META2

META2 · · gru_s5

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1971

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0176

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1639	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.8981	-0.49%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1011	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6605	-0.49%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0034	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5493	-0.49%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0040	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5867	-0.51%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0052	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7301	-0.54%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0117	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5887	-0.54%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0151	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6397	-0.60%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0115	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5742	-0.88%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0018	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6974	-0.97%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0244	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7622	-1.07%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0137	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0095	-0.54%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0264	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0141	-0.56%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0063	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7868	-0.56%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0128	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7673	-0.57%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0061	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0065	-0.62%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0171	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9596	-0.86%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0462	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.9871	-1.08%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0105	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.369	-0.69%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0507	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1817	-0.74%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0119	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1597	-0.79%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0047	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.249	-0.85%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0090	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1584	-0.94%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0081	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5691	-1.01%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0421	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.145	-1.68%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0302	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9657	-0.76%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1022	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4647	-0.76%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0368	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7322	-0.84%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0143	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9786	-0.92%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0009	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5111	-0.94%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0370	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.533	-1.02%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0437	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0997	-1.10%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0447	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.823	-1.10%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0078	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.2988	-1.04%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1211	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9818	-1.42%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3525	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9221	-1.55%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0760	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9092	-1.72%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0120	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8695	-1.88%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0076	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8433	-2.14%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0835	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.798	-2.35%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0085	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.7491	-2.63%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0377	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.9851	-2.88%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0669	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.8187	-3.23%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0220	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.6557	-4.25%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0892	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.9319	-3.14%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0323	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4741	-0.98%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7008	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4754	-1.36%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0662	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.8927	-2.64%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6482	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.955	-1.58%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5283	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9257	-2.25%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1100	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.914	-2.71%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1984	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.8817	-3.44%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0411	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.9259	-2.91%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3231	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.2891	-1.21%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9442	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.5988	-1.32%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0418	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.5748	-1.59%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0120	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.0876	-1.51%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0589	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.2087	-1.06%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3870	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.5174	-2.84%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3689	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.0913	-2.02%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0713	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.5902	-2.39%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.4278	-3.81%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2264	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.0908	-1.77%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5715	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.125	-2.09%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	29.9875	-2.36%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.736	-2.66%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.4469	-3.80%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.6545	-2.94%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.5766	-3.26%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0353	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.3478	-4.21%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.0569	-2.07%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8086	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.0082	-2.24%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7600	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.8543	-2.87%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.9737	-3.02%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0311	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.7546	-3.38%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.7127	-3.75%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.1079	-2.55%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0247	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.