NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

116

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

89.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3481

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0409

actual -0.3878

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.69e-7	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.69e-7	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.59e-7	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	6.94e-7	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	6.95e-7	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.14e-7	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.24e-7	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.51e-7	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.53e-7	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.79e-7	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	7.94e-7	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	7.93e-7	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.73e-7	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.71e-7	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.83e-7	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	7.96e-7	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.11e-7	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.10e-7	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.16e-7	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.21e-7	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	7.95e-7	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.07e-7	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.17e-7	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.09e-7	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.21e-7	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.17e-7	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.19e-7	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.17e-7	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.38e-7	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.00000103	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001041	-3.14%	6.85e-7	-36.28%	0.3870	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001039	-1.49%	6.85e-7	-35.07%	0.4327	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001065	-1.83%	6.75e-7	-37.79%	0.4615	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001053	-1.15%	7.15e-7	-32.86%	0.3968	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001031	-0.84%	7.15e-7	-31.25%	0.4126	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001008	-0.68%	7.35e-7	-27.59%	0.3639	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.92e-7	-0.31%	7.45e-7	-25.13%	0.3524	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001026	+0.14%	7.75e-7	-24.39%	0.3123	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001005	-0.05%	7.75e-7	-22.89%	0.3174	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001014	-0.06%	8.05e-7	-20.69%	0.2731	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001023	-0.21%	8.15e-7	-20.49%	0.2884	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001036	-0.84%	8.15e-7	-22.01%	0.3012	✓	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001062	-0.78%	7.95e-7	-25.70%	0.3302	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001399	-1.80%	7.95e-7	-44.21%	0.5955	✓	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001426	-1.34%	8.05e-7	-44.29%	0.6086	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001445	-0.34%	8.15e-7	-43.79%	0.6179	✓	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001464	-0.44%	8.25e-7	-43.88%	0.6252	✓	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001446	-0.31%	8.25e-7	-43.10%	0.6193	✓	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001461	+0.73%	8.35e-7	-42.41%	0.5897	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001403	-1.90%	8.40e-7	-41.26%	0.5696	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.00000142	-1.39%	8.15e-7	-43.40%	0.6143	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001429	-0.42%	8.25e-7	-42.51%	0.5940	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001433	-0.15%	8.35e-7	-41.81%	0.5894	✓	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001461	+1.08%	8.25e-7	-42.91%	0.6133	✗	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001476	+1.46%	8.40e-7	-42.27%	0.6167	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001536	+3.77%	8.35e-7	-43.58%	0.6423	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001509	+2.99%	8.35e-7	-43.00%	0.6321	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001514	+2.65%	8.30e-7	-43.73%	0.6477	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001516	+3.47%	8.50e-7	-41.98%	0.6197	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001521	+2.09%	0.000001065	-28.52%	0.4245	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001522	+1.49%	0.000001075	-28.33%	0.4228	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001579	+2.50%	0.000001055	-31.49%	0.4257	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001479	-1.72%	0.000001085	-27.91%	0.3823	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001433	-3.85%	0.000001065	-28.52%	0.4350	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001352	-5.78%	0.00000104	-27.53%	0.4163	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001425	-5.94%	0.000001015	-33.00%	0.4951	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001389	-6.43%	9.95e-7	-33.00%	0.5054	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001396	-6.59%	0.000001025	-31.44%	0.5093	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001443	-6.60%	0.000001005	-34.95%	0.5465	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001445	-6.47%	0.000001015	-34.30%	0.5376	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001451	-6.66%	0.000001025	-34.08%	0.5316	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001516	-7.26%	0.000001045	-36.09%	0.5461	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001514	-7.97%	0.00000107	-34.95%	0.5368	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001354	-5.67%	0.000001425	-0.70%	0.1406	✓	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001361	-5.80%	0.000001445	+0.00%	0.1395	✓	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001393	-5.59%	0.00000145	-1.69%	0.1750	✓	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001395	-5.44%	0.00000147	-0.34%	0.1657	✓	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.00000138	-5.14%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.1625	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.00000137	