MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +7d
assessed
27
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1470
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0365
actual -0.0024
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.718485 | 0.694991 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.71641 | 0.694186 | -3.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.733162 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.745085 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.750088 | -3.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.717371 | -3.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.628341 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.609458 | -2.55% | 0.718485 | +14.88% | 0.0642 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.594593 | -2.31% | 0.71641 | +17.71% | 0.0681 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.586035 | -2.18% | 0.759515 | +26.77% | 0.2675 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.584225 | -2.10% | 0.774195 | +29.73% | 0.2766 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.595051 | -2.28% | 0.7811 | +28.28% | 0.3607 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.596661 | -2.39% | 0.74617 | +22.07% | 0.3058 | ✗ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.554198 | -1.62% | 0.646255 | +14.73% | 0.1664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.509963 | -0.31% | 0.62541 | +22.26% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.541083 | -1.33% | 0.60864 | +10.99% | 0.1384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.671339 | -2.65% | 0.599125 | -13.12% | 0.0849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.636428 | -2.47% | 0.596775 | -8.55% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.654063 | -2.63% | 0.608905 | -9.35% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.682427 | -3.11% | 0.611255 | -13.22% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.686108 | -3.34% | 0.563305 | -20.64% | 0.1737 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.697158 | -3.57% | 0.51154 | -29.25% | 0.2717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.715211 | -4.06% | 0.54838 | -26.44% | 0.2622 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.759477 | -4.63% | 0.689605 | -13.40% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.74265 | -4.87% | 0.65254 | -16.41% | 0.1564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.737078 | -4.96% | 0.6717 | -13.39% | 0.1168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.726876 | -5.08% | 0.704355 | -8.02% | 0.0353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.735754 | -5.36% | 0.70984 | -8.69% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.695978 | -4.91% | 0.722985 | -1.22% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.780767 | -5.93% | 0.745455 | -10.18% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.847068 | -6.94% | 0.796315 | -12.51% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.684917 | -5.12% | 0.780635 | +8.14% | 0.1677 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.500555 | -3.27% | 0.77554 | +49.88% | 0.3980 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.775903 | -6.41% | 0.76579 | -7.63% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 1.00 |