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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
786
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
188
of 262 predictions shown
direction hit
44.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0883
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0454
actual +0.0248

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos531.055496.6093-6.49%–pending––0.07
2026-10-21oos530.886495.1199-6.74%–pending––0.07
2026-10-20oos529.0269489.0622-7.55%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345489.2326-8.18%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454494.4814-6.13%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699496.5837-5.89%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898497.8526-5.65%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949503.5374-6.23%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497495.3892-6.87%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907502.6959-7.10%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951498.4526-7.90%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13506.1622-5.59%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327506.0888-5.37%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768506.6973-5.29%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756492.0734-5.82%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532502.5083-5.13%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942500.3303-5.51%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852498.4007-5.08%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778501.0291-3.25%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096501.2414-3.31%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699503.1034-2.95%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357499.5051-2.98%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331492.1035-4.34%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575484.8483-4.83%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746491.4982-4.41%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532499.1123-3.45%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155502.665-2.85%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155503.8098-2.63%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992487.2756-1.76%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088486.2573-2.73%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928483.8714-3.24%531.055+6.19%0.0949✗0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451486.8743-2.73%530.886+6.06%0.0895✗0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629480.8251-4.17%529.0269+5.43%0.0929✗0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092480.4377-3.39%532.8345+7.14%0.1027✗0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343481.0832-3.09%526.7454+6.11%0.0891✗0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874467.1335-4.99%527.6699+7.32%0.1143✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714462.3917-5.58%527.6898+7.75%0.1240✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414468.469-5.73%536.9949+8.06%0.1248✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194474.5215-5.06%531.9497+6.43%0.1079✗0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739470.5868-4.41%541.0907+9.92%0.1277✗0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031474.6525-3.60%536.13+8.88%0.1112✗0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739472.8246-3.95%534.8327+8.65%0.1105✗0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479471.8199-4.19%534.9768+8.64%0.1172✗0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449467.5244-5.48%522.4756+5.63%0.1058✗0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893478.7549-3.73%529.6532+6.51%0.0943✗0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334485.0414-2.47%529.4942+6.47%0.0789✗0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339488.2815-1.82%525.0852+5.58%0.0626✗0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896490.2993-0.89%517.8778+4.69%0.0432✗0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122507.9502-0.31%518.4096+1.75%0.0154✗0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908483.3704-2.92%518.3699+4.11%0.0581✗0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123484.0567-3.38%514.8357+2.76%0.0496✗0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514489.7798-3.58%514.4331+1.28%0.0391✗0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72494.8396-3.11%509.4575-0.25%0.0126✓0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759500.9158-1.89%514.1746+0.70%0.0124✓0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88503.7805-1.20%516.9532+1.39%0.0084✓0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404504.8394+0.36%517.4155+2.86%0.0132✓0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466494.7982-0.25%517.4155+4.31%0.0309✗0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234480.6254-1.88%495.992+1.26%0.0162✓0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474481.0959-1.30%499.9088+2.56%0.0246✗0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388475.1512-0.75%500.0928+4.46%0.0288✗0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239477.8928-0.17%500.5451+4.56%0.0210✗0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935487.154+1.75%501.7629+4.80%0.0219✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528472.317-1.90%497.3092+3.29%0.0226✗0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431463.1377-4.30%496.4343+2.58%0.0219✓0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295451.8053-6.13%491.6874+2.15%0.0236✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188444.9-6.54%489.714+2.88%0.0356✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408460.1408-6.88%492.2739-0.38%0.0044✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335457.31-7.75%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631451.4717-7.60%492.4031+0.77%0.0183✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118450.9726-8.90%492.2739-0.55%0.0235✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897455.1982-9.91%492.4479-2.54%0.0078✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054456.9216-8.16%494.6449-0.57%0.0112✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899459.0545-8.35%497.2893-0.72%0.0091✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018451.0597-8.88%497.334+0.47%0.0213✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103450.5528-9.64%497.339-0.25%0.0195✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855439.1208-9.55%494.6896+1.90%0.0428✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645438.7798-10.46%509.5122+3.97%0.0624✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869429.1259-11.35%497.8908+2.85%0.0762✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987417.3401-8.78%501.0123+9.51%0.1139✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987416.2261-9.02%507.9514+11.03%0.1201✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086414.6858-9.79%510.72+11.10%0.1334✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312405.3397-9.12%510.5759+14.47%0.1566✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053392.0731-7.86%509.88+19.83%0.1864✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485371.3961-6.06%503.0404+27.24%0.2225✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024358.0339-6.13%496.0466+30.06%0.2516✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475370.9086-4.52%489.8234+26.09%0.2170✗0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005368.0511-4.15%487.4474+26.94%0.2148✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662367.369-3.75%478.7388+25.43%0.2030✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266373.516-3.22%478.7239+24.05%0.1945✗0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658377.6868-3.54%478.7935+22.28%0.1850✗0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144383.7522-3.95%481.4528+20.51%0.1988✗0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863380.5635-4.64%483.9431+21.26%0.2220✗0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692372.5089-3.34%481.3295+24.90%0.2563✗0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327377.7878-4.22%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705381.8666-4.62%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262380.4335-4.16%494.1408+24.49%0.2699✗0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578369.0309-4.58%495.7335+28.18%0.3028✗0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288368.3153-5.52%488.631+25.35%0.2757✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982379.0454-4.40%495.0118+24.85%0.2682✗0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028379.3801-4.08%505.2897+27.76%0.2858✗0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565372.8698-3.67%497.5054+28.54%0.2842✗0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996367.6275-4.31%500.8899+30.37%0.2991✗0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325368.1378-4.83%495.0018+27.96%0.