%	0.47888	-10.50%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.447552	-8.29%	0.487225	-0.16%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.389225	-8.98%	0.48183	+12.68%	0.1526	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.419674	-8.17%	0.4778	+4.55%	0.0445	✓	1.00