NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s5

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

110

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

54.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0960

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual -0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02273	0.022371	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-21	oos	0.02224	0.021869	-1.67%	0.02273	+2.20%	0.0350	✗	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020902	-1.17%	0.02224	+5.15%	0.0424	✗	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019426	-0.73%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0656	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018635	-0.53%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0517	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017838	-0.18%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0391	✗	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019826	-0.62%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.1020	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018972	-0.09%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0602	✗	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020288	-0.31%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0751	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.022271	-0.62%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0659	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021842	-0.40%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0041	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024357	-0.85%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0705	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026907	-1.35%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.1041	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023366	-0.48%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1484	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020169	+0.42%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1374	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023602	-0.27%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1362	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024707	-0.56%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0082	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024969	-0.62%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0017	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.02007	+0.60%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2369	✓	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019531	+0.83%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0072	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.01971	+0.87%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0212	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020534	+0.78%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0441	✗	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022946	+0.57%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1405	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024348	+0.51%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0636	✗	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.023099	+0.72%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0444	✓	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.022188	+0.67%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0519	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030631	-0.76%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3300	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031146	-0.79%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0151	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030703	-0.70%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0278	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030601	-0.65%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0102	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036414	-0.98%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1360	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.040904	-1.36%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.0998	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.038239	-1.00%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0151	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.04292	-1.37%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1041	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.047111	-2.11%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0859	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038355	-1.15%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1559	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038918	-1.27%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0063	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035798	-0.85%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0874	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039192	-1.11%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0431	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.050019	-2.37%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2558	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.049179	-3.43%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0488	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035594	-1.70%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3572	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032741	-1.37%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0892	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.030469	-1.06%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1177	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.037666	-2.41%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.1985	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032429	-2.21%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1859	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031867	-3.07%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0628	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020714	-0.89%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4528	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022228	-1.25%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0644	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018079	-0.61%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2520	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016637	-0.50%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0080	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020546	-1.69%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.2042	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.01685	-0.68%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2420	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015899	-0.69%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0446	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015378	-0.46%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0533	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014077	-0.27%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0840	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016689	-0.57%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1171	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016516	-0.57%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0095	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019626	-1.38%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1773	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019562	-1.40%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0267	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020385	-1.90%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0542	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020129	-2.29%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0171	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.01969	-2.18%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0739	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017339	-2.62%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0305	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014321	-1.51%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1520	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014907	-2.50%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1641	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015935	-3.31%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0477	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009662	-0.50%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5132	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010305	-0.62%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0572	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009461	-0.46%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0912	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008988	-0.35%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0621	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011887	-0.81%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2762	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012523	-1.16%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0423	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.01085	-0.73%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1608	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009796	-0.50%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1271	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010188	-0.56%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0331	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.01045	-0.71%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0201	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010473	-0.45%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0065	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011616	-0.59%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0932	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.01227	-0.61%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0588	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011553	-0.45%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0562	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011264	-0.32%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0304	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.011013	-0.16%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0133	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012789	-0.36%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1469	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012202	-0.23%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0937	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012536	-0.23%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0436	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012967	-0.25%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0326	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015369	-0.59%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1709	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015343	-0.50%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0518	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015429	-0.49%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0287	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015879	-0.57%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015988	-0.69%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014415	-0.55%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1263	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012509	-0.17%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1538	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015504	-0.33%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.018042	-0.43%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018453	-0.41%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.0187	-0.42%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020226	-0.54%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021898	-0.71%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.023114	-0.93%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018008	-0.57%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2161	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016837	-0.40%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0963	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.017998	-0.40%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019949	-0.43%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020547	-0.45%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020232	-0.43%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0050	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022666	-0.54%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020726	-0.48%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1056	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022956	-0.54%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1040	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026318	-0.76%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1391	✓	1.00