NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 441

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

140

of 147 predictions shown

direction hit

69.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1226

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0133

actual -0.0857

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	6.75e-7	6.69e-7	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-21	oos	6.75e-7	6.70e-7	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.79e-7	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.69e-7	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.06e-7	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.08e-7	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.27e-7	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.37e-7	-1.08%	6.75e-7	-9.40%	0.1012	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.66e-7	-1.17%	6.75e-7	-12.90%	0.1423	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.66e-7	-1.14%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1109	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.95e-7	-1.25%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1642	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.07e-7	-1.01%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1093	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.06e-7	-1.08%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1093	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.86e-7	-1.11%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0598	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.85e-7	-1.20%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0560	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.96e-7	-1.09%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0152	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.07e-7	-1.01%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0243	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.18e-7	-0.82%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0102	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.18e-7	-0.86%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0152	✗	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.26e-7	-1.03%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0016	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.31e-7	-1.04%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0314	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.06e-7	-1.06%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0078	✓	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.17e-7	-0.96%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0124	✓	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.27e-7	-0.99%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0309	✓	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.17e-7	-0.93%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0107	✓	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.31e-7	-1.04%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0251	✓	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.27e-7	-1.00%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0072	✓	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.27e-7	-0.91%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0115	✗	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.23e-7	-0.80%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0143	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.43e-7	-0.88%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0138	✓	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001049	-1.48%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2091	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001059	-1.49%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2242	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001047	-0.80%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2490	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001073	-1.14%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2781	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001059	-0.59%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2653	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001038	-0.22%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.2960	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001015	+0.01%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2500	✗	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	0.000001001	+0.56%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0424	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001035	+1.00%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0378	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001018	+1.27%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0047	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001031	+1.58%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0138	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001041	+1.58%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0127	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001055	+0.99%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0128	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001081	+1.04%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0417	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001426	+0.06%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3322	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001449	+0.28%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3378	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001464	+0.96%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3436	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.00000148	+0.69%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3535	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001459	+0.61%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3306	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001468	+1.24%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.2961	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001423	-0.51%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.2929	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001435	-0.36%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0155	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001435	+0.00%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0021	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001436	+0.04%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0126	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001451	+0.41%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0001	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001459	+0.30%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0216	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001495	+1.00%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0384	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001473	+0.57%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0155	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.00000148	+0.35%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0182	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001472	+0.46%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0220	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.00000149	+0.02%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0373	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001496	-0.27%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0444	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001538	-0.16%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0512	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001488	-1.14%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0696	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001465	-1.66%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1179	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001402	-2.33%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1290	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001479	-2.40%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.1993	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001447	-2.55%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1682	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001455	-2.65%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1564	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001504	-2.68%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1791	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001505	-2.60%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1314	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001513	-2.71%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.0981	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001583	-3.20%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1147	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001582	-3.85%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0513	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001404	-2.16%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0879	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001412	-2.28%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0868	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001442	-2.21%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0989	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001444	-2.11%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0810	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001426	-1.98%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1053	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001416	-1.99%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1518	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001434	-2.14%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1305	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001459	-2.10%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0376	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001421	-1.98%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0168	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001426	-1.97%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0015	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001465	-1.99%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0137	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001474	-2.07%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0240	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001476	-1.95%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0242	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001476	-1.94%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0037	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001543	-2.04%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001533	-2.05%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001543	-2.02%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001563	-2.01%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0394	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.0000016	-2.16%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0269	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001598	-2.28%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0182	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001653	-2.48%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0690	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001667	-2.78%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0677	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001654	-2.99%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0472	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001662	-2.50%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0571	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001736	-2.20%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.1056	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001736	-2.19%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0824	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001747	-2.12%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0913	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001725	-1.72%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0683	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.00000179	-1.95%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0587	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002171	-2.42%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2597	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002147	-2.42%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2263	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002283	-3.05%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2630	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002541	-2.84%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.4096	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002591	-3.66%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.4067	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.00000264	-4.36%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3722	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002717	-4.68%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.4010	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002818	-5.29%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2507	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002668	-5.73%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2263	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001829	-1.11%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2296	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001837	-0.68%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3215	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001837	-0.17%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3156	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001877	-0.44%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3325	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001884	-0.05%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3573	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001905	+0.02%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.4020	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002006	-0.18%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3086	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001994	+0.21%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.0997	✗	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002135	-0.47%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1296	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002319	-1.12%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1804	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.00000242	-1.43%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2048	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.0000025	-1.37%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2358	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002537	-1.47%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2333	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002547	-1.27%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1941	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002791	-1.57%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2863	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003219	-2.45%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3508	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002954	-2.20%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1844	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003065	-2.39%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1862	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000003011	-2.24%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1338	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002919	-1.88%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1222	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002934	-1.71%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1276	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003116	-2.01%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0837	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003066	-1.57%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002796	-0.87%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0154	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.00000283	-1.04%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002927	-1.12%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0137	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002936	-0.47%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003033	-0.57%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002918	-0.73%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.0897	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003032	-0.91%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0683	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003312	-1.73%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003381	-2.29%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003404	-2.33%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003321	-2.19%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0741	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003426	-2.12%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0679	✗	1.00