2797✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656375.2459-5.23%498.6103+25.92%0.2787✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285368.1563-4.69%485.4855+25.68%0.2730✗0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984395.9115-4.85%490.0645+17.78%0.2104✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235379.8838-4.70%457.4987+14.77%0.1776✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041366.5819-4.61%459.7086+19.62%0.2088✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061359.8336-4.63%446.0312+18.21%0.1774✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086353.2999-4.85%425.5053+14.60%0.1622✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003378.6246-5.44%381.4024-4.74%0.0182✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968355.2533-4.71%388.475+4.21%0.0542✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665344.2026-4.62%384.0005+6.41%0.0796✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735348.2404-4.82%381.6662+4.32%0.0710✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131354.6765-5.07%385.9266+3.30%0.0694✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565351.095-5.84%391.5658+5.02%0.0955✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023363.9061-4.86%399.5144+4.45%0.0714✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023363.299-5.02%385.3692+0.75%0.0508✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305361.452-5.06%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668367.9092-5.46%394.4327+1.35%0.0732✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122371.3739-6.39%400.3705+0.92%0.0867✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093376.5967-6.57%396.9262-1.53%0.0626✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522390.5769-6.19%386.7578-7.11%0.0049✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493395.7783-6.07%389.8288-7.48%0.0010✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251372.0481-5.02%396.4982+1.22%0.0623✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201372.0684-5.28%395.5028+0.68%0.0597✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669379.1982-5.22%387.0565-3.25%0.0010✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056382.2756-5.80%384.1996-5.32%0.0065✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991382.9093-6.72%386.8325-5.77%0.0162✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947389.0241-6.93%416.0984-0.45%0.0495✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369396.509-7.45%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002393.9439-7.89%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255399.42-9.60%398.6235-9.78%0.0271✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547410.8716-10.57%384.3041-16.36%0.0203✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246418.5495-8.04%377.3061-17.10%0.0376✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224402.4502-8.60%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969397.9001-7.83%400.4003-7.25%0.0654✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295384.2186-8.09%372.7968-10.82%0.0320✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428380.7019-8.30%360.8665-13.07%0.0192✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948397.9755-6.73%365.8735-14.25%0.0076✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899399.0188-6.49%373.6131-12.44%0.0001✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749400.5203-6.13%372.8565-12.61%0.0136✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036397.0491-6.05%382.5023-9.49%0.0187✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21399.0393-5.26%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398394.4274-5.58%382.5023-8.44%0.0342✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968393.1725-5.74%380.7305-8.72%0.0332✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837398.8767-5.70%389.1668-7.99%0.0322✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871403.0388-4.91%396.7122-6.41%0.0371✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971399.6637-3.02%416.3522+1.03%0.1002✗0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034401.6168-1.66%421.3493+3.17%0.1256✗0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378394.537-2.66%391.7251-3.36%0.0630✗0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528404.166-1.87%392.8201-4.62%0.0447✗0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268411.466-0.57%400.0669-3.33%0.0698✗0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183413.9017-1.03%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157415.2616-1.30%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092414.611-0.41%417.9947+0.40%0.0666✗0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798406.5765-0.73%428.4369+4.60%0.0931✗0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442407.1749-1.42%427.7002+3.55%0.0867✗0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674411.9441-2.33%455.1246+7.91%0.1118✗0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427395.4048-3.24%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157405.3916-4.75%440.3224+3.46%0.0888✗0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437410.1383-4.27%431.6969+0.76%0.0586✗0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163410.0407-3.61%418.0295-1.74%0.0271✓0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662412.265-2.35%415.1428-1.66%0.0145✓0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353417.6823-1.89%426.6899+0.22%0.0226✗0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816415.3914-0.81%426.6749+1.88%0.0312✗0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743422.7725-1.15%422.6036-1.19%0.0072✓0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746417.4257-2.01%421.21-1.12%0.0057✓0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691408.7823-2.20%417.7398-0.05%0.0175✓0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487418.3928-1.84%423.871-0.56%0.0122✓0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627406.9482-3.12%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649399.8345-3.90%412.0971-0.95%0.0196✓0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206381.5456-3.31%408.4034+3.49%0.0518✗0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644374.8146-3.11%405.3378+4.78%0.0672✗0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526363.0453-3.87%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265358.0695-4.04%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939357.6356-4.36%418.2183+11.84%0.1397✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075366.4417-4.23%420.7157+9.96%0.1235✗0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047358.1157-5.41%416.3092+9.96%0.1310✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363357.0879-5.96%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562359.6473-5.30%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374363.4772-5.01%421.7674+10.23%0.1327✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829366.1431-4.67%408.6427+6.39%0.0968✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713355.8032-4.24%425.6157+14.54%0.1664✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998353.2865-4.21%422.1662+14.47%0.1606✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487363.9495-3.96%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785369.7863-3.27%425.7353+11.37%0.1332✗0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008363.2514-3.13%418.7816+11.67%0.1331✗0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344377.6572-3.20%427.6743+9.62%0.1158✗0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193376.768-3.02%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758378.9393-2.76%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652379.4045-2.13%426.2487+9.96%0.1093✗0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084396.0692-0.64%420.0627+5.38%0.0575✗0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925411.7017-0.46%416.0649+0.60%0.0106✗0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753390.7343-1.42%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547407.2943-2.13%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988382.9443-1.81%377.6526-3.17%0.0166✓0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004409.2725-2.56%373.1265-11.16%0.0945✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885410.2453-2.92%373.939-11.51%0.0958✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403396.9233-2.68%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653401.8183-2.04%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124399.0099-1.75%379.7363-6.50%0.0444✓0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805393.7635-2.31%379.7562-5.79%0.0347✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006389.9661-2.12%382.6374-3.96%0.0181✓0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529388.3933-2.82%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134386.565-2.66%–pending––0.07
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