-5.22%	0.00000145	+0.35%	0.1822	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001383	-5.59%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.1656	✓	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001409	-5.45%	0.00000144	-3.36%	0.1777	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001373	-5.34%	0.000001435	-1.03%	0.1783	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001378	-5.30%	0.000001435	-1.37%	0.1696	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001419	-5.07%	0.000001445	-3.34%	0.1735	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001426	-5.26%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.1795	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001429	-5.02%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.1965	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001429	-5.03%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.1926	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001494	-5.11%	0.000001475	-6.35%	0.1976	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001484	-5.19%	0.000001465	-6.39%	0.2183	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001494	-5.13%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.1954	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001514	-5.07%	0.0000015	-5.96%	0.1799	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001547	-5.40%	0.00000154	-5.81%	0.1761	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001542	-5.70%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.1187	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001591	-6.15%	0.00000149	-12.09%	0.1293	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001598	-6.83%	0.000001435	-16.33%	0.1075	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.00000158	-7.33%	0.000001515	-11.14%	0.0369	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001598	-6.29%	0.000001485	-12.90%	0.0557	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001675	-5.62%	0.000001495	-15.77%	0.1013	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001676	-5.60%	0.000001545	-12.96%	0.0519	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001688	-5.46%	0.000001545	-13.45%	0.0621	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001673	-4.70%	0.000001555	-11.40%	0.0929	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001732	-5.08%	0.000001635	-10.41%	0.0542	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002096	-5.78%	0.000001645	-26.07%	0.2449	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002073	-5.78%	0.000001435	-34.77%	0.3805	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.0000022	-6.59%	0.000001445	-38.64%	0.4527	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002446	-6.47%	0.000001475	-43.59%	0.5601	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002484	-7.66%	0.000001475	-45.17%	0.5405	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002522	-8.63%	0.000001455	-47.28%	0.5622	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.00000259	-9.13%	0.000001445	-49.30%	0.5932	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002678	-9.99%	0.000001465	-50.76%	0.6112	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002533	-10.49%	0.00000149	-47.35%	0.5512	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001772	-4.19%	0.00000145	-21.62%	0.2182	✓	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.00000178	-3.77%	0.000001455	-21.35%	0.2412	✓	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001778	-3.36%	0.000001495	-18.75%	0.2576	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001813	-3.84%	0.000001505	-20.16%	0.2378	✓	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001821	-3.38%	0.000001505	-20.16%	0.2509	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001843	-3.28%	0.000001505	-21.00%	0.2540	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000001943	-3.36%	0.000001575	-21.64%	0.2830	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001928	-3.13%	0.000001565	-21.36%	0.2707	✓	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002064	-3.77%	0.000001575	-26.57%	0.3106	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002243	-4.37%	0.000001595	-31.98%	0.3689	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002339	-4.73%	0.000001635	-33.40%	0.3822	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.00000242	-4.55%	0.000001635	-35.50%	0.4304	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002454	-4.71%	0.000001695	-34.17%	0.3817	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002467	-4.36%	0.000001715	-33.53%	0.3781	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002701	-4.72%	0.000001705	-39.86%	0.4902	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003092	-6.30%	0.000001705	-48.33%	0.5867	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002842	-5.89%	0.000001775	-41.23%	0.4422	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000002944	-6.26%	0.000001775	-43.47%	0.4820	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000002895	-6.01%	0.000001785	-42.05%	0.4725	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002813	-5.45%	0.000001755	-41.01%	0.4376	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002829	-5.24%	0.000001825	-38.86%	0.4414	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000002996	-5.78%	0.000002225	-30.03%	0.3009	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000002955	-5.13%	0.0000022	-29.37%	0.3378	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.0000027	-4.26%	0.000002355	-16.49%	0.1605	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002729	-4.57%	0.000002615	-8.57%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.00000282	-4.73%	0.00000269	-9.12%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002827	-4.15%	0.00000276	-6.44%	0.0746	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000002911	-4.55%	0.00000285	-6.56%	0.0622	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002799	-4.80%	0.000002975	+1.19%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000002909	-4.92%	0.00000283	-7.52%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003173	-5.85%	0.00000185	-45.10%	0.4586	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.00000324	-6.35%	0.00000185	-46.53%	0.3870	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.00000327	-6.17%	0.00000184	-47.20%	0.3461	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003195	-5.88%	0.000001885	-44.48%	0.3238	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003298	-5.78%	0.000001885	-46.14%	0.3494	✓	1.00