MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0812
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0122
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.712381 | -0.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.751758 | -1.02% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.765502 | -1.12% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0601 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.771487 | -1.23% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.736997 | -1.23% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0282 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.641014 | -0.81% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1576 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.620669 | -0.76% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0708 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.604472 | -0.68% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.594985 | -0.69% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0999 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.59275 | -0.67% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0587 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.604211 | -0.77% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0905 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.606037 | -0.85% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.559684 | -0.64% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0837 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.509691 | -0.36% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.545398 | -0.54% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.682757 | -0.99% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.646531 | -0.92% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.664753 | -1.03% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.696066 | -1.18% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.700769 | -1.28% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.712619 | -1.43% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.733656 | -1.58% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.782661 | -1.71% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.767039 | -1.74% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.761366 | -1.83% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.751911 | -1.81% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.764447 | -1.66% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.720677 | -1.53% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0792 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.816289 | -1.65% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.890468 | -2.17% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.709754 | -1.68% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2534 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.512608 | -0.94% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2775 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.811575 | -2.11% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4492 | ✓ | 1.00 |