NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s5

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

103

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

64.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2371

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0236

actual -0.0286

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.020144	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020316	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019075	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018429	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017816	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019593	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018915	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020095	-1.26%	0.021	+3.19%	0.0260	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.021817	-2.64%	0.02115	-5.62%	0.0285	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021535	-1.80%	0.01957	-10.76%	0.0972	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.023769	-3.24%	0.018735	-23.73%	0.2083	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026193	-3.97%	0.01787	-34.48%	0.3560	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.02301	-2.00%	0.01995	-15.03%	0.1247	✓	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020227	+0.71%	0.01899	-5.45%	0.0705	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023285	-1.61%	0.02035	-14.01%	0.1075	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024217	-2.53%	0.02241	-9.80%	0.0399	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024467	-2.62%	0.02193	-12.72%	0.0448	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.020075	+0.63%	0.024565	+23.13%	0.2482	✓	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019732	+1.87%	0.027275	+40.81%	0.3539	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019925	+1.97%	0.02348	+20.16%	0.1961	✓	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020691	+1.55%	0.020085	-1.42%	0.0221	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022972	+0.69%	0.023665	+3.73%	0.0345	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024258	+0.14%	0.024845	+2.56%	0.0091	✗	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.023171	+1.03%	0.025125	+9.55%	0.0414	✓	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.02228	+1.09%	0.01995	-9.48%	0.1480	✗	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.029902	-3.12%	0.01937	-37.24%	0.4401	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.030384	-3.22%	0.01954	-37.76%	0.4491	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.029884	-3.35%	0.020375	-34.10%	0.3916	✓	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.029711	-3.53%	0.022815	-25.93%	0.2488	✓	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.03536	-3.85%	0.024225	-34.13%	0.3338	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.039864	-3.87%	0.022935	-44.69%	0.4994	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.037182	-3.74%	0.02204	-42.94%	0.5821	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.041896	-3.72%	0.030865	-29.07%	0.3620	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.046107	-4.19%	0.031395	-34.76%	0.4417	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.037446	-3.49%	0.03092	-20.31%	0.3148	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038018	-3.56%	0.0308	-21.87%	0.3371	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.034895	-3.35%	0.036775	+1.86%	0.1079	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.038265	-3.44%	0.04147	+4.64%	0.0378	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.049032	-4.30%	0.038625	-24.61%	0.3102	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.048165	-5.42%	0.043515	-14.55%	0.1668	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.034849	-3.76%	0.048125	+32.91%	0.2610	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032053	-3.44%	0.0388	+16.89%	0.1943	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.029813	-3.19%	0.03942	+28.01%	0.3187	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.03693	-4.31%	0.036105	-6.45%	0.0285	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.031831	-4.01%	0.03963	+19.51%	0.2360	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031259	-4.92%	0.051235	+55.85%	0.5605	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020455	-2.13%	0.050925	+143.66%	0.9591	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.021952	-2.48%	0.03621	+60.86%	0.5454	✗	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018039	-0.83%	0.033195	+82.49%	0.7093	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016489	-1.38%	0.030795	+84.18%	0.6042	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020316	-2.79%	0.038595	+84.67%	0.6204	✗	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016749	-1.27%	0.03316	+95.46%	0.6711	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015774	-1.47%	0.032875	+105.34%	0.6747	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015272	-1.15%	0.0209	+35.28%	0.2774	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.013936	-1.27%	0.02251	+59.48%	0.4378	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016613	-1.02%	0.01819	+8.37%	0.0706	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016377	-1.41%	0.01672	+0.66%	0.0567	✗	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019418	-2.42%	0.0209	+5.03%	0.0974	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019356	-2.44%	0.016965	-14.49%	0.1230	✓	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020128	-3.14%	0.01601	-22.95%	0.2275	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.01986	-3.59%	0.01545	-25.00%	0.2768	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019453	-3.36%	0.014115	-29.88%	0.3098	✓	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017061	-4.18%	0.016785	-5.73%	0.1767	✓	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014021	-3.57%	0.01661	+14.24%	0.0039	✓	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014606	-4.48%	0.0199	+30.15%	0.0821	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015609	-5.28%	0.01984	+20.39%	0.1717	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009455	-2.63%	0.02078	+114.01%	0.6157	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010079	-2.81%	0.0206	+98.65%	0.5556	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009266	-2.51%	0.02013	+111.78%	0.6022	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008804	-2.39%	0.017805	+97.39%	0.5823	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011607	-3.16%	0.01454	+21.32%	0.1508	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012244	-3.37%	0.01529	+20.68%	0.2073	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010624	-2.80%	0.01648	+50.78%	0.4306	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009612	-2.37%	0.00971	-1.37%	0.0482	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.009993	-2.46%	0.01037	+1.22%	0.0726	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010249	-2.62%	0.009505	-9.69%	0.0393	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010273	-2.35%	0.00902	-14.26%	0.1144	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011374	-2.66%	0.011985	+2.57%	0.0735	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012024	-2.60%	0.01267	+2.63%	0.0618	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011331	-2.36%	0.01093	-5.82%	0.0437	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.01106	-2.13%	0.009845	-12.88%	0.1398	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010832	-1.79%	0.010245	-7.12%	0.0916	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012536	-2.33%	0.010525	-18.00%	0.2084	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.011978	-2.06%	0.01052	-13.98%	0.1195	✓	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012313	-2.01%	0.011685	-7.00%	0.0685	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012746	-1.95%	0.012345	-5.04%	0.0367	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015089	-2.40%	0.011605	-24.94%	0.2573	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.01508	-2.21%	0.0113	-26.72%	0.2390	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015167	-2.18%	0.01103	-28.86%	0.2765	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015607	-2.27%	0.012835	-19.63%	0.1757	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015711	-2.42%	0.01223	-24.04%	0.2454	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.01421	-1.97%	0.012565	-13.31%	0.0893	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012434	-0.77%	0.013	+3.75%	0.0855	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015298	-1.65%	0.01546	-0.61%	0.0341	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.017754	-2.02%	0.01542	-14.90%	0.1511	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018151	-2.05%	0.015505	-16.32%	0.1498	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018391	-2.07%	0.01597	-14.96%	0.1441	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.019894	-2.17%	0.0161	-20.83%	0.2315	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021549	-2.29%	0.014495	-34.28%	0.4175	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.022761	-2.44%	0.01253	-46.29%	0.6202	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.017755	-1.96%	0.015555	-14.11%	0.1786	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016612	-1.73%	0.01812	+7.19%	0.0722	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.01774	-1.83%	0.01853	+2.55%	0.0277	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019645	-1.95%	0.01878	-6.26%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020237	-1.95%	0.020335	-1.48%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.019927	-1.93%	0.022055	+8.54%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022331	-2.01%	0.02333	+2.37%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020412	-1.98%	0.01811	-13.04%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022626	-1.97%	0.016905	-26.75%	0.2940	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.025976	-2.05%	0.01807	-31.86%	0.3738	✓	1.00