META2

META2 · · gru_s5

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4971

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0815

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.0672	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.7442	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.5114	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.3999	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.4284	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.5617	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.4157	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.4486	-1.68%	16.221	-8.59%	0.1023	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.3357	-2.22%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.4283	-2.47%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0205	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.4687	-2.70%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0082	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.7871	-1.77%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0192	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.7821	-1.84%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0258	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.5518	-1.87%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0235	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.5234	-1.93%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0061	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.7345	-2.12%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0265	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.6359	-2.65%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0534	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.6179	-3.11%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0861	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.0365	-2.39%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0032	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.8254	-2.58%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0082	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.7826	-2.74%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0163	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.8524	-2.89%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0003	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.731	-3.15%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0285	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.1297	-3.36%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0324	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.5945	-4.67%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0053	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.5965	-2.92%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1254	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.0911	-3.01%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1773	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.3222	-3.27%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1608	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.5311	-3.53%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1523	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.0454	-3.74%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2020	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.0294	-4.04%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2074	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.5601	-4.41%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2336	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.2789	-4.73%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1176	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.7525	-5.11%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2012	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.1927	-5.52%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1380	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.0635	-6.02%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2151	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.9592	-6.66%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2415	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.8298	-7.28%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2771	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.6652	-8.26%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2734	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.5157	-9.01%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2571	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.343	-9.93%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3496	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.5107	-10.84%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0652	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.2495	-11.75%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1726	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.8526	-14.02%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2516	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.3665	-11.60%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2405	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.182	-9.31%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.8398	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.0878	-12.37%	19.2505	+446.35%	1.9935	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.4871	-10.29%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2751	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.4695	-13.66%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.8010	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.2658	-18.68%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.9924	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.1182	-22.49%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.7208	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	2.9115	-27.57%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.7883	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	4.5533	-25.40%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.2899	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	39.3563	-3.50%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5812	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	39.5759	-3.81%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8702	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	39.3809	-4.48%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.4016	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.9114	-4.40%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2832	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	26.4318	-3.89%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8606	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	37.5421	-7.69%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2197	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	36.4312	-6.29%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7812	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	37.6158	-7.26%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0817	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	47.0013	-10.35%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1483	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.8203	-5.92%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3643	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.5625	-7.17%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2593	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.2008	-8.18%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	27.7564	-9.14%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1881	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	27.0037	-11.78%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1615	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	27.4511	-10.15%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1777	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	27.223	-10.96%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4543	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.7046	-12.84%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.1002	-20.60%	30.768	+495.82%	1.8747	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.1092	-8.42%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	27.6457	-10.06%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0819	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	27.6042	-10.69%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0946	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.1441	-11.86%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	26.8409	-13.05%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1598	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	27.5711	-10.76%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1355	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.